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ARCHIVE: Routes (Flights) and Hubs (Speculation, News and Discussion)

 
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Old Dec 27, 2013, 5:17 pm
  #346  
 
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Originally Posted by lhl12
I haven't seen any specifics on the terms of this divestiture, but I would be very surprised if the EU agreement allowed it to be sold to another Oneworld carrier. If they did then BA is clearly the logical buyer. In that case, then BA would just be stepping into US's shoes and almost nothing would change from a competition standpoint.
The only airlines specifically excluded from applying are BA and IB, as BA, AA and IB are in a Trans-Atlantic Joint Venture. There is no mention of, nor do I believe the EU can exclude an entire Alliance from using the slots as members of an Alliance, other than the above 3 and other JVs, operate autonomously and competitively.
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Old Dec 27, 2013, 6:30 pm
  #347  
 
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Originally Posted by Chris at PHL
It really is a shame the SEPTA Airport Line isn't better leveraged. Not many airports have rail lines that are so convenient: get on literally a few feet from the terminal and off right downtown in 15-20 minutes. I live in Center City so taking the train makes sense for me, but I really noticed last night riding home from the airport how poor a job the airport and SEPTA do in making it an attractive option (especially for visitors). There are no ticket machines at the stations and passengers must pay with cash on board. I heard a conductor barking at a German man who was trying to pay with a credit card (I know I certainly don't have a wad of Euros in my wallet the minute I get off the plane in Germany; I'm sure he didn't have any dollars yet either). 20 minute head ways and ticket machines at the stations would do wonders, I think.
So true. It really is a shame. I'm a long-time SEPTA rider, very pro-public transit and, yes, pro-union (or at least not anti-union); but, all that said, it's a shame the way that SEPTA is managed and the way that the employees treat the riders. More could/should be done given the existing infrastructure to make it desirable for riders, including visitors not inured to the deprivations and depradations of SEPTA ....
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Old Dec 27, 2013, 8:51 pm
  #348  
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Originally Posted by agp423
Please give me routes out of DTW... DL is like the ugly wife I never want but can't get rid of because I can't find someone better.
The combined airline will do alright: LGA, DCA, PHL, CLT, ORD, DFW, PHX, MIA. Can't imagine what else they'd do though.
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Old Dec 30, 2013, 8:49 am
  #349  
 
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AA is now using US gates at DCA. Pulled in to gate 24 last night and also noticed an AA aircraft parked at gate 26. Prior to the merger AA's gates were 28,30, and 32-34, so it now looks like they are sharing gates when necessary at DCA.
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Old Dec 30, 2013, 11:59 am
  #350  
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Will new AA fly PHL-HNL nonstop?

US tried flying CLT-HNL, but two things doomed that flight - not enough O&D in CLT and the 762 lacked the legs for the westbound flight and often had to stop in PHX for fuel.

An AA 763 could make that flight nonstop every time and the PHL area would feature more O&D to HNL.
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Old Dec 30, 2013, 1:08 pm
  #351  
 
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I really doubt it, but I would love to see AA return to BOS-SFO instead of having to use B6. One can dream.

Last edited by mzrn; Dec 30, 2013 at 1:14 pm
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Old Dec 30, 2013, 1:45 pm
  #352  
 
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Originally Posted by FWAAA
Will new AA fly PHL-HNL nonstop?

US tried flying CLT-HNL, but two things doomed that flight - not enough O&D in CLT and the 762 lacked the legs for the westbound flight and often had to stop in PHX for fuel.

An AA 763 could make that flight nonstop every time and the PHL area would feature more O&D to HNL.
The biggest problem with east coast to HI flights is that they are a fairly long and thin route with costs and utilization demands similar to a US to Europe flight but without the corresponding premium traffic. I imagine there are more people willing to pay for F on HI routes than on most leisure routes, which helps, but there isn't the price-insensitive business traffic in Y. AA would make way more money using that 763 on US-EUR flight or even a transcon than they would from PHL-HNL.

Furthermore, I highly doubt there's enough O&D or even connecting traffic to fill a 763 from PHL-HNL. The Caribbean is so much easier to get to than HI and a lot cheaper. Yes, its not the same, but it's close enough that the cost and distance push more people south instead of west. Also, there aren't that many places where it would make more sense to connect through PHL than it would to connect through DFW or the West Coast. If AA can't make a nonstop from ORD to HNL work, its highly unlikely that PHL could support such a flight.

