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United's HUB non-stop pricing extremely high

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United's HUB non-stop pricing extremely high

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Old Jan 28, 2018, 12:22 pm
  #46  
 
Join Date: Nov 2012
Programs: BA Bronze, United 1K, HH Gold, SPG Platinum, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 3,477
Originally Posted by Repooc17
Thank you! I need to check this. 36 years of flying and I never had to check a Matrix or even fare rules.

Originally Posted by jsloan
If you're only interested in one fare, you can find it during the booking process on United.com. If you're interested in browsing an entire fare family, you'll need a paid service such as ExpertFlyer. Briefly, and without knowing your specific location (I'm pretty sure ITH is not an 18-minute flight from ORD ), what you're seeing just sounds like supply and demand to me. There is likely no P fare filed from your preferred airport to PVG, whereas ORD is a competitive market and UA appears to find a discount (the P fare) necessary to draw business.

Nearly all UA discount international fares are coded to disallow end-on-end construction, which is the fare rule that's preventing you from adding the flight from your preferred airport to ORD and introducing a fare break there. (Having said that: try multi-city search, as some posters have reported that UA's pricing engine will default to a through fare with a round-trip search but will use end-on-end fares with a multi-city search. I've never seen it myself, but it can't hurt to try).
In less than 4 years, I went from being stuck in ITH, to being stuck somewhere in the UK, to now being stuck somewhere in the Midwest. I guess that UA knows that I'm stuck with them as the only other choice from here is Delta and UA must know that I will not entertain that option. When AA starts flying here, maybe UA will think that they have some real competition. In 2016 and early 2017, UA must have filed a P fare from here to PEK as I paid $3,500 for those trips. If I had known that I would end up having to do the drive to ORD for international flights, I would have kept my Gold status on BA or gone back to AA (as I'm very close to the million lifetime miles due to all those years on USAirways). Anyways, I have already bought the two tickets (PEK and PVG) on UA but then realized that AA fares from ORD are similar and their planes already have the 1-2-1 layout and not the 2-4-2 of UA's 772s.

I did try the multi-city search but, even adding overnight stops both ways, the system knew not to give me a P fare.

Originally Posted by bost
Not sure your small city, but let's choose Champaign, IL as an example. If I search fares on expert flyer for CMI-PEK, I find a bunch of fares with varying restrictions (note that *FX fares are generally for Mon-Thu travel and *FW are for Fri-Sun). Notice that it's possible for the most expensive P fare to be more than the least expensive Z .

Here's the list up through the cheapest D-fare (btw, prices are without the surcharge, so may appear lower than what you actually get but they are still useful for comparison).

Code:
Fare Information Search:

Fare Basis Airline Booking Trip Type Fare Cabin Effective Expiration Min/Max Advanced
Class Date Date Stay Purchase Req
PFXG1NMD UA P Round-Trip 4500.00 (USD) B 10 / 6M 50
PFX7ANMD UA P Round-Trip 4800.00 (USD) B 14 / 6M 07
PFX27NMD UA P Round-Trip 5100.00 (USD) B 07 / 6M 21
PFWG1NMD UA P Round-Trip 5500.00 (USD) B 10 / 6M 50
PFW7ANMD UA P Round-Trip 5800.00 (USD) B 14 / 6M 07
ZFX7ZNMD UA Z Round-Trip 6000.00 (USD) B -- / 6M 07
PFW27NMD UA P Round-Trip 6100.00 (USD) B 07 / 6M 21
ZFX27NMD UA Z Round-Trip 6600.00 (USD) B 07 / 6M 21
ZFW7ZNMD UA Z Round-Trip 7000.00 (USD) B -- / 6M 07
ZFX0ZNMD UA Z Round-Trip 7000.00 (USD) B -- / 6M
ZFW27NMD UA Z Round-Trip 7600.00 (USD) B 07 / 6M 21
ZFW0ZNMD UA Z Round-Trip 8000.00 (USD) B -- / 6M
DFX0ONMD UA D Round-Trip 8240.00 (USD) B

Now, if I look for ORD-PEK, I find the following. You'll see the more general expensive P fares do exist on this route, but there are ALSO a handful of cheaper fares placed due to competition on the route or whatnot:

Code:
Fare Information Search:

