WN to Hawaii - Impact on UA after increased capacity announcements
#32
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The current -800 would struggle with ETOPS reserves in such a dense configuration, plus WN and Hawaii flights in general tend to have a higher % of checked bags. That's the main reason WN isn't already in the market.
#33
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#34
Join Date: Aug 2017
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Personally I've never flown them in my life, but if I don't need the UA PQM and they are flying from ONT for a price similar to or a small premium over what I would pay from LAX, then I'll give them a shot. I can pack my own food, buy my own beverages inside the terminal, and factor in the cost of priority boarding as a given for the final ticket cost, so why not?
You pay less and you get more. What a concept.
#35
Join Date: Feb 2008
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My point is that while WN is a direct competitor to United in places (BWI competes with UA ex-IAD, WN competes directly in CA markets, HOU flights compete with UA ex-IAH) WN is somewhat of its own ecosystem in many airports. I used BNA as an example, but I could have used a number of other second tier cities where SWA is the major airline as the example. These passengers are going to tend to stay on SWA, which means that SWA is not just competing for O/D traffic, it will also have build in demand for these flights from the rest of its network.
Hard to say who gets hurt most - SWA competes with all of the US airlines, hard to see who is most impacted at this point - but since United is a big player in Hawaiian markets, they will lose some traffic, especially since their service quality has fallen so badly that at this point in Y, WN is better, and give some of the new lift to Hawaii (HD 772) even E+ is unpleasant.
#36
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But yes, the ability to get lie-flat seats on UA or a as a backup economy plus will trump at least for me as a Hawaii resident SWA
#37
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WN is somewhat of its own ecosystem in many airports. I used BNA as an example, but I could have used a number of other second tier cities where SWA is the major airline as the example. These passengers are going to tend to stay on SWA, which means that SWA is not just competing for O/D traffic, it will also have build in demand for these flights from the rest of its network.
Personally, I'd rather have my eyes gouged out with a sharp stick than take a WN flight of more than 90 minutes, but there are plenty of consumers who are willing to fly WN cross-country so I'm sure they'll do well to Hawaii.
#38
Join Date: Feb 2008
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But I know people in e.g. BNA who fly WN primarily. Most of their flights are shorter (other than to the west coast) and they get"A-list preferred", so they (a) board early, get the exit row, and (b) if they fly 100K they get a companion pass. It will be interesting to see if WN makes the companion pass feature applicable to Hawaii, but if it does, it will be a big draw for their program.
#39
Join Date: Mar 2009
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For me it will come down to what WN’s fares (and thus mileage requirements are) for a HI trip vs. United saver availability, which at 45k round trip in Y isn’t too bad of a bargain from the DC area to Hawaii.
Last edited by aoumd; Oct 13, 2017 at 5:53 pm
#40
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I know I am not WN's target market, but California to Hawaii is too long a flight for me to buy without a confirmed seat assignment. Also, having E+ is very important to me on a flight that long.
Though, I recall reading that the 737-MAX will have more generous seat widths
Though, I recall reading that the 737-MAX will have more generous seat widths
#41
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I know I am not WN's target market, but California to Hawaii is too long a flight for me to buy without a confirmed seat assignment. Also, having E+ is very important to me on a flight that long.
Though, I recall reading that the 737-MAX will have more generous seat widths.
Though, I recall reading that the 737-MAX will have more generous seat widths.
#42
Join Date: Oct 2009
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And remember that in addition to free checked bags, seat pitch at almost E+, early check-in availability, WN tickets are also changeable with no fees. The complete value of your old ticket gets transferred to your new one. You only pay any fare difference. This flexibility is a huge plus.
#43
Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 3,361
My point is that while WN is a direct competitor to United in places (BWI competes with UA ex-IAD, WN competes directly in CA markets, HOU flights compete with UA ex-IAH) WN is somewhat of its own ecosystem in many airports. I used BNA as an example, but I could have used a number of other second tier cities where SWA is the major airline as the example. These passengers are going to tend to stay on SWA, which means that SWA is not just competing for O/D traffic, it will also have build in demand for these flights from the rest of its network.
Hard to say who gets hurt most - SWA competes with all of the US airlines, hard to see who is most impacted at this point - but since United is a big player in Hawaiian markets, they will lose some traffic, especially since their service quality has fallen so badly that at this point in Y, WN is better, and give some of the new lift to Hawaii (HD 772) even E+ is unpleasant.
Hard to say who gets hurt most - SWA competes with all of the US airlines, hard to see who is most impacted at this point - but since United is a big player in Hawaiian markets, they will lose some traffic, especially since their service quality has fallen so badly that at this point in Y, WN is better, and give some of the new lift to Hawaii (HD 772) even E+ is unpleasant.
CA/NV/WA/OR/AZ are by far the largest markets to Hawaii and Southwest will almost certainly focus on leveraging its already strong market position to go after O&D.
It is worth noting that United is the largest carrier in the CONUS-Hawaii market, slightly ahead of Hawaiian.
#44
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It'll be interesting to see WN's non-promotional fares. Free bags is going to hurt them to Hawaii - margin will have to be made up in airfare.
#45
Join Date: Oct 2009
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I have had to cancel and reschedule leisure flights (including one to Hawaii with my family) on multiple occasions. Indeed, I would venture that I have had more need to reschedule for leisure travel that generally was booked long in advance than for business travel that generally is booked more close-in.
Keep drinking the UA kool-aid. WN has had a long history of success w/o bankruptcies characteristic of CO and UA.