BA to Pakistan - what are the chances?
#16
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Basingrad, UK
Programs: BA GfL, TK *G+
Posts: 806
I had the pleasure of leaving ISB on the BA flight (redemption in CW) on the night of the Marriott incident. Had just had a great holiday mountain biking in the Kashmir region. (i was meant to be in the swat valley, but the itinerary was changed for some reason). Including a great bus journey up the Karakorum Highway.
Miss the direct flights, last time had to go on EK. Fortunately I left via KHI on the CX flight, bargain one way fares in J to HKG at the time.
Miss the direct flights, last time had to go on EK. Fortunately I left via KHI on the CX flight, bargain one way fares in J to HKG at the time.
#17
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: London
Programs: BAEC, AA, Emirates, Hilton, Hyatt, Taj Hotels
Posts: 2,357
I doubt very much that the situation in Pakistan will allow a return for BA services in the forseeable future. I'm afraid it looks very bleak, linked to a likely implosion of Afghanistan almost the moment ISAF/NATO etc depart the scene. At a 'wild guess', BA has better opportunities elsewhere in the region.
Last edited by Betteronacamel; Oct 13, 2011 at 3:34 pm Reason: grammar
#18
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: LON, RUH and DXB
Programs: BA Bronze, GF, EK, WY
Posts: 2,607
#20
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: London
Programs: BAEC, AA, Emirates, Hilton, Hyatt, Taj Hotels
Posts: 2,357
Oh very good. Heard that they were back again yesterday.
DUNK - I think the question related specifically to flights to/from Pakistan. If you want to play a game with numbers of stops I can comfortably outbid you with flights to MEL/SYD in the 70's when flights pit-stopped about 5 times. I think the longest one we ever did was on UTA to Tahiti from Paris on a DC8 the long way round, but that would be OT (and thus not allowed now ). Oh, and no reg number or flight number = no dice!
DUNK - I think the question related specifically to flights to/from Pakistan. If you want to play a game with numbers of stops I can comfortably outbid you with flights to MEL/SYD in the 70's when flights pit-stopped about 5 times. I think the longest one we ever did was on UTA to Tahiti from Paris on a DC8 the long way round, but that would be OT (and thus not allowed now ). Oh, and no reg number or flight number = no dice!
#21
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: LON, RUH and DXB
Programs: BA Bronze, GF, EK, WY
Posts: 2,607
DUNK - I think the question related specifically to flights to/from Pakistan. If you want to play a game with numbers of stops I can comfortably outbid you with flights to MEL/SYD in the 70's when flights pit-stopped about 5 times. I think the longest one we ever did was on UTA to Tahiti from Paris on a DC8 the long way round, but that would be OT (and thus not allowed now ). Oh, and no reg number or flight number = no dice!
Around that time (when I worked in the industry and read the ABC guides for a living), there was a US domestic NW flight that made 7 stops. A mail service I guess.
#22
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: London
Programs: BAEC, AA, Emirates, Hilton, Hyatt, Taj Hotels
Posts: 2,357
09/01/72 - BA 924.
B707 - G-ARRC
LHR-FRA-FCO-KHI-CCU-HKG-TYO
#24
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: UK
Programs: BA EC Gold
Posts: 9,236
My gut reaction is not for a long time. But not because of the security situation. After all BA and many European airlines fly into many dangerous cities. But more because the business traffic may not be there. A plane full of holiday makers or expats visiting family may not generate sufficient revenue.
FWIW, you could always fly PIA. I now fly them regularly and they are actually (shock horror) not all that bad. You have to work bloody hard to crash a 777-300.
#25
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: London
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#26
Join Date: Sep 2010
Programs: A3 Gold. BA Silver. Hilton Gold. IC Ambassador.
Posts: 139
My gut reaction is not for a long time. But not because of the security situation. After all BA and many European airlines fly into many dangerous cities. But more because the business traffic may not be there. A plane full of holiday makers or expats visiting family may not generate sufficient revenue.
I agree that BA probably wouldn't be able to compete on price for Pakistani destinations, with so many airlines flying there from the UK, both direct and indirect. And as many of the bookings would be family groups, a few quid per seat can really add up and BA may end up having to join a price war that would make the routes unprofitable.