Fare Basis Airline Booking Trip Type Fare Cabin Effective Expiration Min/Max Advanced
Class Date Date Stay Purchase Req
PLX03EM0 UA P Round-Trip 2232.00 (USD) B 08/24/17 12/09/17 03 / 6M
12/25/17 04/30/18
PLW03EM0 UA P Round-Trip 2532.00 (USD) B 08/24/17 12/09/17 03 / 6M
12/25/17 04/30/18
PFJ6ZMM0 UA P Round-Trip 2900.00 (USD) B 01/01/18 12/31/18 -- / 12M 30
PFK6ZMM0 UA P Round-Trip 3100.00 (USD) B 01/01/18 12/31/18 -- / 12M 30
PFS7ZMM0 UA P Round-Trip 3100.00 (USD) B 01/01/18 12/31/18 -- / 12M 07
PFXT1UMC UA P Round-Trip 3680.00 (USD) B 10 / 12M
PFXG7UMD UA P Round-Trip 4080.00 (USD) B 07 / 12M 50
PFX87UMD UA P Round-Trip 4480.00 (USD) B 07 / 12M 28
PFJ0ZMM7 UA P Round-Trip 4600.00 (USD) B 01/01/18 12/31/18 -- / 12M
PFWT1UMC UA P Round-Trip 4680.00 (USD) B 10 / 12M
PFK0ZMM7 UA P Round-Trip 4900.00 (USD) B 01/01/18 12/31/18 -- / 12M
PFWG7UMD UA P Round-Trip 5080.00 (USD) B 07 / 12M 50
PFX47UMD UA P Round-Trip 5280.00 (USD) B 07 / 12M 14
ZFJ4ZMM0 UA Z Round-Trip 5400.00 (USD) B 01/01/18 12/31/18 -- / 12M 14
PFW87UMD UA P Round-Trip 5480.00 (USD) B 07 / 12M 28
ZFK4ZMM0 UA Z Round-Trip 5900.00 (USD) B 01/01/18 12/31/18 -- / 12M 14
ZFS4ZMM0 UA Z Round-Trip 5900.00 (USD) B 01/01/18 12/31/18 -- / 12M 14
ZFX73UMD UA Z Round-Trip 6080.00 (USD) B 03 / 12M 07
PFW47UMD UA P Round-Trip 6280.00 (USD) B 07 / 12M 14
ZFJ7ZMM0 UA Z Round-Trip 6400.00 (USD) B 01/01/18 12/31/18 -- / 12M 07
ZFX0ZUMD UA Z Round-Trip 6780.00 (USD) B -- / 12M
ZFK7ZMM0 UA Z Round-Trip 6900.00 (USD) B 01/01/18 12/31/18 -- / 12M 07
ZFS7ZMM0 UA Z Round-Trip 6900.00 (USD) B 01/01/18 12/31/18 -- / 12M 07
ZFW73UMD UA Z Round-Trip 7080.00 (USD) B 03 / 12M 07
ZFW0ZUMD UA Z Round-Trip 7620.00 (USD) B -- / 12M
ZFX0ZUMC UA Z Round-Trip 7880.00 (USD) B -- / 12M
DFX0ZUTC UA D Round-Trip 8100.00 (USD) B -- / 12M
DFW0ZUTC UA D Round-Trip 8600.00 (USD) B -- / 12M
ZFW0ZUMC UA Z Round-Trip 8880.00 (USD) B -- / 12M
Thank you for taking the time of showing me an example of what I should be looking for. It's very informative!

For my TPAC or TATL flights, I have to submit a special request for Business Class. Below $4,000, I request it. Above $4,000, I don't waste time filling the form and just book Economy.
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Old Jan 29, 2018, 8:43 pm
  #47  
 
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Originally Posted by jp12687

BUT i can fly LGA-YYZ-EWR-HKG-EWR-YYZ-LGA for $4,200 on a Z fare-- its just dumb.
This works for Hawaii as well. WAS-HNL can have Z only at $1600 but routing through YYZ cuts it to $599 P for the cost of a $69 positioning flight....and a bit of time (+winter weather risk).....
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Old Jan 31, 2018, 7:11 pm
  #48  
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P fares RT non-stop EWR-PEK now dropped from $5200 ±$200 for the whole year to $~4100 for most of the year.
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Old Feb 12, 2018, 10:54 pm
  #49  
 
Join Date: Oct 2013
Posts: 150
I have a couple of weddings to go to this year and have google flight alerts set up. Gemini seems to keep and hold the fares high while other airlines keep using traditional methods. This is with nonstop LAX-SEA. NB that other airlines are operating mainline here while United is charging double for the United Express Experience. I'd be interested to see others experience in similar situations.


