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MP redemptions as of now. Sad :(

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Old Sep 5, 2014, 5:14 pm
  #121  
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: In an aisle seat...
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I've actually found improved UA saver redemptions/availability in *A partners in C since the merger, but maybe this is just dumb luck given my routes and dates (maybe some wise FTalker can explain??) So far in 2014 (which has been my biggest miles burn year to date in 8 years of 1K membership), I have successfully booked the following MP redemptions in C saver.

Jan: JFK-ZRH-LHR on LX

Mar: LHR-BKK/BKK-SYD on TG (Could never find any complete Europe-SIN-Aus on SQ C. Only 1 segment in C and another in Y).

April: SYD-SFO-EWR on UA

May: JFK-FRA-TXL on LH (A380 TATL but old and tired C product - great plane - first time on A380, but gee LH has gone downhill in most aspects of C.)

August: FRA-VIE-JFK on new OS C (Very impressed with TATL OS hard and soft product - better than LX in my view. And definitely best food of any TATL carrier in C I've experienced - and this is comparing to my other recent experiences in TATL C on SA, BA, VS, AF and DL). Plus VIE is a great transit point. Will start booking more paid long-haul C in OS if the price differential doesn't scare corporate travel too much:-))

Also have had fairly regular bump ups over the last few years on LX intra-Europe from Y to C (mostly on BEG-ZRH) and SA intra-Africa (only on LOS-JNB) - these routes always seem heavily overbooked in Y and *G seems to count here...

Last edited by Aisleseater; Sep 5, 2014 at 5:28 pm
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Old Sep 5, 2014, 5:53 pm
  #122  
 
Join Date: Apr 2000
Location: san antonio, texas
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Posts: 1,586
Originally Posted by LarkSFO
It's cyclical, if anything.

When, 'the bad old days' (banks failing, unemployment at 8%, etc.) come back, as they inevitably will, then airlines and hotels will loosen up on their policies.

From a general (and personal) economic health perspective, high flight prices, high hotel prices, a lack of inventory on miles / points, are all very positive indicators that the economy is doing well.

Which, in the big picture, is more important to me than whether I can find saver C inventory SFO-anywhere.

It will be interesting to see how much loosening occurs when the next recession starts. We now have 3 players-and Southwest. It would seem to me that as we enter an oligopolistic market, the use of tools like FF promotions to increase flying when demand is reduced will diminish.
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Old Sep 5, 2014, 7:14 pm
  #123  
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: NYC
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Originally Posted by larksfo

which, in the big picture, is more important to me than whether i can find saver c inventory sfo-anywhere.
+1000000

^^^
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Old Sep 5, 2014, 9:35 pm
  #124  
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Originally Posted by LarkSFO
From a general (and personal) economic health perspective, high flight prices, high hotel prices, a lack of inventory on miles / points, are all very positive indicators that the economy is doing well.

Which, in the big picture, is more important to me than whether I can find saver C inventory SFO-anywhere.
High air prices is a result of consolidation from 6 network carriers to 3, reduced capacity and reduced hubs meaning few choices, fewer seats, higher load factors = less redemption seats + higher ticket prices.

The economy is of course a factor too but let's not put lipstick on a pig. @:-)
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Old Sep 5, 2014, 11:36 pm
  #125  
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: San Francisco Bay Area
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Originally Posted by elitetraveler
High air prices is a result of consolidation from 6 network carriers to 3, reduced capacity and reduced hubs meaning few choices, fewer seats, higher load factors = less redemption seats + higher ticket prices.

The economy is of course a factor too but let's not put lipstick on a pig. @:-)
I would agree that consolidation plays a part here.

But, I think the much improved economy is a more important factor.

We'll see how well the Big 4 (UA, WN, AA, DL) can quickly throttle down capacity when the next downturn occurs. If, in tacit conjunction, they are able to reduce capacity in a disciplined way, keeping prices high and award inventory low, then you will have turned out to be correct.

We'll see, and hopefully not soon!
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Old Sep 6, 2014, 7:52 am
  #126  
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
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Went to look at availability last night and noticed lots more saver economy on a couple of my "regular" award routes. I even had an existing award booking change sometime this week from a CR7 to an A320. For a three hour flight! YES. ^
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Old Sep 6, 2014, 8:28 am
  #127  
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Originally Posted by LarkSFO
I would agree that consolidation plays a part here.

But, I think the much improved economy is a more important factor.

