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Originally Posted by stut
(Post 20798767)
But what about the rest?
Slightly less than 50% (see section 10.16 here) of O&D passengers at Heathrow are going to/from London - both central and outer. So we can assume that a comfortable majority are heading to locations other than central London. It'll take more than a fast link across London to persuade people from Surrey businesses to consider getting a taxi to Guildford station, hopping on a train to Clapham Junction, getting on the Crossrail 2 to Tottenham (or wherever) and then the Stansted Express. They could always use LGW and fly to places via AMS, FRA, ZRH etc if they hate the prospect of flying from STN so much. |
Originally Posted by MNManInKen
(Post 20798425)
STN will never be as convenient as LHR. It isn't going to happen.
Get LHR sorted now or face losing the massive economic benefits of having a hub airport - that's the UK's choice. NIMBYs? Perhaps. But it's hard to see any government forcing this through when the NIMBYs comprise a sizeable chunk of the population of your largest city. |
Originally Posted by stut
(Post 20798767)
It'll take more than a fast link across London to persuade people from Surrey businesses to consider getting a taxi to Guildford station, hopping on a train to Clapham Junction, getting on the Crossrail 2 to Tottenham (or wherever) and then the Stansted Express.
Also, I think any major expansion of STN would not make sense without a new, high speed and more direct rail service - probably along the M11 corridor and connecting with HS1 near Stratford. An STN hub could have direct services on both Crossrail 1 & 2, an express service from St Pancras via HS1, and even high speed intercity services from HS2 via Central London and Stratford. |
Originally Posted by Reason077
(Post 20799167)
I would think a modern, purpose-built hub airport with 3+ runways, high speed rail links, 24-hour operations, and plenty of room for expansion would be far more convenient than Heathrow ever could be.
Originally Posted by Reason077
(Post 20799167)
Well, ManInKent... It seems to me that it's always non-Londoners who think LHR expansion is a good idea! Overwhelmingly, Londoners are against it.
Heathrow obsessors are too short sighted. AMS, FRA, CDG, DXB these are the competition and they are all expanding massively and already have 4 plus runways (exception being DXB although Dubai is building a 5 runway airport down the road) and a 3rd runway at a badly located airport (wrong wind direction, built up area, selfish local residents) is not going to be a serious competitor. If we just continue to umm and arr over LHR and do not build a major new airport at STN/Boris Island we might as well accept that AMS is going to be the UK's hub. In fact AMS already claims to be 'The UK's Favourite Airport', 'London's third airport' and 'Scotland's Hub' whilst KLM claims to be 'Scotland's national carrier'. |
Originally Posted by Reason077
(Post 20799167)
Well, ManInKent... It seems to me that it's always non-Londoners who think LHR expansion is a good idea! Overwhelmingly, Londoners are against it.
Originally Posted by Reason077
(Post 20799167)
The third runway was already buried once by protests. If it were to be revived again, there's no reason to believe that opposition will be any less vehement this time around.
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Originally Posted by MNManInKen
(Post 20799520)
Unless you prefer that the French take over the UK's hub role and all the economic benefit that comes with it.
A third runway at LHR and a second runway at LGW although good are just sticking plaster solutions. Britain deserves better. All we need now is for Boris Johnson to become leader of the Conservative Party, get Labour to change its aviation policy, make sure the Liberal Democrats are destroyed at the next election and the UK will finally have pro aviation governments. |
Originally Posted by flyingcrazy
(Post 20800175)
That is exactly why we need a 4 runway airport at STN or Boris Island to STOP the French, Dutch, Germans and Arabs from stealing Britain's status as a global aviation hub.
A third runway at LHR and a second runway at LGW although good are just sticking plaster solutions. Britain deserves better. All we need now is for Boris Johnson to become leader of the Conservative Party, get Labour to change its aviation policy, make sure the Liberal Democrats are destroyed at the next election and the UK will finally have pro aviation governments. |
Originally Posted by rwoman
(Post 20800370)
The ever-increasing APD is not doing Britain any favors either...:rolleyes:
In 2010 apparently under 30% of travellers knew APD even existed and those that did thought it was much lower than it was. Now people are becoming more aware and a recent campaign by some right to travel organization managed to get 100,000 people to email their MPs over the issue. The Transport Select Committee is putting pressure on Osborne to cut or scrap the tax and the Welsh and Scottish governments are also adding the pressure. |
Originally Posted by Reason077
(Post 20799167)
I would think a modern, purpose-built hub airport with 3+ runways, high speed rail links, 24-hour operations, and plenty of room for expansion would be far more convenient than Heathrow ever could be.
