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Old May 31, 2011 | 7:03 am
  #46  
 
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Originally Posted by PhoenixRev
I want to see cold, hard, peer-reviewed research indicating that a person who lost their home due to the current economic climate is more likely to blow up a plane than someone with a 720 FICO score before I am willing to give the TSA permission to peek into a traveler's credit history.
I agree (and said before) that things that determine credit score are unlikely to be useful. But that leaves a lot of information that is, specifically the extent of the data: how much information is there about this person. It's logical to conclude that the more data that exists, the less likely that person is to be a threat. But I'm not sure I understand your reference to a "peer reviewed study". Could you describe how such a study could be constructed? I don't see it.
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Old May 31, 2011 | 7:04 am
  #47  
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Originally Posted by halls120
Robert Hanssen wasn't a KGB plant in the FBI - he offered his services to the KGB, which they gladly accepted. For 22 years, the FBI never detected his treachery.

All it will take for this latest TSA buffoonery to be overcome is for an educated individual to take the time to set up a potential martyr as a suicide bomber. Nothing technologically elaborate, no extensive tradecraft required - just an average person with no flags in his or her background.
As I know you're aware, virtually all famous American spies did what they did for greed and not ideology (even Jonathan Pollard). There have been just a couple of exceptions (Ana Montes being one) who sold out their country for ideological reasons. Given the hundreds of clerks (out of who-knows-how-many who have not been caught) who have been arrested for simple theft (greed) and the senior clerk in Buffalo who was arrested for helping druggies circumvent checkpoints (greed), many of them in a similar financial situation (heavy debt, living above their means, keeping a mistress on the side, etc) would be easy targets for a foreign intelligence service.

Pitching takes a lot of time and tradecraft. I'm not sure the type of tradecraft geared towards exploiting greed is in AQ's skill set. Certainly, they have cornered the market on pitching on ideology grounds. Paying a screening clerk a few thousand dollars to get someone in the back door of an airport is child's play when the target has bills to pay or a lifestyle to maintain.
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Old May 31, 2011 | 7:14 am
  #48  
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Originally Posted by SATTSO
No, it's not fear. I am simply talking about the reality of how governments and society works. And what I stated does just apply to DHS/TSA. it applies to any agency with authority over whatever they are tasked to oversee.

I was simply responding to the idea that in a liberal society we have to accept risk. I believe that statement. But I also have some understanding of the more pratical side of politics.

I know that eventually there will be another successful attack, whether on plain, train, or any other transit system, or just an attack in general. And I know no amount if security can or will prevent. We can lessen the chance of attacks, perhaps divert potential attacks into less damaging areas of our society. But regardles, it will eventually happen, and I accept that.

And I also will accept whatever blame is laid. Again, its nice to talk about the theories of a liberal society, but it's helpful to then consider the realities. And let the blame fall where it may.

If you see that as fear, so be it. I do not. I will accept whatever happens, as am attempt to control everything is to self-destruct from the inside.
I think the question that divides us is at what cost do we pay for security?

Do we end personal freedom and liberty? Or do we accept that to have a free nation some risk is inevitable and the chance of a terrorist attack is the cost of personal freedom?

My opinion is that DHS has crossed the line and is abusing freedom.
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Old May 31, 2011 | 7:27 am
  #49  
 
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Originally Posted by Tom M.
From Mr. Murphy's letter. (Bolding below mine)

If HR [sic] 1937 were enacted, the federal government would likely seek an emergency stay of the statute. Unless or until such a stay were granted, TSA would likely be required to cancel any flight or series of flights for which it could not ensure the safety of passengers and crew.



ensure
   [en-shoor, -shur] Show IPA
–verb (used with object), -sured, -suring.
1. to secure or guarantee: This letter will ensure you a hearing.
2.to make sure or certain: measures to ensure the success of an undertaking.
3.to make secure or safe, as from harm.
but that only means what it says to them, not to anyone else or their friends - in other words if that meant something to anyone then it may mean something to others, or not - Oh look! Shiny things....
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Old May 31, 2011 | 7:39 am
  #50  
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Originally Posted by Boggie Dog
I think the question that divides us is at what cost do we pay for security?

