Hurricane Dorian- Labor Day 2019
Aug 31, 2019, 3:32 am
#91
Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 805
Now that this thing isn’t making landfall until Tuesday what are the chances that MCO stays open on Monday, reversing their previous statement?
With hurricanes you never really know where it’s going until you’re 12 hours out. It would have made a lot more sense to say “if the current path holds we plan to close at 2am Sunday” instead of “we will definitely close no matter where this thing goes.”
This reminds me back to Fox News “if you don’t evacuate you will die” commentary during Matthew before the storm turned and everything was fine. It’s one thing to say “the current forecast is bad” but saying you definitely know what will happen, especially this far out, is silly.
With hurricanes you never really know where it’s going until you’re 12 hours out. It would have made a lot more sense to say “if the current path holds we plan to close at 2am Sunday” instead of “we will definitely close no matter where this thing goes.”
This reminds me back to Fox News “if you don’t evacuate you will die” commentary during Matthew before the storm turned and everything was fine. It’s one thing to say “the current forecast is bad” but saying you definitely know what will happen, especially this far out, is silly.
Aug 31, 2019, 9:47 am
#93
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: DCA/IAD/WAS
Programs: MAR AMB, WOH Explorist, AA EXP, UA 2P
Posts: 2,138
With the track turning for now, I wonder if many of these changes become moot (and AA has a lot of empty planes flying to/from FL). It's early of course, but the trend line is getting better.
Also, for those of you that look at the models, it's funny that the TABS model which showed this kind of thing happening for the last few days is looking like it was predicting correctly all along. 🤣
Also, for those of you that look at the models, it's funny that the TABS model which showed this kind of thing happening for the last few days is looking like it was predicting correctly all along. 🤣
Aug 31, 2019, 9:56 am
#94
Join Date: Sep 2016
Location: LAX/BUR, RDU
Programs: DL SM, AAdvantage, SPG
Posts: 1,360
Aug 31, 2019, 9:59 am
#95
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: USA
Programs: Chase Sapphire Reserve, WFBF
Posts: 1,573
Hurricanes are really big. Even if the eye does not hit MCO (MIA, etc) there will be a large radius of strong winds that will make airport ops really difficult. So it may make sense to close
Aug 31, 2019, 10:19 am
#96
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: DCA/IAD/WAS
Programs: MAR AMB, WOH Explorist, AA EXP, UA 2P
Posts: 2,138
Definitely agree, I'm mostly happy that it seems South Florida lives another day.
Aug 31, 2019, 12:23 pm
#97
Suspended
Join Date: Sep 2006
Programs: AAdvantage PP
Posts: 13,913
I'm thankful as the thought of no power in the sweltering South Florida heat is not a good one. However, with this storm that doesn't appear to now be a storm I'll have 3 trips in under one week. MIA,, FLL, PBI and MCO will probably be ghost towns on Sunday and Monday.
Sep 1, 2019, 11:40 am
#98
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: Global
Posts: 5,998
Just landed MIA. The flight was less than 1/2 full.
The airport seemed normal busy... busy, but not crazy. Looked at lines on the way out... precheck was 5 people deep, priority 10-15. Not bad at all.
Beautiful sunny south Florida day.
Latest projections are a turn north 70 miles east of WPB. Given we landed to the west at MIA, this seems logical.
The airport seemed normal busy... busy, but not crazy. Looked at lines on the way out... precheck was 5 people deep, priority 10-15. Not bad at all.
Beautiful sunny south Florida day.
Latest projections are a turn north 70 miles east of WPB. Given we landed to the west at MIA, this seems logical.
Sep 1, 2019, 1:00 pm
#99
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: CLT
Programs: AA EXP; Avis PC; Hertz PC; Marriott LT Gold; Hilton Diamond
Posts: 1,133
For South Floridians, the imminent threat of a disastrous hurricane is over so no need to leave anymore. It will be a bad storm, but nothing of what was originally planned when it was looking like it might make a direct hit on South Florida.
Sep 1, 2019, 2:21 pm
#100
Join Date: Nov 2018
Programs: Global Entry
Posts: 125
Does anyone know the likelihood of flight delays for departing flights northbound from Charleston for tomorrow? Just got the travel alert. Flying out before noon but wasn't sure if I should get myself on standby for the first flight in the morning. Current weather forecast predicts scattered thunderstorms around the area.
Sep 1, 2019, 2:38 pm
#101
Join Date: Sep 2016
Location: LAX/BUR, RDU
Programs: DL SM, AAdvantage, SPG
Posts: 1,360
Does anyone know the likelihood of flight delays for departing flights northbound from Charleston for tomorrow? Just got the travel alert. Flying out before noon but wasn't sure if I should get myself on standby for the first flight in the morning. Current weather forecast predicts scattered thunderstorms around the area.
But I think you should be fine to stay on your current flight unless you have to be at your destination on time.
Sep 1, 2019, 3:22 pm
#102
Join Date: Jun 2001
Location: CA & Europe
Programs: AA Life-Plat 5MM, HH Diamond, IHG Plat, UA, BA
Posts: 738
Theoretical questions with practical implications:
Suppose AA announced that due to weather conditions people flying to city X can change their flight without a change fee, for flights from date Y thru date Z.
Suppose I have a round-trip ticket to city X where the outbound is between dates Y and Z, but the return is 10 days after Z.
Question 1: Can I change Both outbound and return flights at no change fee?
Question 2: What if I am talking about an International ticket purchased on AA that includes a BA segment (in both directions)?
Suppose AA announced that due to weather conditions people flying to city X can change their flight without a change fee, for flights from date Y thru date Z.
Suppose I have a round-trip ticket to city X where the outbound is between dates Y and Z, but the return is 10 days after Z.
Question 1: Can I change Both outbound and return flights at no change fee?
Question 2: What if I am talking about an International ticket purchased on AA that includes a BA segment (in both directions)?
Sep 1, 2019, 7:52 pm
#104
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Thousand Oaks, Ca., USA
Programs: AA Lifetime Plat; Bonvoy Titanium Lifetime Elite;Hyatt Globalist; HHonors Diamond; United Silver
Posts: 8,315
Theoretical questions with practical implications:
Suppose AA announced that due to weather conditions people flying to city X can change their flight without a change fee, for flights from date Y thru date Z.
Suppose I have a round-trip ticket to city X where the outbound is between dates Y and Z, but the return is 10 days after Z.
Question 1: Can I change Both outbound and return flights at no change fee?
Question 2: What if I am talking about an International ticket purchased on AA that includes a BA segment (in both directions)?
Suppose AA announced that due to weather conditions people flying to city X can change their flight without a change fee, for flights from date Y thru date Z.
Suppose I have a round-trip ticket to city X where the outbound is between dates Y and Z, but the return is 10 days after Z.
Question 1: Can I change Both outbound and return flights at no change fee?
Question 2: What if I am talking about an International ticket purchased on AA that includes a BA segment (in both directions)?
Don’t know the BA aspect.
Sep 2, 2019, 5:22 am
#105
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: Global
Posts: 5,998
MIA - remains open.
FLL - closing at noon today (Monday) until further notice.
PBI - closing at noon today (Monday) until further notice. All flights canceled for today.
MCO - OPEN - this is a change from before.
DAB - OPEN - this is a change from before.
FLL - closing at noon today (Monday) until further notice.
PBI - closing at noon today (Monday) until further notice. All flights canceled for today.
MCO - OPEN - this is a change from before.
DAB - OPEN - this is a change from before.