Originally Posted by flyingcrazy
(Post 20800175)
That is exactly why we need a 4 runway airport at STN or Boris Island
But unless you are willing to move a significant part of the economy from the west of London and the Thames Valley to wherever the new airport is going to be then it isn't going to happen. I suppose you could create Maidenhead International or Wokingham International Hub but I suspect the locals would be peeved |
Originally Posted by flyingcrazy
(Post 20800175)
That is exactly why we need a 4 runway airport at STN or Boris Island to STOP the French, Dutch, Germans and Arabs from stealing Britain's status as a global aviation hub.
The only thing needed for an LHR expansion is a little bit of political courage and long term thinking. Instead, people prefer to have wet dreams about the Boris Island fantasy or other bonkers proposal, while the business disappears abroad... |
Originally Posted by MNManInKen
(Post 20799520)
And what makes you think there will be less protests for expansion anywhere else?
There undoubtedly are issues with STN but I am not sure that it is quite as unthinkable as you think it is. Not that I'd welcome it but I can see some kind of case for it. The problem with LHR is that, whichever way you look at it, you are always going to be faced with expansion problems, unless you go for relocation programmes on a Ceaușescu scale. I do think that we need some expansion at LHR in the short to medium term as any other solutions will take far too long to be implemented. But all that this will do is buy us a few more years. And then what? STN, OTOH, has much more space in which to develop and, to that extent, has more long-term potential. Yes, it is problematic given the economic slant towards the West of the London area. But that is not something which is necessarily unsurmountable in the longer term. So, IMO, it is not a case of either/or with LHR expansion. We need LHR expansion. But we also need to look for more long-term solutions too. |
Originally Posted by NickB
(Post 20801425)
Well, if you compare the density of population around LHR and around STN, you can see that the impact on neighbouring populations is not going to be the same.
STN expansion would be hit with layers of protests: there would be those against the new runways, those against the new transport infrastructure needed to serve it, some against both, others against yet another aspect of it and finally (more rightfully so) businesses currently located for LHR that would be stuffed and would be justified in making a noise about it. There are reasonable engineering solution to get LHR to 4 or 5 runways without unreasonable effects on people. It's weighing that relatively small downside against the massive economic case. |
BBC: Heathrow 'would need to close' under airport plans
BBC: Heathrow 'would need to close' under airport plans
We know these issues are ongoing...it seems like 2015 is still pretty far off for a "final" report... :rolleyes: The Independent Transport Commission said a major capacity airport is needed to compete with European rivals. It said Heathrow would have to close to give investors confidence that airlines would move their business. ... Closing Heathrow would have "major impacts on the 114,000 people directly and indirectly employed by the airport as well as their families and the communities in which they live", it said. |
Heathrow Airport "may close"
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-22694466
In short, the Independent Transport Commission (non-gov't funded) said that if the UK wanted to build a new hub airport (Thames Estuary) or expand Stansted to make a new hub, Heathrow would need to close. While I haven't yet read the actual report myself, I think that based on their conclusions, I think they are clearly missing something: -Heathrow only recently got a very expensive new terminal, T5 -Heathrow is well linked to the motorway, with coach connections to the SE, SW, and W of England. -Heathrow is connected by an Underground line into the centre of London, as well as a faster rail link, as well as the soon-to-be-finished Crossrail project - and may even be connected by the planned "HS2" rail project. -Heathrow has a direct fuel pipeline running to it all the way from Southampton. -Oh, and the UK is broke In my mind, anyone suggesting that we close Heathrow, and build a new airport, is crazy. They have surely missed the cost that would be involved in building new transport infrastructure to support it (I really do have to read the report). While Heathrow is currently at capacity, I think that there must be other ways to sort out the problem, even without building a 3rd runway... |
Per http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/trave...elsewhere.html I will move this to the appropriate destination forum while leaving a 30-day re-direct in Travel News.
cblaisd Moderator, Travel News |
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