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Originally Posted by rwill11
Earnings report and conference call are on 20 july. Your 500 est is at my very high end. If it hits that number Im afraid chapt 11 will follow shortly. Fall is the slow season and wishing oil will go down is not an option. IF oil is at 70 bucks and they have to raise fares to cover it you will see consumers balk.
They lost $292M in 2005 Q1 alone. Based on the market cap, you can buy all of NWA for less than the price of 4 747-400's (at the list price of $100M each). Q3 is where they have a slight chance to show better performance (higher summer fares, even more packed planes, etc.). I'll stick with my 500M Q2 estimate for now. Their stock is sinking fast. It's hard to believe even renegotiated contracts can keep them out of Chapter 11. |
OK OK the prize
:D I know we are all FTers and want a prize so here'sthe deal. For the person that guesses closest to the actual results on this site (by july 15 2005) I will send them a 10 dollars gift certificate to starbucks ^ ^
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Originally Posted by rwill11
:D I know we are all FTers and want a prize so here'sthe deal. For the person that guesses closest to the actual results on this site (by july 15 2005) I will send them a 10 dollars gift certificate to starbucks ^ ^
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Originally Posted by rwill11
:D I know we are all FTers and want a prize so here'sthe deal. For the person that guesses closest to the actual results on this site (by july 15 2005) I will send them a 10 dollars gift certificate to starbucks ^ ^
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$111 million loss.
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Originally Posted by rwill11
Earnings report and conference call are on 20 july. Your 500 est is at my very high end. If it hits that number Im afraid chapt 11 will follow shortly. Fall is the slow season and wishing oil will go down is not an option. IF oil is at 70 bucks and they have to raise fares to cover it you will see consumers balk.
So ~$500M is possible but not really a reflection of the quarter. |
my guess
I am going to say $328m ---ugh the rats are jumping
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182million in the red :(
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Over on my 'home' board, the AC forum, there are airline lurkers that stop by FT every so often. Are there NW or WP staffers that do the same thing,that we know of, with the NW FT forum? If yes, wonder if the direction this thread headed is surprising.
Just a thought. |
A loss of $186 million with a warning that the company will face massive losses after Labor Day and a possible bankruptcy filing if costs (labor, fuel, and other) don't come down by the end of the year.
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Originally Posted by tcook052
Are there NW or WP staffers that do the same thing,that we know of, with the NW FT forum?
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Originally Posted by channa
There are most definitely NW executive lurkers around here. Who do you think predicted the $500 mil loss? :D
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Originally Posted by channa
There are most definitely NW executive lurkers around here. Who do you think predicted the $500 mil loss? :D
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Originally Posted by DJMeatBall
Based on the market cap, you can buy all of NWA for less than the price of 4 747-400's (at the list price of $100M each). My estimate seems to arond the concensus of a $200-300 loss, but for my shot at the Starbucks cert :D .... I'll go with a loss of $258. |
Originally Posted by BOS-NWA
Are you implying that DJMeatBall works for NWA?
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