TWA Comments
#16
Join Date: Apr 2000
Location: Between SNA and ONT
Posts: 1,486
Well, some of the 3Q numbers look good, but what has most people worried that cash on hand declined by a big chunk (I want to say $37 million). That was unexpected, I think, and against the trend at TW. Cash on hand is down to about $150 million, and with the winter coming up, it's a concern. I think the fourth quarter will be most telling. I'm considering buying some shares depending on what happens then.
#17
FlyerTalk Evangelist




Join Date: Jul 1999
Location: ORD/MDW
Programs: BA/AA/AS/B6/WN/ UA/HH/MR and more like 'em but most felicitously & importantly MUCCI
Posts: 19,811
Holly Hegeman has been incredibly gloomy about TWA for years now, yet they're still around. I do think it ticks off the professional prognosticators that TWA hasn't died yet. They're like the bumblebee of the airline business; the laws of physics (economics) say they shouldn't fly, yet there they are.
I do think, however, that the next recession and/or a fuel price spike caused by war in the mideast will force a little drama in the TWA story... a protective merger, at least... if they can't make money in the current climate, how are they supposed to get through a downturn? I know, I sound just like Holly.
Seattle has always been a really strong market for TWA. Those MDs come in here from STL full all the time. And they used to do a SEA-JFK-FRA 767 that was pretty popular with some of my (few non-UA zombie) colleagues here in SEA. Some of us West Coasters have hope that with LAX designated the next TW "focus city," they may discover the opportunity that exists for a new service oriented player here in the Left Coast Corridor.
It does seem a shame that with a tiny handful of European destinations plus TLV, Cairo and Saudi, there is nothing remotely trans-worldish about TWA anymore. It's a starving horse of a route system they've got there.
I do think, however, that the next recession and/or a fuel price spike caused by war in the mideast will force a little drama in the TWA story... a protective merger, at least... if they can't make money in the current climate, how are they supposed to get through a downturn? I know, I sound just like Holly.
Seattle has always been a really strong market for TWA. Those MDs come in here from STL full all the time. And they used to do a SEA-JFK-FRA 767 that was pretty popular with some of my (few non-UA zombie) colleagues here in SEA. Some of us West Coasters have hope that with LAX designated the next TW "focus city," they may discover the opportunity that exists for a new service oriented player here in the Left Coast Corridor.
It does seem a shame that with a tiny handful of European destinations plus TLV, Cairo and Saudi, there is nothing remotely trans-worldish about TWA anymore. It's a starving horse of a route system they've got there.
#18
Join Date: Apr 2000
Location: Between SNA and ONT
Posts: 1,486
One poster on another TWA board has pointed out that the airline serves just as many int'l destinations as it did 4-5 years ago. They just now happen to be located mostly in the Caribbean and/or Mexico, not Europe. True, just not as glamorous.