Do we end personal freedom and liberty? Or do we accept that to have a free nation some risk is inevitable and the chance of a terrorist attack is the cost of personal freedom?

My opinion is that DHS has crossed the line and is abusing freedom.
I do agree that you and I have personal beliefs that divide us.

However, I do not think we have ended personal freedom and liberty. I believe they can co-exist with security. And if you notice what I have been arguing, I have made my point clear that we can never provide security at 100%, and that risk is a part of security.
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Old May 31, 2011 | 7:52 am
  #51  
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Originally Posted by SATTSO
I do agree that you and I have personal beliefs that divide us.

However, I do not think we have ended personal freedom and liberty. I believe they can co-exist with security. And if you notice what I have been arguing, I have made my point clear that we can never provide security at 100%, and that risk is a part of security.
I agree with you completely that TSA cannot provide 100% security. TSA can't because they do not screen everyone equally who enters the sterile areas of airports.

Secondly the impact on personal freedoms is substantial!

An invasive screening of any form without due cause violates the very basic tenets of the United States Constitution.
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Old May 31, 2011 | 8:34 am
  #52  
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Originally Posted by FliesWay2Much
As I know you're aware, virtually all famous American spies did what they did for greed and not ideology (even Jonathan Pollard). There have been just a couple of exceptions (Ana Montes being one) who sold out their country for ideological reasons. Given the hundreds of clerks (out of who-knows-how-many who have not been caught) who have been arrested for simple theft (greed) and the senior clerk in Buffalo who was arrested for helping druggies circumvent checkpoints (greed), many of them in a similar financial situation (heavy debt, living above their means, keeping a mistress on the side, etc) would be easy targets for a foreign intelligence service.

Pitching takes a lot of time and tradecraft. I'm not sure the type of tradecraft geared towards exploiting greed is in AQ's skill set. Certainly, they have cornered the market on pitching on ideology grounds. Paying a screening clerk a few thousand dollars to get someone in the back door of an airport is child's play when the target has bills to pay or a lifestyle to maintain.
You've highlighted a very simple point I overlooked - the ease at which someone will eventually be paid off to look the other way at the airport. It happens all the time at the border, and there is no reason to think it won't happen at the airport at some point.
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Old May 31, 2011 | 8:51 am
  #53  
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Originally Posted by halls120
You've highlighted a very simple point I overlooked - the ease at which someone will eventually be paid off to look the other way at the airport. It happens all the time at the border, and there is no reason to think it won't happen at the airport at some point.
Isn't that essentially what happened in Buffalo? The TSO was paid to look the other way so drugs could be smuggled.

Of course, the bad guys could convince someone it is "only" drugs, when in fact it is something else.

Last edited by Tom M.; May 31, 2011 at 9:01 am
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Old May 31, 2011 | 9:39 am
  #54  
 
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Originally Posted by FliesWay2Much
Pitching takes a lot of time and tradecraft. I'm not sure the type of tradecraft geared towards exploiting greed is in AQ's skill set. Certainly, they have cornered the market on pitching on ideology grounds. Paying a screening clerk a few thousand dollars to get someone in the back door of an airport is child's play when the target has bills to pay or a lifestyle to maintain.
Maybe, maybe not. Paying somebody money on a regular basis is something that's potentially visible to intelligence and law enforcement. KGB has the capabilities and tradecraft to make those hard to see. AQ doesn't.
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Old May 31, 2011 | 10:48 am
  #55  
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Originally Posted by RichardKenner
Maybe, maybe not. Paying somebody money on a regular basis is something that's potentially visible to intelligence and law enforcement. KGB has the capabilities and tradecraft to make those hard to see. AQ doesn't.
Actually, that was my point. I don't think that AQ has the ability to conduct this type of operation. They are very good at recruiting young males to become jihadists and martyrs. KGB and Mossad strategy starts with building personal friendships with targets in a non-threatening manner. Even the dumbest and most vulnerable clerk would be a very hard, if not impossible, sell. The KGB would start out with "We want peace and disarmament just as much as you. We really need to cooperate to make sure this happens..." There's nothing about AQ that ISN'T killing people or blowing up things. It's not like there's a "Civil Division" of AQ that goes around building schools or hospitals.