#27
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: ORD
Programs: BA, AA, SQ, UA, AC, WS, MR TIT
Posts: 8,676
I don't see a problem for BA to fly to KHI with an extension for one of its 3 daily flights to Dubai. This way they make sure that the crew won't layover there. CX and SQ are flying there and they never have any security issues.
However, for ISB I think it will not see any BA metals in the near or far future.
However, for ISB I think it will not see any BA metals in the near or far future.
#28
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: London
Programs: Mucci. Nothing else matters.
Posts: 38,644
Isn't it?
#29
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: UK
Programs: BA EC Gold
Posts: 9,236
To my knowledge, yes.
You seem disastrously ill-informed about Taliban attacks in Pakistan. Suffice it to say that hundreds, if not thousands, of Pakistanis have been murdered by Taliban fighters/sympathisers/agents in the past five years. Several hotels and marketplaces in Peshawar and other cities and villages throughout the NWFP and FATA have been bombed. About eighteen months back, several dozen Ahmadis worshipping in a mosque in Lahore were cruelly murdered by Taliban-linked extremists. The Taliban are not interested in building support locally.
BA were doing just fine on the route; it was cancelled due to security reasons.
I agree that the security threat is likely almost zilch for BA or any other Western operator for that matter. Seeing as 80%+ of any BA aircraft pax arriving or leaving ISB/KHI are going to be either Pakistanis or of Pakistani origin, I highly doubt "Terry Taliban" would want to create an incident. The plane may say "British" on the side, but the news reports after any attack would all be about Pakistanis grieving for lost relatives. Hardly the best way to build support for yourself locally.
I agree that BA probably wouldn't be able to compete on price for Pakistani destinations, with so many airlines flying there from the UK, both direct and indirect. And as many of the bookings would be family groups, a few quid per seat can really add up and BA may end up having to join a price war that would make the routes unprofitable.
#30
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: London
Programs: BAEC, AA, Emirates, Hilton, Hyatt, Taj Hotels
Posts: 2,357
I agree that the security threat is likely almost zilch for BA or any other Western operator for that matter. Seeing as 80%+ of any BA aircraft pax arriving or leaving ISB/KHI are going to be either Pakistanis or of Pakistani origin, I highly doubt "Terry Taliban" would want to create an incident. The plane may say "British" on the side, but the news reports after any attack would all be about Pakistanis grieving for lost relatives. Hardly the best way to build support for yourself locally.
I agree that BA probably wouldn't be able to compete on price for Pakistani destinations, with so many airlines flying there from the UK, both direct and indirect. And as many of the bookings would be family groups, a few quid per seat can really add up and BA may end up having to join a price war that would make the routes unprofitable.
I agree that BA probably wouldn't be able to compete on price for Pakistani destinations, with so many airlines flying there from the UK, both direct and indirect. And as many of the bookings would be family groups, a few quid per seat can really add up and BA may end up having to join a price war that would make the routes unprofitable.
They are interested (inter alia) in what we used to call 'spectaculars' which in essence means attention grabbing incidents that give their organisation and their cause the oxygen of publicity. A BA aircraft either hi-jacked, attacked on the ground or shot out of the air would get just that sort of publicity. Of those scenarios, an attack on the ground is easily the most likely and, given that the Pakistan Navy can't even reliably secure their own main base against attack, security at a tempting target like an airport must be equally questionable against a determined, motivated and probably suicidal attack. Such an incident would likely be with the collusion of insiders within the local military and security forces.
Now I don't know about you, but I wouldn't be prepared to put staff, passengers or property on the line in such circumstances. I can't remember when BA pulled out of KHI but they were long-time carriers into ISB (previously Rawalpindi - RWP) which is the political capital and therefore would have attracted all the diplomatic, military and UN etc type traffic which tends to fill the front of the plane. With PIA being the only competition you can see why most westerners would have taken BA. I think BA did do a 'loop' service back in the '80's through AUH.
In any case, given the paucity of slots at LHR and not many redundant aircraft in the fleet, I imagine BA have better fish to fry. It still beats me that they don't fly to South Korea for example.