Worst-case terrorist scenario
If you go over the links in this thread: http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/showthread.php?t=619038 you will find any quantity of both anecdotal and systematic evidence that electronic devices can interfere with aircraft control and navigation systems.
Now suppose you are a terrorist cell intent upon bringing down a few dozen U.S.-flag airliners (as in the Manila plot) and you know that broadband RF noise of sufficient power could do it. Remember - these people are fanatical, not stupid. Could you disguise your device as a laptop or GameBoy and walk right onto a plane with it? Or build a timer into it and secrete it in a checked bag or cargo shipment? |
Originally Posted by CessnaJock
(Post 8587520)
Remember - these people are fanatical, not stupid.
|
Originally Posted by CessnaJock
(Post 8587520)
Or build a timer into it and secrete it in a checked bag or cargo shipment?
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Originally Posted by magiciansampras
(Post 8587532)
I disagree. A lot (most?) of them are quite stupid.
Nineteen of them took down the World Trade Center and damaged the Pentagon with box cutters. |
Originally Posted by magiciansampras
(Post 8587532)
I disagree. A lot (most?) of them are quite stupid.
|
Originally Posted by mmartin4600
(Post 8587598)
What's worse than underestimating our enemies? Overestimating ourselves.
Sun-Tzu The Art of War |
Originally Posted by mmartin4600
(Post 8587598)
What's worse than underestimating our enemies?
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Originally Posted by magiciansampras
(Post 8587619)
It's not underestimating; they literally are quite stupid. One only need to look at the "threats" that have been caught to see what kind of IQs we're working with here.
If our defense relied only on the stupidity of our adversary, we'd be in a real mess. |
Originally Posted by CessnaJock
(Post 8587520)
If you go over the links in this thread: http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/showthread.php?t=619038 you will find any quantity of both anecdotal and systematic evidence that electronic devices can interfere with aircraft control and navigation systems.
Now suppose you are a terrorist cell intent upon bringing down a few dozen U.S.-flag airliners (as in the Manila plot) and you know that broadband RF noise of sufficient power could do it. Remember - these people are fanatical, not stupid. Could you disguise your device as a laptop or GameBoy and walk right onto a plane with it? Or build a timer into it and secrete it in a checked bag or cargo shipment? Until robots and computers fly planes with no human involvement, I would guess that this could be done on 50 planes, and only 1 would crash. |
Originally Posted by CessnaJock
(Post 8587681)
As I said above - only the ones that have been caught are stupid. I have no doubt that there are many still out there of equal or greater intelligence than our agents, and who outwit the good guys daily.
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Originally Posted by MKEbound
(Post 8587685)
Until robots and computers fly planes with no human involvement, I would guess that this could be done on 50 planes, and only 1 would crash.
5000? Think what you're saying! p.s. the problem is that robots and computers fly planes. When the pilot is connected to the control surfaces by cables and hydraulic lines, the danger from RF jamming is nil. |
You have a flair for the dramatic, I'll give you that :)
Why bother with being on the flight and all the nastiness that comes from actually experiencing a crashing airplane. Let's take your scenario further - why don't they just park a car near the approach path on a rainy, foggy night and blast some RF at the ILS glideslope and localizer antennas as an aircraft on a CATII or III approach is passing through 1,000' on a low-minimums approach? How about we get some control over the security gaps we can fix right now and worry about the pie-in-the-sky stuff later on. |
Originally Posted by CessnaJock
(Post 8587595)
Nineteen of them took down the World Trade Center and damaged the Pentagon with box cutters.
Mike |
Originally Posted by bocastephen
(Post 8587730)
You have a flair for the dramatic, I'll give you that :)
Why bother with being on the flight and all the nastiness that comes from actually experiencing a crashing airplane. Let's take your scenario further - why don't they just park a car near the approach path on a rainy, foggy night and blast some RF at the ILS glideslope and localizer antennas as an aircraft on a CATII or III approach is passing through 1,000' on a low-minimums approach? How about we get some control over the security gaps we can fix right now and worry about the pie-in-the-sky stuff later on. |
Personally I'm beginning to wonder if it's not more a matter of getting reckless (why be careful and deliberate if you're planning to die anyway), even (maybe unconsciously) wanting to get caught, rather than simply being stupid. Even the perpetrators of 9/11 were at times careless beyond belief (e.g. taking flying courses and openly showing no interest in the landing bit). I guess being a suicide terrorist is not easy on the human psyche, and less so if you've been living in relative comfort for some time prior to your acts.
In the end all the extra security measures imposed on travelers and staff are killing and hurting innocent people more than terrorist attacks on transportation could have achieved. |
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