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Old Sep 9, 2006 | 10:14 pm
  #46  
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Originally Posted by TierFlyer
Prove the TSA isn't working? How many ROP'ers have blown up planes in the last five years? Doesn't mean they're perfect, doesn't mean it was because of everything or anything they did, just means you can't PROVE they aren't working.
As the argument often goes, there hasn't been any terrorist bombings of planes since I got my magic rock. Prove to me that my magic rock isn't protecting us from terrorists.

Correllation doesn't have to equal causation.
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Old Sep 9, 2006 | 10:25 pm
  #47  
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Originally Posted by TierFlyer
Well, it is non-frequent, isn't it? Since 911 it's happened <5 times by my count. The percentage is, what, diddly/squat?
By that same argument we can also say:

Number of shoe bomb attempts made since Richard Reid 0 (<5). TSA and the FBI admitted this in an LA Times article earlier this year.

Number of planes brought down by liquid explosives: 0

Number of planes crashed in the US by terrorists since 2000: 4.

Number of flights flown in the US since 9/11: millions.

So of all flights that have gotten blown up or attempted to be blown up since 9/11, that percentage is what, diddly squat?

Interestingly enough, those numbers aren't really different than pre-9/11 either.

The argument can be made, using your logic, that we're throwing billions of dollars worth of resources at to combat a threat that many people have a better chance of winning the lottery than experiencing.

I don't think airport security is useless, but I think that the terrorists are going to be nailed by intelligence and law enforcement operations like we saw in Britain, not by some screener making a Big Catch.

We really need to step back and make a serious evaluation of airport security. Are we getting the most bang for our buck? How long does it take to deploy solid, usable technology to the checkpoint? Are we better of using private screeners with government oversight? Are our resources allocated to lesser threats and ignoring bigger threats? These are the things that need to be asked and changes made. Unfortunately, I don't see that happening.
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Old Sep 9, 2006 | 11:28 pm
  #48  
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Originally Posted by TierFlyer
Well, I was certainly comparing someone to my five year old, not to the benefit of that someone.

I do, based on results and my common sense. I've got a college degree, I've flown 3M+ miles on several airlines over the last 20+ years, I'm relatively smart, I've (so far) raised my children well, I've been with the same woman for 15+ years, I can even walk and chew bubble gum at the sametime.

Is the TSA some monolithic entity, like the NRA on gun control? Obviously not. Is DHS? Pffft.



Well, it is non-frequent, isn't it? Since 911 it's happened <5 times by my count. The percentage is, what, diddly/squat?
However frequent they maybe the crew did not beleive that the TSA had done their job right when they kicked the Jewish man off the plane. Or do you think once in a while it's OK to force some people off the aircarft?
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Old Sep 10, 2006 | 8:21 pm
  #49  
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Originally Posted by TierFlyer
Really? How? Time? So you fly across the Atlantic (or Pacific), wait in line for thirty minutes to get through (existing) customs, but once they take another 20 second to get the rest of your right hand on the scanner, you turn around and go home? Seems far-fetched.
It does seem far fetched. More likely people wouldn't take the trip at all. Or they'd find a different routing if they were in-transit passengers.

So now the standard is that if it impacts too many people it is bad? So showing ID to buy ciggies or booze is bad? How about when you use your Visa at Harris Teeter?
The point I was making is that it's a rare occurance and thus (1) will not upset as many people and (2) can be avoided without much cost.

I try to avoid companies that, as a matter of policy, require ID to use credit cards. This is an annoying hassle and is a violation of their merchant agreement.

Good for them. The tourists who don't like it can go to Canada. The bank customers who don't like fees can use a Federal Credit Union. The people who don't want to take the drivers test can ride a bike. Works for me.
Agreed, they can do this. Unfortunately, people avoiding the US is bad for the US. Foreigners bring skills, money, experience with them, which is good for the US, and they take things from the US (e.g. education, cultural understanding) that help the US in the long-run.

Or Iger complaining about theme park numbers?
As I said, the exchange rates are likely enough to overcome any negative effect from the criminal treatment. If the exchange rates were to come out of the toilet, things might change.

Well, intuition around the earth being flat is often wrong. The technical term for arguing the inverse of the positive escapes me, but I think that the lack of anti-Bush flack from the normal Dem whiners leads me to believe that there is absolutely no damage whatsoever.
It's not popular with the electoral public to be against anything that supposedly comes under the heading of "security."

