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[Rant] The Sad Death of Alaska Mileage Plan

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[Rant] The Sad Death of Alaska Mileage Plan

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Old Jan 3, 2025 | 2:06 pm
  #16  
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Originally Posted by Gig103
Writing is on the wall for Alaska though, with the other OW majors all joining up on the spend-based.
Yeah, perhaps. Or maybe, just like we saw a ton of media coverage describing the golden goose that are airline loyalty programs, one day we will the tide turn when someone took a step too far, killed their golden goose, and was punished for it by Wallstreet. I think Delta made such a misstep in 2023 and backtracked for a while.

I have no doubt that the golden days of loyalty programs are behind us, though. That doesnt mean that I wont enjoy whatever is let as long as it is beneficial to me. I wouldnt be surprised if, in ten years, my primary credit card was a cashback card, though.
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Old Jan 3, 2025 | 2:38 pm
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Originally Posted by Gig103
Writing is on the wall for Alaska though, with the other OW majors all joining up on the spend-based.
We'll have to agree to disagree about AS moving to a spend-based program.
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Old Jan 3, 2025 | 2:51 pm
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Something like 88% of upgrades on Delta are paid for.... good luck with your elite status upgrade.
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Old Jan 3, 2025 | 3:56 pm
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Originally Posted by dayone
We'll have to agree to disagree about AS moving to a spend-based program.
I forget who (might have been Brett Catlin) specifically called the miles based program as a "Market Differentiator" on the investor call last month so I agree it's not changing soon.
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Old Jan 3, 2025 | 4:16 pm
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Originally Posted by navydevildoc
I forget who (might have been Brett Catlin) specifically called the miles based program as a "Market Differentiator" on the investor call last month so I agree it's not changing soon.
Well, yeah, perhaps I am a bit disillusioned by corporate speak, but it is a market differentiator until it becomes a competitive disadvantage.

Do I believe that they have concrete plans to change that in the next three years? Nope.

But would it shock me if they made changes at some point to get closer to a spend-based program? Well, they already started, no? Spend on non-airline partners now earns EQMs (I consider that an (a)advantage). Basic Economy travel earns less than 100%. Earnings on partner airlines are no longer nearly as generous as they were before (and fare classes to some degree align with spend in that cheap fare classes earn less). Seems to me spend is already king.
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Old Jan 3, 2025 | 7:09 pm
  #21  
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Originally Posted by skydelt
Which part of Delta's program are you most excited about - the $-based earning, the total devaluation of DL points, or extremely weak upgrade certs (when you get them as a plat)

Every program has their pros/cons, Alaska's remains pretty great compared to the rest.
DL DM GUCs are not as valuable since they only provide one class upgrades these days, but PM RUCs are not that hard to use. Now that they only require revenue Z inventory to redeem (instead of a hidden upgrade bucket), it's pretty straightfoward to find flights with availability. You don't even really need an EF account as you can just do a Google Flights search on a route and it's pretty obvious which flights have Z bucket open based on prices.

No, Skymiles are not as valuable as AS miles. But you can still find values if you understand award system and watch for sales. Heading to TQO in a couple weeks on 19.4K RT awards where revenue fares are going for $700 RT.