I could see them potentially upgauging an LAX or PHX flight, or even adding a DFW frequency depending on what the domestic feed into those airports looks like further into the merger (although I think an upgauge at LAX would be at the cost of frequency) before they contemplate adding PHL-HNL. HI is far more popular for O&D passengers from those cities than the Caribbean (maybe not DFW) and it makes more sense to funnel in those from the East Coast to those cities to join their O&D traffic than flying nonstop from the east. Still, using an internationally-configured widebody on any HNL flight where a 757 can make the trip is not going to be super cost-effective.
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Old Dec 31, 2013, 4:57 pm
  #353  
 
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Charlotte doesn't get much nonstop long-haul international traffic. From DOT, here's a list of total enplanements on nonstop routes to Europe and South America between 1/1/2013 and 6/20/3013:

Code:
Destination         Pax     Weekly Avg
Frankfurt, Germany  64,146  2,495
Munich, Germany     42,148  1,639
London, United King 40,498  1,575
Rio de Janeiro, Bra 25,672  998
Paris, France       18,799  731
Rome, Italy         15,966  621
Dublin, Ireland     8,835   344
Madrid, Spain       7,077   275
Sao Paulo, Brazil   2,872   112
Barcelona, Spain    222     9
To put this in perspective, these 226,235 international enplanements represent only 2.3% of CLT's 10,009,726 enplanements between January and June 2013.

I also pulled all Charlotte domestic traffic on Star Alliance and One World carriers, including US/UA/AA-affiliated regional carriers. By my count, roughly 29% of Charlotte's total OW/*A traffic - including both O&D and connecting passengers - comes from airports for which Charlotte is arguably more convenient than, or as convenient as, any other US/AA hub for many connections. This data covers 1/1/2013 to 9/30/2013:

Code:
Airport               Passengers
Orlando, FL             396,049
Atlanta, GA             296,047
Raleigh/Durham, NC      278,490
Jacksonville, FL        203,656
Norfolk, VA             170,825
Richmond, VA            170,221
Nashville, TN           168,789
Charleston, SC          157,661
Wilmington, NC          147,132
Greensboro/High Point,  144,228
Savannah, GA            131,090
Myrtle Beach, SC        129,156
Memphis, TN             110,074
Birmingham, AL          100,148
Louisville, KY           97,004
Knoxville, TN            92,779
Asheville, NC            85,012
Greer, SC                81,219
Roanoke, VA              73,289
Newport News/Williamsb   71,523
Jacksonville/Camp Leje   71,518
Fayetteville, NC         71,418
Augusta, GA              65,616
Columbia, SC             64,874
Charlottesville, VA      63,082
New Bern/Morehead/Beau   60,172
Huntsville, AL           59,674
Lexington, KY            58,791
Lynchburg, VA            57,325
Chattanooga, TN          50,445
Bristol/Johnson City/K   47,101
Florence, SC             44,521
Hilton Head, SC          44,059
Greenville, NC           42,747
Charleston/Dunbar, WV    42,170
Tallahassee, FL          41,919
Mobile, AL               33,275
White Plains, NY         28,802
Gulfport/Biloxi, MS      27,636
Ashland, WV              26,511
Montgomery, AL           19,161

Subtotal                4,125,209

CLT Total Enplanements 14,094,085

Last edited by jbsay; Dec 31, 2013 at 7:15 pm
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Old Dec 31, 2013, 5:34 pm
  #354  
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Originally Posted by jbsay
Charlotte doesn't get much nonstop long-haul international traffic.
That data is somewhat skewed. The international traffic is from 1/01 to 6/20. Whereas the domestic figures run until the end of September. Moreover, a lot of the summer seasonal flights to Europe from Charlotte don't start until the end of May/early June.
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Old Dec 31, 2013, 6:23 pm
  #355  
 
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Originally Posted by Fanjet
That data is somewhat skewed. The international traffic is from 1/01 to 6/20. Whereas the domestic figures run until the end of September. Moreover, a lot of the summer seasonal flights to Europe from Charlotte don't start until the end of May/early June.
Fair point. I ran the data again using 2012 stats, which encompass the whole year. 467,786 of CLT's 19,328,707 total enplanements were on long-haul international flights, or 2.42% of the total. CLT also accounted for 0.92% of the 51,049,899 long-haul international enplanements at U.S. airports in 2012.
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Old Dec 31, 2013, 6:41 pm
  #356  
 
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2 things I take from these stats

1 - I can't believe Atlanta is # 2
2 - I can't imagine AA without CLT hub - it amazes me how much traffic small towns like Fayetteville, NC and Athens, GA send through CLT.

Originally Posted by jbsay
Charlotte doesn't get much nonstop long-haul international traffic. From DOT, here's a list of total enplanements on nonstop routes to Europe and South America between 1/1/2013 and 6/20/3013:

Code:
Destination         Pax     Weekly Avg
Frankfurt, Germany  64,146  2,495
Munich, Germany     42,148  1,639
London, United King 40,498  1,575
Rio de Janeiro, Bra 25,672  998
Paris, France       18,799  731
Rome, Italy         15,966  621
Dublin, Ireland     8,835   344
Madrid, Spain       7,077   275
Sao Paulo, Brazil   2,872   112
Barcelona, Spain    222     9
To put this in perspective, these 226,235 international enplanements represent only 2.3% of CLT's 10,009,726 enplanements between January and June 2013.

