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Boeing 737 MAX 8 crashes and effects on AA 737 MAX 8s (NOT reaccommodation)

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Old Mar 12, 2019, 12:03 pm
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Last edit by: JDiver
This thread is dedicated to the effect on AA from the October 29, 2018 and March 10, 2019 crashes if two Boeing 737 MAX 8 aircraft in Indonesia and Ethiopia, respectively.

To discuss the probable and limited return of the Boeing MAX to service with AA at the end of 2020 and increasingly in 2021, please see

American Planning 737 MAX Service Restoration (Limited Dec and 2021)

To discuss reaccommodation by AA subsequent to the grounding of all Boeing MAX 8s and 9s by the US Federal Aviation Administration on 13 March 2019, please refer to 737 MAX grounded 13 Mar 2019. What to do if you were supposed to fly on one?

13 March 2019: All US airline Boeing 737 MAX 8 and 9 aircraft are grounded by US Federal Aviation Administration emergency order. AA has removed all 737 MAX 8 from scheduling through...
“Based on the latest guidance, the airline anticipates that the resumption of scheduled commercial service on American’s fleet of Boeing 737 MAX aircraft will occur (limited schedule Dec 2020).

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The thread regarding the 10 March 2019 Ethiopian Airlines ET 302 737 MAX 8 crash out of Adis Ababa is Ethiopian Airlines: Boeing 737 Max 8 crashes on way to Kenya [ET302 ADD-NBO 10MAR19]. Link.

The thread regarding the 29 October 2018 Lion Air JT 610 737 MAX 8 crash out of Jakarta is Lion Air flight from Jakarta has crashed
. Link.

The best narrative and information available is probably the Aviation Herald’s Crash: Lion B38M near Jakarta on Oct 29th 2018, aircraft lost height and crashed into Java Sea, wrong AoA data, by Simon Hradecky, created Friday, Oct 25th 2019 13:35Z, last updated Friday, Oct 25th 2019 16:05Z. Link.

American Airlines ordered 100 Boeing 737 MAX 8 (7M8) with options for 60 more. The first 737 MAX -8 flew at the assembly facility in Renton, WAshington, USA on 29 Jan 2016. Deliveries to AA commenced in late in 2017, with four delivered in 2017,16 more during 2018, with 20 more to be delivered during 2019. IATA code B38M; AA code "7M8".

Link to the story of how 737 MAX’ birth in the DFW Admirals Club and the forces that shaped it.

29 October 2018: Indonesian carrier Lion Air Flight 610 on October 29 crashed into the sea soon after takeoff with the loss of all aboard, apparently due to the erroneous data from a faulty Angle of Attack sensor, which caused the MCAS (Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System) to assume the plane was about to stall, which activated the downward force on the Stabilizer Trim to get the nose down. Link to BBC article.

Link to Aviation Herald discussion.

Link to FlyerTalk airline forum thread regarding this incident.

“Instead of switching off the Stabilizer Trim the pilots appear to have battled the system.” Link

This aircraft had been written up as having a faulty AOA indicator for the previous three flights it had taken. It is unclear if Lion Air had performed adequate maintenance procedures after the reports or withdraw the aircraft from service until the fault could be completely cleared.

7 November 2018: The US Federal Aviation Administration / FAA issued an Airworthiness Directive (AD note) covering the AOA within a few days, giving US airlines 30 days to comply with the AD.

7 November 2018: Boeing issued revised operating instructions covering the revised MCAS used in the MAX 8, updating the MAX operations manual. See the manual update and the switches referenced in this post.

See “What is the Boeing 737 MAX Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System?”, updated November 17 to explain the MCAS and electric trim override operation, here: link.

10 March 10, 2019: An Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX 8 departing Addis Ababa to Nairobi turned back to the airport soon after takeoff, but crashed with the loss of all aboard.

Link to BBC article.

Link to Aviation Herald discussion.

Link to FlyerTalk airline forum thread regarding this incident.

10 March 10, 2019: The US National Transportation Board / NTSB has dispatched an investigation team, as have Boeing, to Addis Ababa to assist the Ethiopian investigators in determining the cause(s) of the crash. The “black boxes” (cockpit voice and the flight data recorder have been recovered.

A revised MCAS is in the works, and the FAA is expected to issue an AD note when the MCAS update is done. This is expected to occur in May, 2019.

11 March 2019: China grounded its 737 MAX 8 (not MAX 9) fleet.

11 March 2019: the US FAA stated it would not ground US (AA, AS, UA, WN) 737 MAX aircraft at this time.

Link to FAA Airworthiness Notification for USA registered B38M aircraft PDF.

Link to Wall Street Journal article.

11 March 2019: AA APFA Flight Attendant union spokesperson asked AA to ground the MAX 8s. (TPG)

11 March 2019: AA pilots through their APA union have requested passengers allow the investigators do their work and refrain from jumping to conclusions. “We caution against speculation about what may have caused this tragic accident,” the Air Line Pilots Association said in a statement. (TPG)

12 March 2019: The nation members of the European Union, the United Kingdom and several other nations ban their airlines’ operation, and other airlines’ overflight or flights, of the B38M aircraft. Link to New York Times article.