Last edited by xliioper; Jan 3, 2025 at 7:28 pm
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Old Jan 3, 2025 | 7:38 pm
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Originally Posted by notquiteaff
Spend on non-airline partners now earns EQMs (I consider that an (a)advantage). Basic Economy travel earns less than 100%. Earnings on partner airlines are no longer nearly as generous as they were before (and fare classes to some degree align with spend in that cheap fare classes earn less). Seems to me spend is already king.
ALK is looking for opportunities to further monetize MP, above examples offer incentives for new revenue streams they are attempting to encourage, deter those that are not as profitable.
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Old Jan 3, 2025 | 8:40 pm
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Death , probably over stated. Diluted- definitely, but it is what it is considering the current market and competition. The era where airlines are free to just lose money are gone. The board and and equity holders will not tolerate.
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Old Jan 3, 2025 | 9:05 pm
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Originally Posted by Xrayman
Death , probably over stated. Diluted- definitely, but it is what it is considering the current market and competition. The era where airlines are free to just lose money are gone. The board and and equity holders will not tolerate.
The last thing we need is a hostul taykovur attempt. That is the de facto end of the airline we once loved and still like.
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Old Jan 4, 2025 | 5:17 am
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Originally Posted by notquiteaff
Yeah, perhaps. Or maybe, just like we saw a ton of media coverage describing the golden goose that are airline loyalty programs, one day we will the tide turn when someone took a step too far, killed their golden goose, and was punished for it by Wallstreet. I think Delta made such a misstep in 2023 and backtracked for a while.

I have no doubt that the golden days of loyalty programs are behind us, though. That doesnt mean that I wont enjoy whatever is let as long as it is beneficial to me. I wouldnt be surprised if, in ten years, my primary credit card was a cashback card, though.
Alaska isnt allowed to make material negative changes to MileagePlan until 2032 per their settlement with DOJ to get the HA merger approved. So 2032 is the soonest they can switch to revenue. That said, they have made it such a part of their identity that, like Southwest and two free bags, I doubt it ever changes.
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Old Jan 4, 2025 | 7:51 am
  #26  
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I can think of only one enhancement that AS has made to earning miles on AS. That is a mile is a mile unless you are on a saver fare, then it is .3 miles. I have lost count how many enhancements DL has made over the years. Stopped flying them in 2002 with 500000 bis miles as a DM, when system wide upgrades were enhanced. RIP Delta, Hello AS.
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Old Jan 4, 2025 | 8:47 am
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Delta typically has the better in-flight product, though I agree that SkyMiles as a program is generally a waste of time.

That said, there's nothing stopping someone from crediting DL flights to, say, Flying Blue and using that program instead. I was able to snag FB Gold with Bilt last year. The lounge access is nice as is the ability to use those Bilt points on Alaska, Hyatt, or Flying Blue. Nowadays the miles from CC spend are easier/more valuable than the miles from actually flying.
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Old Jan 4, 2025 | 8:54 am
  #28  
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You know what’s more worthless than SkyPesos? Redeeming AS MP on AS metal a lot of the time. Hello one cent per mile! MileagePesos!

I know, I know, you’re supposed to redeem them for premium cabins on SQ, oh wait that’s been broken for ages, I mean JL, whoops, all that inventory gets snapped up way before T-330, I mean QR, wait, most of that’s gone too? JX I guess if you book no later than midnight the day availability posts, wait two minutes and it’s gone?

I still get value out of MP but I get value out of SkyPesos and Rapid Rewards too. And given the takeaways on Saver + lower elites losing some RDM earning I feel very much in a “loyalty, lol, time to be loyal to my wallet” mood.

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Old Jan 4, 2025 | 12:16 pm
  #29  
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Originally Posted by navydevildoc
I forget who (might have been Brett Catlin) specifically called the miles based program as a "Market Differentiator" on the investor call last month so I agree it's not changing soon.
Southwest's open seating was a "market differentiator" too. I like the AS program, moved to it from AA for a reason. I hope my pessimism is wrong
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Old Jan 4, 2025 | 12:58 pm
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Originally Posted by Gig103
Southwest's open seating was a "market differentiator" too. I like the AS program, moved to it from AA for a reason. I hope my pessimism is wrong
I personally think that's apples and oranges. SWA was losing business because of the open seat model, and losing profit due to no premium cabin. So sure, it was a market differentiator, but in a bad way. AS thinks it is retaining members because of the distance based model, and if you go over to the BA forum more than a few people are saying they are going to start crediting to Mileage Plan due to their recent changes. So they have a market differentiator, but in a good way.
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