I also pulled all Charlotte domestic traffic on Star Alliance and One World carriers, including US/UA/AA-affiliated regional carriers. By my count, roughly 29% of Charlotte's traffic - including both O&D and connecting passengers - comes from airports for which Charlotte is arguably more convenient than, or as convenient as, any other US/AA hub for many connections. This data covers 1/1/2013 to 9/30/2013:

Code:
Airport               Passengers
Orlando, FL             396,049
Atlanta, GA             296,047
Raleigh/Durham, NC      278,490
Jacksonville, FL        203,656
Norfolk, VA             170,825
Richmond, VA            170,221
Nashville, TN           168,789
Charleston, SC          157,661
Wilmington, NC          147,132
Greensboro/High Point,  144,228
Savannah, GA            131,090
Myrtle Beach, SC        129,156
Memphis, TN             110,074
Birmingham, AL          100,148
Louisville, KY           97,004
Knoxville, TN            92,779
Asheville, NC            85,012
Greer, SC                81,219
Roanoke, VA              73,289
Newport News/Williamsb   71,523
Jacksonville/Camp Leje   71,518
Fayetteville, NC         71,418
Augusta, GA              65,616
Columbia, SC             64,874
Charlottesville, VA      63,082
New Bern/Morehead/Beau   60,172
Huntsville, AL           59,674
Lexington, KY            58,791
Lynchburg, VA            57,325
Chattanooga, TN          50,445
Bristol/Johnson City/K   47,101
Florence, SC             44,521
Hilton Head, SC          44,059
Greenville, NC           42,747
Charleston/Dunbar, WV    42,170
Tallahassee, FL          41,919
Mobile, AL               33,275
White Plains, NY         28,802
Gulfport/Biloxi, MS      27,636
Ashland, WV              26,511
Montgomery, AL           19,161

Subtotal                4,125,209

CLT Total Enplanements 14,094,085
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Old Dec 31, 2013, 7:45 pm
  #357  
 
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Originally Posted by FWAAA
Will new AA fly PHL-HNL nonstop?

US tried flying CLT-HNL, but two things doomed that flight - not enough O&D in CLT and the 762 lacked the legs for the westbound flight and often had to stop in PHX for fuel.

An AA 763 could make that flight nonstop every time and the PHL area would feature more O&D to HNL.
During Q1-2013, on an average day, 58 passengers originated in PHL and terminated in HNL. Another 27 passengers flew PHL to OGG; 19 to KOA; and 14 to LIH. That's about 120 passengers per day who originate in PHL and end up in Hawaii. Even if the new AA could capture 75% of that market, along with 20 passengers a day who would otherwise fly EWR-HNL, and 20 connecting passengers, that's only 130 passengers per day. I doubt that's enough to justify a 763. Maybe, just maybe, a 4x weekly seasonal for a month or two would work, but I'm skeptical.
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Old Jan 1, 2014, 11:06 am
  #358  
 
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Originally Posted by morrisunc
1 - I can't believe Atlanta is # 2
MCO is a value/leisure destination for an airline that specializes in this kind of traffic and routes most of this traffic through its closest airport, CLT.
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Old Jan 1, 2014, 11:30 am
  #359  
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Originally Posted by FWAAA
Will new AA fly PHL-HNL nonstop?

US tried flying CLT-HNL, but two things doomed that flight - not enough O&D in CLT and the 762 lacked the legs for the westbound flight and often had to stop in PHX for fuel.

An AA 763 could make that flight nonstop every time and the PHL area would feature more O&D to HNL.
I doubt that the new AA will fly from PHL/CLT-HNL in the near future. In addition to the 762 not having the proper range, it probably didn't command a premium over connectiong passengers through PHX.

Based on Kirby's statements, I do expect the new AA to be much more aggressive at adding extra DFW/LAX-HNL flights during peak traffic periods. For example, US runs anywhere from 1 PHX-HNL on low-demand days to 4 PHX-HNL flights during the Christmas peak demand days. In HNL, it was interesting watching the US GA's (actually contract HA GA's) running from 1 redeye PHX-HNL flight to the next (3 total at adjacent gates in HNL).

Next Christmas, I would expect to see an evening DFW-HNL flight on peak days, returning as a late night redeye.
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Old Jan 1, 2014, 5:45 pm
  #360  
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 3,535
Originally Posted by morrisunc
1 - I can't believe Atlanta is # 2
US has a habit of underselling competitors on routes where other legacies offer a non-stop (and they don't), so this doesn't surprise me.
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