12 March 2019: Other USA airlines operating 737 MAX aircraft (of all types) are United (UA), Southwest (WN). AS has ordered the MAX 9, but deliveries have not yet been made.

Link to The Points Guy “how to tell if you’re flying a 737 MAX 8” article

13 March 2019: American Airlines pilots’ union APA issues statement in support of the AA B38M: “The AA APA spokesman says AA's MAX 8s have additional indicators on the planes, which others do not have. He says they're the only ones equipped with TWO AOA displays - one for each pilot. This, I guess, is why AA feels they can keep flying the MAX 8. The spokesman said he felt UA and SW (WN) were getting these added to their MAX planes. “ - Econometrics

https://www.cnbc.com/video/2019/03/1...ilot-says.html

13 March 2019: Canada grounds Canadian B38M aircraft. The US is the sole remaining nation to allow operation of the 737 MAX 8. Link to USA Today article.

13 March 2019: US Federal Aviation Administration issues emergency order for immediate grounding all USA airline operated Boeing 737 MAX 8 and 9 aircraft, effectively immediately. Link NYT story.

13 March 2019: American Airlines issues announcement of 7M8 grounding. Link to PDF. According to AA:

On average, American operates 85 flights per day on the MAX 8, out of 6,700 departures throughout the American Airlines system. Our operations center is working to re-route aircraft throughout the system to cover as much of our schedule as we can.
13 March 2019: AA issues policy allowing those scheduled for 7M8 flights through April 4 to refund or change without fees for cancellations, or to make free changes to their flight plans. See the thread linked to at the top of this Wiki for a link.

14 March 2019: It is announced the French BEA will retrieve the data from the Ethiopian Cockpit Voice Recorder and Flight Data Recorder.

Link to Eight things you might not know about black boxes
By Cristen Tilley, ABC Australia

15 March 2019: BBC article states FAA says the MAX will not be cleared for flight at least until May. Link to story.

15 March 2019: On the other hand, CNBC states Boeing will have the anti-stall software update for the MAX ready in ten days, and that the FAA is expected to sign off on the modification on March 25, 2019.

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Boeing 737 MAX 8 crashes and effects on AA 737 MAX 8s (NOT reaccommodation)

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Old Mar 20, 2019, 4:29 pm
  #481  
 
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Originally Posted by JDiver
OTOH, AA, UA and WN pilots said in the most part they were comfortable flying the MAX after the Ethiopian incident. Link to Wall Street Journal article
Of course, I would bet that the ET pilots would have said the same thing before the crash. The problem with what happened after the ET incident is that I am not sure whether to believe completely what US airlines/regulators say publicly.
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Old Mar 20, 2019, 4:30 pm
  #482  
 
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You need time in the aircraft you are flying, everyone is different along with the weather conditions, and the airport.

The pilot is always at fault, and yet when in doubt get out..

I have always blamed myself, for everything that happens, and better prepared next time..

No design is 100% perfect, that is why they send a man along, to blame..

A sensor could have had a problem, but we have many of these planes in the sky..flip the switch...and over ride the system..
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Old Mar 20, 2019, 4:32 pm
  #483  
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Originally Posted by flyingeph12

Of course, I would bet that the ET pilots would have said the same thing before the crash. The problem with what happened after the ET incident is that I am not sure whether to believe completely what US airlines/regulators say publicly.
The Boeing 737 MAX Bulletin (operating manual Bulletin) verifiably went out 6 Nov 2018 to all Boeing 737 MAX customers. The FAA AD note was issued the following day. Both of those are easily verified.
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Old Mar 20, 2019, 6:33 pm
  #484  
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Originally Posted by JDiver
... had not a PNF (pilot not flying) riding in the cockpit been able to instruct the PIC and SIC how to overcome the MCAS ...
I wonder the PNF specifically knew it was MCAS rather than observing a strange runaway situation, let alone a faulty AoA sensor ...
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Old Mar 20, 2019, 6:40 pm
  #485  
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Originally Posted by serfty
I wonder the PNF specifically knew it was MCAS rather than observing a strange runaway situation, let alone a faulty AoA sensor ...
So you are saying that even their best pilot may have not been fully aware of the problem, but rather used a common sense/intuitive type of approach to solve it?
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Old Mar 20, 2019, 7:53 pm
  #486  
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Originally Posted by nk15
So you are saying that even their best pilot may have not been fully aware of the problem, but rather used a common sense/intuitive type of approach to solve it?
That is what I am wondering.

From what I have read, it seems that BOEING had been hoping all MAX pilots would do the same thing if such an event occurred. It did not happen, hence the bulletin that went out 6 Nov 2018 ....
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Old Mar 21, 2019, 8:46 am
  #487  
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Wow, you have to read this, just in from NYT:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/do...cid=spartandhp

Doomed Boeing Jets Lacked 2 Safety Features That Company Sold Only as Extras
(MCAS-related)
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Old Mar 21, 2019, 10:47 am
  #488  
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Originally Posted by JDiver
The First Officer apparently had 350 hours, according to updates from ET.