Last edited by claaaaaydavis; Feb 12, 2018 at 11:12 pm
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Old Feb 12, 2018, 11:17 pm
  #50  
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Originally Posted by claaaaaydavis
I have a couple of weddings to go to this year and have google flight alerts set up. Gemini seems to keep and hold the fares high while other airlines keep using traditional methods. This is with nonstop LAX-SEA. NB that other airlines are operating mainline here while United is charging double for the United Express Experience. I'd be interested to see others experience in similar situations.
Yes, this seems to be the principal impact of Gemini - they are being much tighter with domestic inventory in the 7-60 day range. My gut tells me it's a good move for them financially and they were giving away too many cheap seats before, but we'll see how it plays out.
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Old Feb 12, 2018, 11:33 pm
  #51  
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Originally Posted by findark
Yes, this seems to be the principal impact of Gemini - they are being much tighter with domestic inventory in the 7-60 day range. My gut tells me it's a good move for them financially and they were giving away too many cheap seats before, but we'll see how it plays out.
Good comment. I played the game in the 90s when CO rewarded me for minimizing the CPM. I still have that instinct even though there are times that I’d be prepared to pay a higher price. I agree that from UA’s perspective, tightening inventory is a good move.
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Old Feb 16, 2018, 4:58 pm
  #52  
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 66
This is probably not the best place but I could not find where to post this. It is sort of relevant to the point of pricing from United hubs. I am looking to buy a business class ticket from LIH-DEN next year in February. Is there a "best" time to buy as in right away when the schedule opens up or not? Thanks.
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Old Feb 16, 2018, 5:02 pm
  #53  
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Originally Posted by dil345
This is probably not the best place but I could not find where to post this. It is sort of relevant to the point of pricing from United hubs. I am looking to buy a business class ticket from LIH-DEN next year in February. Is there a "best" time to buy as in right away when the schedule opens up or not? Thanks.
You can use the price graph on Google Flights to get an idea of what the fares are like at certain periods out; there's a number of confounding variables, but it will give you a sense. Buying when the schedule becomes bookable is generally not the minimum price, but rather somewhere around 2 months out.
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Old Feb 19, 2018, 11:42 am
  #54  
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: SFO
Programs: UA GS
Posts: 283
Looking for SFO-IAH about 3 weeks out. Keeps booking me into a V fare at $700 even though it shows all other fare classes as wide open. What's causing this? I'm booking a round trip that includes staying in IAH for a Saturday night. 2 nights total in IAH.
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Old Feb 19, 2018, 11:46 am
  #55  
 
Join Date: Jan 2016
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Originally Posted by ryder1650
Looking for SFO-IAH about 3 weeks out. Keeps booking me into a V fare at $700 even though it shows all other fare classes as wide open. What's causing this? I'm booking a round trip that includes staying in IAH for a Saturday night. 2 nights total in IAH.
Inventory Management. Unfortunately, just because fare classes are open doesn't mean you can book into them. Otherwise you know which fare classes all us Flyertalks would be picking

I checked weeks out and even extended for a couple months and it appears that SFO-IAH is just coded for ~600/700 right now for a round trip.
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Old Feb 19, 2018, 11:49 am
  #56  
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: SFO
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Crazy! Guess I'll have to use SJC.
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Old Feb 19, 2018, 12:40 pm
  #57  
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Originally Posted by ryder1650
Looking for SFO-IAH about 3 weeks out. Keeps booking me into a V fare at $700 even though it shows all other fare classes as wide open. What's causing this? I'm booking a round trip that includes staying in IAH for a Saturday night. 2 nights total in IAH.
There is a 21-day W fare for a bit less, but that's the cheapest thing published right now.
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Old Mar 2, 2018, 6:11 pm
  #58  
 
Join Date: Oct 2013
Posts: 150
Are other people still experiencing issues where UA is more than $150 above competitors on similar routes at similar times? I wonder how much leisure business this will cost them this summer.
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Old Mar 3, 2018, 12:14 pm
  #59  
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Originally Posted by claaaaaydavis
Are other people still experiencing issues where UA is more than $150 above competitors on similar routes at similar times? I wonder how much leisure business this will cost them this summer.
I'm coming to the end of what was certainly a fight with Geimini... midcon route to SFO where UA was flying an E75 and would normally have decent fares, but they never released inventory below V. I thought they were crazy and could never sell the plane, but here we are less than a week to go and it's Y8. So I wouldn't be too sure what they're losing.
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Old Mar 3, 2018, 1:05 pm
  #60  
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
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Originally Posted by findark
I'm coming to the end of what was certainly a fight with Geimini... midcon route to SFO where UA was flying an E75 and would normally have decent fares, but they never released inventory below V. I thought they were crazy and could never sell the plane, but here we are less than a week to go and it's Y8. So I wouldn't be too sure what they're losing.
As data analytics continue to evolve, I’m convinced that the airlines which get really good at it will absolutely maximize their revenue vis-a-vie those not leveraging those analytics.

Almost any other industry would kill to have the dynamic pricing model adopted by the airlines. Where else can you sell the exact same product to the public for a wide variation on price - in some cases, many multiples?

I’m sure Gemini is a bit of an experiment, but I’m pretty convinced it’ll be a successful one. The data’s all there; they’re just learning how to unlock it.
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