Best bump chances?
#1
Original Poster


Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Hyderabad
Posts: 4,843
Best bump chances?
What are the best days and best airlines for getting bumped? I know that around Christmas and Thanksgiving are big, but are there any other big travel weekends? I want to put together some runs for next year, and if I plan ahead, it would be nice to schedule these around busy travel days and get a bump or two.
#3
Join Date: Jun 2001
Location: Seattle, WA, USA
Programs: DL
Posts: 863
<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Originally posted by johnep1:
What are the best days and best airlines for getting bumped? I know that around Christmas and Thanksgiving are big, but are there any other big travel weekends? I want to put together some runs for next year, and if I plan ahead, it would be nice to schedule these around busy travel days and get a bump or two.</font>
What are the best days and best airlines for getting bumped? I know that around Christmas and Thanksgiving are big, but are there any other big travel weekends? I want to put together some runs for next year, and if I plan ahead, it would be nice to schedule these around busy travel days and get a bump or two.</font>
#5
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Dallas, TX, USA AA Plat
Posts: 1,342
I used to work for Continental Airlines several years ago.
The reason airlines overbook is because of the no-show rate - people will book and not show up.
So in very broad terms the country broke down like this
Midwest - 10%
East coast - 15%
West Coast - 20% no show and if I recall - this is over 10 years ago SFO flight consistantly were aroind 25% no show rates or more.
So look for flight that are heavily booked out of the midwest ---
In the West coast you could be over booked 30 pax on a 150 pax flt and still go out with open seats.
Also the airlines used to have to report to the FAA overbookings. I can't remember now if it's an overall number ie we denied xx pax per yy flights or if there was more detail.
Someone may have the power to poke around there and see.
I hope this helps.
Frank
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TANSTAAFL - but if you work it right, FF miles comes pretty close.
The reason airlines overbook is because of the no-show rate - people will book and not show up.
So in very broad terms the country broke down like this
Midwest - 10%
East coast - 15%
West Coast - 20% no show and if I recall - this is over 10 years ago SFO flight consistantly were aroind 25% no show rates or more.
So look for flight that are heavily booked out of the midwest ---
In the West coast you could be over booked 30 pax on a 150 pax flt and still go out with open seats.
Also the airlines used to have to report to the FAA overbookings. I can't remember now if it's an overall number ie we denied xx pax per yy flights or if there was more detail.
Someone may have the power to poke around there and see.
I hope this helps.
Frank
------------------
TANSTAAFL - but if you work it right, FF miles comes pretty close.
#6
Original Poster


Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Hyderabad
Posts: 4,843
Thanks for the info. I've not been able to figure out the airlines' systems. I have been on completely overbooked flights and not had the chance to be bumped. I've also been on flights that I thought would be empty and been bumped.
I guess it's not smart to book with the expectation of being bumped, but if I'm going on a run anyway, it doesn't hurt to try.
I guess it's not smart to book with the expectation of being bumped, but if I'm going on a run anyway, it doesn't hurt to try.
#8
Join Date: May 2001
Location: Colchester, Ct. Usa
Posts: 2
<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Originally posted by pumpkin:
In normal times, is Good Friday, Saturday or Easter good bumping days?</font>
In normal times, is Good Friday, Saturday or Easter good bumping days?</font>

