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Long Haul Fleet [how will it change]

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Old Mar 21, 2010, 6:00 pm
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Long Haul Fleet [how will it change]

Time appears to be marching on for the long haul fleet -so what will be look like in 15 years time - 50 A380's?? - I just dont see how a 787 or an A350 can replace 744's without cutting massively the number of passengers being carried and the lose of revenue and profit - BA is already carrying less passengers today than 10 years ago

And for the 744 staying as some are young will they get a refit?
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Old Mar 21, 2010, 6:27 pm
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777 + 787 and the A380.....what more do they need?
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Old Mar 21, 2010, 6:28 pm
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Originally Posted by HIDDY
777 + 787 and the A380.....what more do they need?
More A318s?
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Old Mar 21, 2010, 6:48 pm
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Originally Posted by Speedbirdjclass
Time appears to be marching on for the long haul fleet -so what will be look like in 15 years time - 50 A380's?? - I just dont see how a 787 or an A350 can replace 744's without cutting massively the number of passengers being carried and the lose of revenue and profit - BA is already carrying less passengers today than 10 years ago

And for the 744 staying as some are young will they get a refit?
LoL BA most probably won't exist in 15 years time so it doesn't matter - just think back 15 years and Pan Am and TWA were in similar place to BA today
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Old Mar 21, 2010, 8:24 pm
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Originally Posted by Surbiton Flyer
LoL BA most probably won't exist in 15 years time so it doesn't matter -:
Is your neighbour a CSD with BA by any chance?
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Old Mar 21, 2010, 10:40 pm
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Based on current offerings from the manufacturers, to remain competitive they will probably need to fly a fleet of A380, A350 (being phased in to replace the 777 fleet), 777 (being phased out), and 787.

However, by then I am sure that Boeing will be offering a new generation 777, so the fleet may well be A380, a mix of 777NG and 777 "classic", and 787.
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Old Mar 21, 2010, 11:31 pm
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Originally Posted by Surbiton Flyer
LoL BA most probably won't exist in 15 years time so it doesn't matter - just think back 15 years and Pan Am and TWA were in similar place to BA today
If BA can't turn a huge profit on the significant number of monopoly routes it dominates out of the UK then quite frankly the business deserves to die.
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Old Mar 22, 2010, 12:54 am
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Originally Posted by HIDDY
Is your neighbour a CSD with BA by any chance?
Surbiton Flyer - aka 'Him Indoors' (of PUCCI GALORE fame)?
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Old Mar 22, 2010, 1:07 am
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Originally Posted by HIDDY
777 + 787 and the A380.....what more do they need?
I doubt it will be the 777 as the design will be 35 years old by then - and a good number of BA's frames will be between 25 and 30 years old by 2025. The A350 seems to be winning key customers as both a 747 and 777 replacement - UA ordered some quite recently for both these roles. I also think BA will finish up with about 30 A380's too.

Alot of pax growth depends on how much aviation starts to be seriously blamed for environmental problems - the politicians will try and ratchet up taxes if they can do this. This may well curb some growth in the pax numbers that was projected a few years ago, but may increase the number of VLA's required as pax capacity per flight / slot would become more inportant than daily frequency.

Last edited by BOH; Mar 22, 2010 at 3:16 am
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Old Mar 22, 2010, 9:31 am
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Originally Posted by BOH
...
Alot of pax growth depends on how much aviation starts to be seriously blamed for environmental problems - the politicians will try and ratchet up taxes if they can do this. This may well curb some growth in the pax numbers that was projected a few years ago, but may increase the number of VLA's required as pax capacity per flight / slot would become more inportant than daily frequency.
There was an article in a broadsheet recently that by not having a child, the future impact of that would be the equivelant of around 2,200 flights between London and New York. Population control is a bigger issue and the white elephant in the room.

As I'm not having 2 children, I'll make 4,400 flights thank you very much.
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Old Mar 22, 2010, 11:36 am
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Originally Posted by aurichie
If BA can't turn a huge profit on the significant number of monopoly routes it dominates out of the UK then quite frankly the business deserves to die.
Sorry, cant let a baseless comment like that go unchallenged. There really are only a handful of such routes where there is no competition, and in the main there is a good reason for it...

Would you care to list those monopoly routes?
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Old Mar 22, 2010, 11:55 am
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Originally Posted by HIDDY
Is your neighbour a CSD with BA by any chance?
I was in surbiton on friday, i joined all the chavs and went for breakfast at McDs.
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Old Mar 22, 2010, 11:59 am
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Originally Posted by Dr Dave

However, by then I am sure that Boeing will be offering a new generation 777,
with even more PR b*llcks about how passengers want to fly from spoke to spoke, on an efficient flying dorm with the drone of noisy engines keeping them awake all night.

The only reason i want to fly on a 777 is either when the 300ERs arrive, and hence can be further away from the engines, or in new F.
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Old Mar 22, 2010, 1:39 pm
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It will be sad to see the B747s go, they have served BA (and its predecesors) well although there start in BOAC was marred in slight controversy.

They look 10x better than the WhaleJet (A380).

I also think its a good time to get new livery with the B787s and A380s. Try and project a new image.
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Old Mar 22, 2010, 2:18 pm
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yes please

Originally Posted by Stez
More A318s?

+1 ^
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