Do you really thing that the Smythes from Amersham really give a crap about being fingerprinted by customs before they can to go Bush Gardens? About as much as I care that Brazilian Customs has a zerox of my Passport and my bank details.
Some may care, some may not. There are plenty of FlyerTalkers who refuse to come to the US or have cut back on trips.
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Old Sep 10, 2006 | 8:23 pm
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Originally Posted by Yaatri
Or do you think once in a while it's OK to force some people off the aircarft?
Yep. Every once in a while the police pull over a car because they mis-read the license or because data entry got it wrong. Your solution would be to what, disband the police?
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Old Sep 10, 2006 | 8:24 pm
  #51  
 
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Originally Posted by Doppy
There are plenty of FlyerTalkers who refuse to come to the US or have cut back on trips.
I would suggest that this is a minscule portion of the flying public, and an even small portion of that which visits the US.

And if they're the weirdos (:-) from the Mileage Run section then they're just costing us money - fire your customers sort of thing, dontcha know?
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Old Sep 10, 2006 | 8:28 pm
  #52  
 
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Originally Posted by Superguy
By that same argument we can also say:
[deleted]
Yes, well, most arguments can be reduced to the "tiger prevention" analogy, but that may work in PHL210/Logic class, but in the real world, we understand the difference.

Originally Posted by Superguy
We really need to step back and make a serious evaluation of airport security. Are we getting the most bang for our buck? How long does it take to deploy solid, usable technology to the checkpoint? Are we better of using private screeners with government oversight? Are our resources allocated to lesser threats and ignoring bigger threats? These are the things that need to be asked and changes made. Unfortunately, I don't see that happening.
I would strongly agree with all your statements above. Most of what we endure could be obviated by mandatory non-citizen deep screening and selective profiling.

I have a pretty low expectation of efficiency for most government operations,and the TSA seems to be about where I thought they'd be.
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Old Sep 10, 2006 | 8:41 pm
  #53  
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Originally Posted by boondoggie
Can someone explain to me why this won't work? It seems pretty straightforward: Intelligence agencies pick up fingerprints of bad guys from captured safe houses and training camps, fingerprints are put in the database, bad guy tries to enter the US and gets caught. The only way to avoid it to come in some other way.

No ad hominems please. Calling Chertoff an idiot isn't an argument. Just looking for a logical explanation of the position.
here is a few reasons why this is not working...

1) not the finger prints are compared but the computer compares the knots of the finger prints. It relies on a program, and programs are not perfect.
2) computers can only track a very limited number of markes on prints, making ID very unreliable
3) inteligence in the US is a oxymoron, cooperation with overseas services even worse, so the "database" is at best patchy
4) 10% of the population have changing / not useful finger prints due to manual labor
5) changing fingerprints can be done on a PC and laserprinter
6) concealing fingerprints is even easier...
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Old Sep 10, 2006 | 8:42 pm
  #54  
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Originally Posted by TierFlyer
Yes, well, most arguments can be reduced to the "tiger prevention" analogy, but that may work in PHL210/Logic class, but in the real world, we understand the difference.
I think you missed my point. While the tiger prevention was a bit of sarcasm/bit of truth type thing, the rest of it was based on your statement that the chances of a Jew getting thrown off the plane were diddly squat. That's when I said that the incidents I cited also had the same diddly squat chances of happening yet we spend billions of dollars trying to combat them. Does that make it a waste of money then or the Jew getting booted of the plane any less significant?

I would strongly agree with all your statements above. Most of what we endure could be obviated by mandatory non-citizen deep screening and selective profiling.
It's good that we agree on something, even though we may differ on the methods.

I have a pretty low expectation of efficiency for most government operations,and the TSA seems to be about where I thought they'd be.
That was what scared me with the beginning of the TSA to begin with. Anything our government does is slow. Contractors can generally get stuff done a lot more quickly, but they typically cost more. Even contracts take forever to get signed though (and this is big cause of pain at my company as we do government contracting). In this case, I think if the government set the standards, contracted it out and then audited them to make sure they were meeting the standards with things like technology deployment, screener training, etc, I think we'd see things that need to happen quickly happen more quickly.

Super
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Old Sep 11, 2006 | 8:22 am
  #55  
 
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Originally Posted by roundtheworld
here is a few reasons why this is not working...

1) not the finger prints are compared but the computer compares the knots of the finger prints. It relies on a program, and programs are not perfect.
Only 99.9% accurate. This is well proven technology.
2) computers can only track a very limited number of markes on prints, making ID very unreliable
Somebody better tell the FBI, because they've been doing fingerprint matches by computer for more than a decade.

But the accuracy goes to 99.9% when you check 10 digits, which is presumably why they're going to a 10 digit system instead of the 2 they presently capture.
3) inteligence in the US is a oxymoron, cooperation with overseas services even worse, so the "database" is at best patchy
I'll settle for just the database of fingerprints lifted from the Afghan training camps and safehouses lifted by the FBI and US Army.
4) 10% of the population have changing / not useful finger prints due to manual labor
So we only get 90% of them? Sounds good to me.
5) changing fingerprints can be done on a PC and laserprinter
6) concealing fingerprints is even easier...
Not while you're standing in front of a customs officer watching you have the print captured.
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