BKK to LHR
#16
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 1,167
Not if one implements a rigorous testing system pre and post arrival, like many other tourist reliant economies (e.g. Caribbean). Putting a blanket ban on tourism when it is worth 18% of your GDP and maintains over 6m people in employment seems completely illogical, especially given that the country has only registered 3000 cases this calendar year. For reference, the tiny island of Aruba has had more. If you are worried about cases spiraling, simply put a circuit breaker travel restriction strategy in place.
PS Caribbean is tiny... like the Seychelles - so pre/during tests may work..... Thailand not so much
#17
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 113
How the country re-opens is open to debate. Even with the much reduced footfall into the country, people are still testing positive in state quarantine albeit at very low levels. The current military government recognise that tourism is integral to how the country functions but they want to use this as an opportunity to re-market Thailand. The salient points I’ve picked up from reading publications and my own experiences are (in no particular order):
-Farangs - the current government generally dislikes ‘farangs’ and only tolerated them before the pandemic because of the money they brought into the country.
-China - is heavily invested in Thailand. There are a lot of Thais with Chinese ancestry as well including influential ‘hi-so’ people (high society) so they want to strengthen this partnership. Essentially they want to ‘out’ the western backpackers and encourage the Chinese to spend and invest in Thailand.
-Pollution. Cleaning up beaches and tourist areas and promoting sustainable tourism is a key aim of the government (whether that will happen or not is another question!).
-Healthcare. Thailand (more specifically Bangkok) has some world class hospitals and is marketed a lot for medical tourism. I think there is the recognition though that the critical care capacity of these hospitals is limited and they would be quickly overwhelmed if there was a big outbreak of COVID in Bangkok. Medical care out in the sticks is much, much poorer.
-Lack of testing. Just because hardly any cases have been reported means nothing if the government is only conducting low-level testing of the general population.
-Public opinion - believe it or not, the general Thai population (possibly with the exception of those working in tourism) broadly support the government’s stance on restricting foreign travellers coming into the country. You’d have to be a very brave minister to reverse the restrictions and risk your (already damaged...) reputation.
There is a political storm simmering below the surface which occasionally ignites and may lead to military action, coups or removal of the current military junta. The longer this goes on, the more likely I think it is to happen. That could lead to a change in direction but it may take a year or two before anything happens.
I hope I haven’t offended anyone with my musings above. I’ll prefix everything I’ve said with “this is all my personal opinion” but those of you familiar with Thailand and Thai politics will probably see where I’m coming from.
champ
#18
Join Date: Nov 2017
Posts: 3,061
Agree with everything above. If you have a big country with (traditionally) large flows of foreigners in and out through multiple borders, a largely poor population with underfunded and limited healthcare facilities, and civil unrest brewing from an increasingly disillusioned populace, allowing open access for tourists is a recipe for disaster. Particularly if those tourists often come from countries which don’t really follow restrictions at home either (e.g. the UK). They have enough domestic and export industry that they can cope ‘closed’ for a while, albeit at a stretch, and if they can use the time to reposition themselves in the meantime, so much the better. They’re more sensible than a lot of people give them credit for.
#19
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: BKK
Programs: Mucci Chevalier de la Brosse a Cheveux Dore, SK *GfL, BA Gold, WY G, HH DIA, IC Plat Amb., Hertz PC
Posts: 3,702
One thing I may add to the farang point, I think it is not a general dislike of "us" foreigners throughout the government, but rather among a select few ministers. I support the point of keeping the "less desirable tourists", but what they are doing is treating every foreigner the same as the ones they do not want - even those of us who hold work permits, live and pay tax in the country.
#20
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 1,167
And expect those flights to be cancelled and be replaced with BA9F/BA10F freighter-only flights for as long as Prayuth and his cronies keep the current entry restrictions. As mentioned above, for the vast majority of people (myself included), it’s very difficult to even get to Thailand at the moment with the onerous restrictions. I hope they come up with reduced quarantine and alternative testing soon.
Anybody know if BA have changed their stance on re-routing on QATAR?
#21
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Cheltenham
Programs: KLM Plat for Life , BA Gold, HH Silver, (Other half Diamond), IHG Gold
Posts: 2,398
Just received notification of our BKK flights cancelled April 30th back May 9th
part of a trip to Bhutan
I will leave well alone at the moment
part of a trip to Bhutan
I will leave well alone at the moment
#22
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Bangkok / London
Programs: BA Silver, AmEx Platinum, AVIS Presidents Club, Marriott Titanium Elite
Posts: 1,106
My ticket Bangkok to London in WT+ on 26 June has just been cancelled. Can’t change to any other date a week either side. I don’t want a refund, I got it in the 50% off Avios sale!! Was an absolute steal. Such a shame.
#23
Join Date: May 2018
Posts: 3
hi, Longtime lurker.
My flight in August (BA9 10th August 2021) just cancelled.
Quite a problem as i had 9 family members on avios on this flight.
(en route to Vietnam where this years holiday cancellation has resulted in large amounts of internal flight/hotel vouchers with a 1 year expiry)
and the gold/non gold lines are not taking calls
Anyone got any insight?
My flight in August (BA9 10th August 2021) just cancelled.
Quite a problem as i had 9 family members on avios on this flight.
(en route to Vietnam where this years holiday cancellation has resulted in large amounts of internal flight/hotel vouchers with a 1 year expiry)
and the gold/non gold lines are not taking calls
Anyone got any insight?
#24
Ambassador, British Airways; FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Leeds, UK
Programs: BA GGL/CCR, GfL, HH Diamond
Posts: 42,968
BA have allowed rerouting on to QR for a while for BKK. At various stages this has been extended to cover new travel dates. Currently it covers ticketed travel dates up to 27 March and you can move to any new travel date up to 27 March. Redemptions are not covered.
#25
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 1,167
#26
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 1,167
ah its a redemption... guess the only way is to book with somebody else and do the claim back afterwards... have spent alot of money on visa/quarantine hotels etc... so have to fly...
#27
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Denmark
Programs: TK Elite
Posts: 11,848
Besides, you are quite optimistic that you will be allowed to enter VN by summer. Maybe; maybe not.
#28
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 1,167
rebook somewhere else? - thanks for you input... but you shouldn't assume that everybody is travelling just for the fun of it....
#29
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Bangkok / London
Programs: BA Silver, AmEx Platinum, AVIS Presidents Club, Marriott Titanium Elite
Posts: 1,106
Just says no seats available on any date I pick. I assume the route has been pulled? I can reroute via Hong Kong but not doing that yet in case HKG is closed to transit in June 2021. Will keep the ticket live for now and decide what to do later. It’s an Avios ticket so have the option to refund the Avios anyway.
#30
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 1,167
Just got off the phone, ba have rebooked me on QATAR (BA codeshare, but definitely Qatar)... yay result..