But the problems are said to include training and experience in both instances.

Though ET has a MAX (and a 737-700) simulator, they haven’t had it very long - and the Bulletin Boeing put out on November 6 2018 about MCAS and the effects of a faulty AOA / angle of attack vane / sensor mean a number of ET pilots hadn’t had any practice on this issue because they’re only required to undergo simulator training every six months.

It sounds like the Lion Air aircraft could have been lost on 28 Oct instead of the 29th, had not a PNF (pilot not flying) riding in the cockpit been able to instruct the PIC and SIC how to overcome the MCAS and faulty AOA on the Lion Air aircraft that crashed the next day. And



OTOH, AA, UA and WN pilots said in the most part they were comfortable flying the MAX after the Ethiopian incident. Link to Wall Street Journal article
Yet I haven't seen any information about the experience/training of the three pilots in th October 28th incident, not even a statement of whether the third pilot worked for Lion Air. (I would assume so since this is a LCC that doesn't interline, but I don't know the rules about when a pilot employed by a different airline can ride in the cockpit jumpseat.) I'm also curious about whether the two pilots responsible for flying the plane on the 28th had any hesitation about following the suggestions of the third pilot. Perhaps he was an instructor or the carriers chief pilot?
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Old Mar 21, 2019, 12:46 pm
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Originally Posted by nk15
Wow, you have to read this, just in from NYT:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/do...cid=spartandhp

Doomed Boeing Jets Lacked 2 Safety Features That Company Sold Only as Extras
(MCAS-related)
Interesting to see the different approaches taken by the major North American carriers.
I summarized the data in the AC forum, but it's worth reposting here.

AC & AA - purchased both options
Southwest - purchased disagree alert & separately installed AOA sensors.
WestJet - only disagree alert. No AOA sensors.
UA - did not select either

From the linked article above:
A United spokesman said the airline does not include the features because its pilots use other data to fly the plane.
Yikes. That's not a good narrative. The Lion Air & Ethiopian pilots also used other data to fly their plane. What else did UA skimp out on? Nice to see AA taking a lead in safety, in this instance.
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Old Mar 21, 2019, 2:04 pm
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Originally Posted by cedric
Nice to see AA taking a lead in safety, in this instance.
I would be surprised if that decision was made by this management team. According to Wikipedia, AA placed it’s 7M8 orders back in 2013. Of course, I’m not sure if the decision with respect to add-ons would have been made at the same time as the order being placed...
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Old Mar 21, 2019, 2:34 pm
  #491  
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Originally Posted by MSPeconomist
Yet I haven't seen any information about the experience/training of the three pilots in th October 28th incident, not even a statement of whether the third pilot worked for Lion Air. (I would assume so since this is a LCC that doesn't interline, but I don't know the rules about when a pilot employed by a different airline can ride in the cockpit jumpseat.) I'm also curious about whether the two pilots responsible for flying the plane on the 28th had any hesitation about following the suggestions of the third pilot. Perhaps he was an instructor or the carriers chief pilot?
. The captain had accumulated 6,000 hours of total flight experience, the first officer 5,000 hours. - link to Aviation Herald discussion
I recommend reading the entire AVHerald pages on these incidents.
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Old Mar 21, 2019, 3:03 pm
  #492  
 
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Originally Posted by flyingeph12

I would be surprised if that decision was made by this management team. According to Wikipedia, AA placed it’s 7M8 orders back in 2013. Of course, I’m not sure if the decision with respect to add-ons would have been made at the same time as the order being placed...
Is there anything to suggest that post-merger aircraft orders are lacking safety options?
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Old Mar 21, 2019, 3:34 pm
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All this aside (with options, training, etc) - but the net is - why does the 7M8 need MCAS in the first place? To compensate for design issues. Older 738's don't have MCAS and don't crash like the LyonAir and ET planes. One of these options is just an alert.

So you are flying a new aircraft that is suppose to fly automatically, but you really need 3 well trained pilots to fly the plane so if a problem arises they can switch to manual, and use their skills to recover from a stall or dive.
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Old Mar 21, 2019, 5:18 pm
  #494  
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Based on the NYT report, we have an egregious case of corporate greed by Boeing here, or, even in the best case scenario, serious criminal negligence, based on just how they handled the optional MCAS safety features alone.
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Old Mar 21, 2019, 5:33 pm
  #495  
 
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Originally Posted by cedric
Is there anything to suggest that post-merger aircraft orders are lacking safety options?
No.

But then again, are the AoA sensors and disagree alert "safety options"? If they are, then it seems really bad to me that Boeing would sell those as options instead of including them as standard. Then again, apparently Boeing sells add-ons like extra rafts and fire extinguishers, so... (To be clear, I would be interested in what Airbus does as well, which the NYT article conveniently leaves out.)

In any event, all I was trying to convey is that any credit (or blame) for "add-ons" for the 7M8 may be more appropriately placed on prior management instead of the current one.
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