There's very little opportunity for a clerk to approach AQ volunteering to help in exchange for money. Many of the worst U.S. spies simply walked up to a Russian embassy or consulate somewhere and offered their help. Last I checked, there wasn't an AQ Economic Mission on K Street.

I realize this latest discussion is a long way off from the subject of iris scanners. But, I think we've hit on the notion that there are an awful lot of clerks out there who are vulnerable toexploitation; and, that we're lucky that AQ apparently does not yet understand how to exploit that vulnerability.
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Old May 31, 2011 | 11:01 am
  #56  
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Originally Posted by FliesWay2Much
Actually, that was my point. I don't think that AQ has the ability to conduct this type of operation.
Well, they did spend many months training the personnel who successfully boarded and commandeered four aircraft and flew three of them into buildings. I'm not so sure they wouldn't be able to train and cultivate educated potential martyrs to the extent needed to become trusted travelers.

In the end, whether they spend the time necessary to qualify for relaxed screening, or bribe their way past it, the TSA plan remains flawed.
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Old May 31, 2011 | 12:05 pm
  #57  
 
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Originally Posted by halls120
Well, they did spend many months training the personnel who successfully boarded and commandeered four aircraft and flew three of them into buildings.
And we came very close to detecting them because of it. Although interagency cooperation is likely nowhere near what it should be, I'm pretty sure that we would have certainly detected that operation today.
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Old May 31, 2011 | 12:28 pm
  #58  
 
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Originally Posted by RichardKenner
I agree (and said before) that things that determine credit score are unlikely to be useful. But that leaves a lot of information that is, specifically the extent of the data: how much information is there about this person. It's logical to conclude that the more data that exists, the less likely that person is to be a threat. But I'm not sure I understand your reference to a "peer reviewed study". Could you describe how such a study could be constructed? I don't see it.
I would envision a study comparing FICO scores to work history or involvement in crime. The results would then be scrutinized by others in the field before publication. (I am not a statistician nor a scientist, so I am not sure this could be possible.)

If the claim is that people who have bad credit are at a great risk to be involved with terrorism against the airline industry, there has to be some basis for that claim.

We can't even get a firm study that shows that a bad credit score means the person will be a poor or less ideal employee.

In fact, I will let a rep from Trans Union speak to the issue:

At this point we dont have any research to show any statistical correlation between whats in somebodys credit report and their job performance or their likelihood to commit fraud.
If the claim is going to be made that there is a correlation between aviation terrorism and credit, there needs to be some foundation on which to base that need.
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Old May 31, 2011 | 12:32 pm
  #59  
 
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Originally Posted by FliesWay2Much
Actually, that was my point. I don't think that AQ has the ability to conduct this type of operation. They are very good at recruiting young males to become jihadists and martyrs. KGB and Mossad strategy starts with building personal friendships with targets in a non-threatening manner. Even the dumbest and most vulnerable clerk would be a very hard, if not impossible, sell. The KGB would start out with "We want peace and disarmament just as much as you. We really need to cooperate to make sure this happens..." There's nothing about AQ that ISN'T killing people or blowing up things. It's not like there's a "Civil Division" of AQ that goes around building schools or hospitals.
Why focus only on AQ? There are plenty of other "evil doers" out there, who also do outreach and try to help (certain) people. For example: Hezbollah Social Services.
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Old May 31, 2011 | 12:45 pm
  #60  
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Originally Posted by SATTSO
Originally Posted by Boggie Dog
I think the question that divides us is at what cost do we pay for security?

Do we end personal freedom and liberty? Or do we accept that to have a free nation some risk is inevitable and the chance of a terrorist attack is the cost of personal freedom?

My opinion is that DHS has crossed the line and is abusing freedom.
I do agree that you and I have personal beliefs that divide us.

However, I do not think we have ended personal freedom and liberty. I believe they can co-exist with security. And if you notice what I have been arguing, I have made my point clear that we can never provide security at 100%, and that risk is a part of security.
TSA maintains that it has the right to touch my 4 year old daughter's genitals as a condition of seeing her (Peruvian) grandmother. How can that possibly be reconciled with the idea of a free society?
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