We'll see how well the Big 4 (UA, WN, AA, DL) can quickly throttle down capacity when the next downturn occurs. If, in tacit conjunction, they are able to reduce capacity in a disciplined way, keeping prices high and award inventory low, then you will have turned out to be correct.

We'll see, and hopefully not soon!
LOL - my highlighting -- a part?

If we loop in WN which purchased AirTran the consolidation has been nothing short of staggering.

Going from 6 to 3 network airlines, then at the same time WN buys out discounters ATA and AirTran which consolidates LGA and MDW.

All of a sudden airlines go fee crazy with fees (billions of dollars), food for sale, etc. This has only been possible because consolidation.

When the economy tanks and profits go down, what you are going to see is new fees -- to use your miles -- much like the BA fuel surcharges. Yes, you might get more incentives with bonus miles and things like that, but you can bet you will find more charges with the rationale -- 'we're losing money - we needed to look at what we are giving for what were getting, and there needed to be a better balance. Even with these changes, the value of our loyalty programs is far in excess of any other industry."

Last edited by elitetraveler; Sep 6, 2014 at 10:40 am
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Old Sep 6, 2014, 10:09 am
  #128  
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: San Francisco Bay Area
Posts: 5,825
Originally Posted by elitetraveler
LOL - my highlighting -- a part?

If we loop in WN which purchased AirTran the consolidation has been nothing short of staggering.

Going from 6 to 3 network airlines, then at the same time WN buys out discounters ATA and AirTran which consolidates LGA and MDW.

All of a sudden airlines go fee crazy with fees (billions of dollars), food for sale, etc. This has only been possible because consolidation.

When the economy tanks and profits go down, what you are going to see is new fees -- to use your miles -- much like the BA fuel surcharges. Yes, you might get more incentives with bonus miles and things like that, but you can bet you will find no charges with the rationale -- 'we're losing money - we needed to look at what we are giving for what were getting, and there needed to be a better balance. Even with these changes, the value of our loyalty programs is far in excess of any other industry."
LOL - my highlighting - ONLY possible because of consolidation?

So, are you arguing that if we still had Northwest, Continental, American Airlines, America West, Airtran in addition to the surviving United, US Airways, Delta, and Southwest, that today, even with our improved economy, prices would be lower than they are and saver award inventory would be higher?

Capacity discipline would not have happened without consolidation?

I can't argue that you are wrong (or right), because we just can't know for certain. So we speculate.

Let's just agree that the combination of a) consolidation, b) improved economy, and c) better / more disciplined capacity management has led to a less flyer friendly (ticket cost, award availability) environment.

The degree to which a, b, and c are factors, we can still argue.
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Old Sep 6, 2014, 10:53 am
  #129  
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Originally Posted by LarkSFO
LOL - my highlighting - ONLY possible because of consolidation?

So, are you arguing that if we still had Northwest, Continental, American Airlines, America West, Airtran in addition to the surviving United, US Airways, Delta, and Southwest, that today, even with our improved economy, prices would be lower than they are and saver award inventory would be higher?

Capacity discipline would not have happened without consolidation?

I can't argue that you are wrong (or right), because we just can't know for certain. So we speculate.

Let's just agree that the combination of a) consolidation, b) improved economy, and c) better / more disciplined capacity management has led to a less flyer friendly (ticket cost, award availability) environment.

The degree to which a, b, and c are factors, we can still argue.
IMO B has been the minimal factor. I would hardly use it as an alibi for the airlines - "Even though (name of airline) has devalued their product, FFP and increased price it's a fair trade-off for a good economy." As mentioned, when the economy goes back down, I don't see redemptions getting better. I see more capacity shrinkage, more discounts and bonus miles, but more fees and costs to redeem said miles with limited inventory.

I see new "innovations" where "pay a fee" to access expanded redemption capacity "giving our customers a choice."

Regarding the economy, as I see it the economic recovery is widely varied. Yes the stock market is at record levels but 95% of the gains have gone to people in the 1 percent tax bracket.

Fewer and fewer companies give across the board cost of living increases

Downsizing has become corporate mantra

Corporate profits have been boosted by cutting expenses not selling more

I don't see corporate travel policies loosening up. Technology is improving compliance

If you look at the downsizing/closure of LAS (HP), STL, SJU (AA), MEM/CVG (DL), CLE (UA), MKE (F9) and DL's cutbacks in MSP it all means less network options and competition from fewer players.
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