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JetBlue mint service coming to Seattle - reduced fares for Alaska (and Delta)?

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JetBlue mint service coming to Seattle - reduced fares for Alaska (and Delta)?

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Old Jul 18, 2017, 10:53 am
  #46  
 
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Originally Posted by tusphotog
Surprised nobody's asked about this, but what do the schedules look like? Beds are great and all, but does B6 have competitively timed flights compared to AS to Boston (morning east, evening westbound)? Has AS put a daytime flight to JFK yet?
B6 has two BOS-SEA turns daily, a midday arrival heading back for Boston at 1-ish and a late-night heading back east just before midnight.
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Old Jul 18, 2017, 11:10 am
  #47  
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Originally Posted by sfozrhfco
Even $750/$960 is going to be way too expensive.
If they are selling out at that rate why decrease it? Obviously they may change SEA but B6 isn't there yet with Mint and not too bad as refundable F.
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Old Jul 18, 2017, 11:17 am
  #48  
 
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Originally Posted by CDKing
If they are selling out at that rate why decrease it? Obviously they may change SEA but B6 isn't there yet with Mint and not too bad as refundable F.
Selling out now and selling out in the future with increased competition are two different things.
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Old Jul 18, 2017, 12:33 pm
  #49  
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Originally Posted by sfozrhfco
Selling out now and selling out in the future with increased competition are two different things.
Why drop the price now when the competition has not moved in yet? Perhaps they want to see if it has any effect before dropping the price. When B6 increased service to Alaska, AS didn't automatically react but later on as they had a better idea of the impact, some flights had price drops to compete and some did not.
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Old Jul 18, 2017, 2:14 pm
  #50  
 
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Originally Posted by CDKing
Why drop the price now when the competition has not moved in yet? Perhaps they want to see if it has any effect before dropping the price. When B6 increased service to Alaska, AS didn't automatically react but later on as they had a better idea of the impact, some flights had price drops to compete and some did not.
This thread is about the impact of Mint flights on Alaska pricing. If there is no Mint flight in whatever market you are thinking about, then pricing is irrelevant. We are talking about pricing AFTER the Mint flights start.
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Old Jul 18, 2017, 4:25 pm
  #51  
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Originally Posted by sfozrhfco
This thread is about the impact of Mint flights on Alaska pricing. If there is no Mint flight in whatever market you are thinking about, then pricing is irrelevant. We are talking about pricing AFTER the Mint flights start.
I'm just giving you input on how AS operates. Whether it's Mint or not its still relevant to the issue at hand.
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Old Jul 18, 2017, 4:50 pm
  #52  
 
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Originally Posted by CDKing
I'm just giving you input on how AS operates. Whether it's Mint or not its still relevant to the issue at hand.
Well, they better change the way they operate or they will be an irrelevant player in the transcon markets.
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Old Jul 18, 2017, 5:26 pm
  #53  
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Also worth considering that JetBlue's expectation is to maintain its "home" feed from the east coast while poaching just a couple folks on the west coast in a way that helps grow the business. No one expects JetBlue to be the default carrier for premium cabin travelers based on the west coast, especially not in a city that is a competitor's hub. Premium is about both comfort and convenience and the limited JetBlue schedule for other routes means that someone living in SEA isn't going to wholesale switch to JetBlue once Mint is introduced.

But for a similar price why not try out the fancy new product and see what it is like. Especially if you're already flying so many transcons in the paid premium cabin that requalification is easy. :-:
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Old Jul 18, 2017, 6:31 pm
  #54  
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Originally Posted by sfozrhfco
Well, they better change the way they operate or they will be an irrelevant player in the transcon markets.
Because of 16 or 32 seats a day ex-SEA?

AS is going after a different niche.
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Old Jul 18, 2017, 6:35 pm
  #55  
 
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Originally Posted by CDKing
If they are selling out at that rate why decrease it? Obviously they may change SEA but B6 isn't there yet with Mint and not too bad as refundable F.
SEA is a little further away, but for AS, they will start facing competitions on NYC/BOS-SAN later this year and frankly their pricing from what I can see right now is just not competitive. on NYC-SAN, AS J seats are priced $22 O/W less than B6 for the privilege of flying out of EWR at once a day and selling Y seat for $149. If their FC cabin is going to be mostly free upgrades, this is going to be a huge money loosing route for AS very quickly.

On BOS-SAN after B6 enters, AS J seats will be $1 less O/W and they are at lower frequency than B6.

On BOS-SEA after B6 enters, DL J seats are at $441, B6 at $549 and AS at $706 at the moment. I'm sure some AS loyalists will keep paying premium, but that's just not a competitive price for free agents and anyone outside of Seattle.

VX insane pricing will be going away at some point (codeshare have always priced wierdly high). AS operated F is typically under $1000 even last minute. For instance BOS-SAN the next few days are sold out and next seat for sale on in F is $750. BOS-SEA is also sold out a few days and about $960 last minute.
I'm not sure what VX is actually selling their J on routes like BOS-LAX and BOS-SFO, but their load on BOS-SFO is terrible.

I think JFK-SEA will look a lot like BOS-SFO by this time near year and AS better start selling their J seats at under $600 or those business will be migrating over to DL/B6.
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Old Jul 18, 2017, 7:26 pm
  #56  
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Originally Posted by sfozrhfco
Well, they better change the way they operate or they will be an irrelevant player in the transcon markets.
You may have missed the corporate presentation. They aren't going for the premium market. They want to be like Southwest but with a chance of an upgrade for the regular folks.
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Old Jul 22, 2017, 10:32 am
  #57  
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B6 TrueBlue is point based, and actual points earned vary, according to fare paid. They have some reciprocals, but nothing like the variety offered by MP. Given their East Coast focus, a lot of transcon services require overnight flying, for purposes of aircraft utilization. They try to mitigate some of that by running linear North/South flights on the West Coast, to and from LGB. If history is any guide, the fare situation will be the reverse of what people are speculating. They will use Alaska's aggressive high fares to price up, not down, following the introductory phase. JetBlue is often the most expensive, especially in Holiday periods, and thanks to their exposure to East Coast hubs, and that region's propensity for foul weather, they are always late.
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Old Jul 22, 2017, 10:29 pm
  #58  
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Originally Posted by deelmakur
JetBlue is often the most expensive
JetBlue is often expensive, but they also offer the best product.

In Economy they have the most legroom for standard Economy, free TVs, free Internet (which is fast) and unlimited self-service snacks. If you take points off the table, and all things being equal, there's no reason to choose anyone else.

Mint vs. Domestic F is another night and day comparison with the seat comfort alone. The only thing the other guys have on JetBlue is maybe a lounge.
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Old Jul 23, 2017, 8:38 am
  #59  
 
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Originally Posted by CDKing
You may have missed the corporate presentation. They aren't going for the premium market. They want to be like Southwest but with a chance of an upgrade for the regular folks.
Which again is a recipe for losing money on premium transcons. There is a reason WN has no non stops in the premium transcon markets. They would not make any money. So if they are trying to be like WN for these markets, guess the plan is either to lose money or to eventually abandon those routes.
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Old Jul 23, 2017, 10:23 am
  #60  
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Originally Posted by sfozrhfco
Which again is a recipe for losing money on premium transcons. There is a reason WN has no non stops in the premium transcon markets. They would not make any money. So if they are trying to be like WN for these markets, guess the plan is either to lose money or to eventually abandon those routes.
The airlines with premium transcon seats have plenty of crappy seats in the back of the planes. They sell them.
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