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Kirby's focus on 'D0' (on-time departure) -- what are your thoughts?

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Kirby's focus on 'D0' (on-time departure) -- what are your thoughts?

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Old Aug 27, 2018, 9:02 am
  #136  
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Originally Posted by jsloan
No, the best thing for UA -- and every other airline -- to do is to be flexible instead of focusing on one single metric. Sometimes, the best thing to do is to push the plane back on time, or early if everyone is already on board. Sometimes, the best thing to do is to hold the flight for a few minutes. Operations should have the ability to make that call on a case-by-case basis without having to worry that there will be blowback for their decision.
This pretty much nails it. Excessive focus on a single metric (which doesn't even measure what passengers care about) is not passenger friendly.
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Old Aug 27, 2018, 9:24 am
  #137  
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Originally Posted by ermintrude
Rubbish - It's not consumer friendly - Focus on D0 instead of D14 has no effect on A14 and very little effect on A0.
Target D14 and you've already eaten up your entire margin for making A14, your average flight is now 50/50 chance of being late.

Originally Posted by Kacee
Are you including the passengers that UA delivered late in that category? How does it help them?
Yep - vastly outnumbered by non-misconnects, and lowers the probability of downstream misconnects.
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Old Aug 27, 2018, 9:25 am
  #138  
 
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Originally Posted by jsloan
Nonsense. First of all, with the exception of hub-hub flights, if you're waiting for inbound connecting passengers, you likely don't have any onward connecting passengers. Second, these hypothetical onward connecting passengers have a connection time baked into their reservation as well. Suppose UA holds for a group of passengers, and they estimate arrival will be ten minutes late because of it. If the estimate works out, nobody will misconnect at the destination.

But, most importantly, you're continuing to make the assumption that departing on time somehow equates to arriving on time. It does not. They're loosely correlated at best, which is the biggest reason that the D0 focus is silly. Perhaps there are favorable winds; perhaps UA knows that they'll be able to get an advantageous taxi time. Heck, perhaps there's a line of weather moving through and they'll be able to take a more direct routing if they start a little later.


No, the best thing for UA -- and every other airline -- to do is to be flexible instead of focusing on one single metric. Sometimes, the best thing to do is to push the plane back on time, or early if everyone is already on board. Sometimes, the best thing to do is to hold the flight for a few minutes. Operations should have the ability to make that call on a case-by-case basis without having to worry that there will be blowback for their decision.
I think this well reflects reality, just a few points. (1) airlines pad the schedule. I have rarely had a flight that leaves the gate 10-15 minutes late that does not arrive on time (absent some type of slot issue). (2) you have some slack on outbound connections. UA will not schedule less than 30 minutes (which I think is low, but so be it). The result is that 90% of the time even a 20-25 minute delay in departure will cause any ongoing misconnects.

pmUA Dispatch knows exactly the impact of a delay/not delay, and at least used to manage these issues balancing who was on the flight (VIP, high elites), availability of a back up flight, and total numbers that would be impacted, as well as any downstream issues. They IMHO did a good job.

United's management has made real mistakes in trying to apply a one size fits all mindset post merger, and a mindless focus on D0 is a perfect example. Yes, it has correlation to the arrival time, but only in a loose way. The result is relatively little impact on OT arrivals (vs focusing on the D10 or D15 or better yet looking at the entire picture) but rather large impacts on passengers.

You can certainly run a tight ship w/o applying arbitrary rules. E.g. DL certainly does not manage to D0, it instead applies the old pmUA approach of figuring out what works best for each flight. The announcement is made as it has been for time immemorial "well we are ready to go, but we are waiting on several late in bound passengers. But we will make up the time in flight and get you there OT"

And if someone is upset that the plane does not leave OT, so they get in early or wait for a gate when they arrive, well I could really care less. People who are that rigid deserve to be bothered.
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Old Aug 27, 2018, 9:40 am
  #139  
 
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Originally Posted by jsloan
Myopic focus on any one metric throws an overall system out of balance. There's no perfect metric, D0 included. Airlines shouldn't behave as if there were.
A few points of context that are lost in this discussion:

- I don't think United, as a whole, has a myopic focus on one metric.
- It is difficult to argue against measuring the teams responsible for turning airplanes (above wing, below wing, maintenance, dispatch) with metrics fully in their control (e.g. D0).
- While D0 is first measured against the published departure time, it can also be measured against departure times that are rescheduled due to late arriving aircraft, weather, ATC, etc.

Originally Posted by jsloan
No, the best thing for UA -- and every other airline -- to do is to be flexible instead of focusing on one single metric. Sometimes, the best thing to do is to push the plane back on time, or early if everyone is already on board. Sometimes, the best thing to do is to hold the flight for a few minutes. Operations should have the ability to make that call on a case-by-case basis without having to worry that there will be blowback for their decision.
You've clearly never led a complex organization with tens of thousands of employees. While United can, and does, empower employees, an airline with flexibility in their operations will not run well.
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Old Aug 27, 2018, 12:57 pm
  #140  
 
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Originally Posted by fly18725
. While United can, and does, empower employees, an airline with flexibility in their operations will not run well.
This perfectly sums up the mind-set and view of United's Smisik to Kirby management team.
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Old Aug 27, 2018, 1:29 pm
  #141  
 
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Originally Posted by spin88
This perfectly sums up the mind-set and view of United's Smisik to Kirby management team.
It is also the view of the airlines at the top of the on-time performance charts: DL, AS and HA. All 3 have a strong focus on performance metrics with rigerous process controls and very little employee discretion when it comes to operations.

Yes, DL publicizes it’s A:14 performance. However, it compensates 3rd party ground handlers based on D:0.
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fly18725 is offline  


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