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Old Dec 27, 2001 | 7:52 pm
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The market appears to "believe" that HP will get the loan guarantees.
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Old Dec 27, 2001 | 8:13 pm
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I say ... let's start a contest or pool or something.

Guess the date HP files for Chapter 11! Winner gets two CO drink coupons from me, or maybe the FT masters could come up with something. In case of a tie, first to post with date gets it.

To protect my drinks, I submit: 1/16/2002.

And ... no editing your post like I just did.

[This message has been edited by ontheroad (edited 12-27-2001).]
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Old Dec 27, 2001 | 8:47 pm
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<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The market appears to "believe" that HP will get the loan guarantees.</font>
?????????? The stock has gone from $30 in 1998 to around $10 before you know when. Down 4% to $2.60 today. The value of a share today is less then a "Happy Meal" at McDonalds.

Sad, but true.

[This message has been edited by snake (edited 12-27-2001).]
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Old Dec 27, 2001 | 10:37 pm
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ontheroad -

I reserve Friday 4-Jan-2002.

dAAvid -
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Old Dec 27, 2001 | 10:38 pm
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I'm in Reno and America West is one of the few remaining airlines with reasonable schedules to PHX - I have had plenty of problems with them with cancelled & delayed flights, but I have nothing but praise for the way they treated me when I was stuck in ABQ on Sept 11th - they got me from ABQ to PHX, arranged a 'disaster rate' room for the night and then got me back to RNO the following day; personally I hope that they can get the bailout they need to stay in business - I'd rather fly HP than "South-Worst"
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Old Dec 28, 2001 | 6:46 am
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Wednesday, January 2, 2002 would be a good bet if HP doesn't hear from the NTSB.

p.s. Chapter 11, I would expect, and keep flying, hoping for a change of heart from the loan board. If they don't go Chapter 11 soon I wouldn't rule out Chapter 7 at a later date.

p.p.s. snake doesn't drink, so he's not entering the contest for the CO coupons.

[This message has been edited by snake (edited 12-28-2001).]
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Old Dec 28, 2001 | 7:54 am
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It'll take longer than you think. first they need to get an answer from the loan board. They'll be turned down. Then McCain has to posture and bluster for awhile, while at the same time HP execs will be both threatening bankruptcy, and working every source of money they can. Plus, based on the cash position they seem to have right now according to this article:

http://biz.yahoo.com/rf/011227/n2738179_1.html

they are not bleeding as bad as we thought.

my guess? april 12, 2002
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Old Dec 28, 2001 | 8:12 am
  #23  
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I don't think they will keep flying during ch 11. I think they will be grounded, and their pax stranded (perhaps competitors will let pax use HP tix, though.)

Right to the last second they will be selling tix and trying to get people to fly.
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Old Dec 28, 2001 | 8:46 am
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A look at a past airline shutdown: Braniff's final hours

<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">(After getting unofficial news of the shutdown)...........The Captain ordered the Flight Engineer to contact operations in Dallas. Operations told the crew that it was up to them to proceed to Hawaii or land in Los Angeles. The Captain elected to go to Honolulu as the plane was full of fuel and a lot of people who paid to go to Hawaii.............</font>
Sad, but true.


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Old Dec 28, 2001 | 2:55 pm
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<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Originally posted by snake:
The market appears to "believe" that HP will get the loan guarantees.</font>
?????????? The stock has gone from $30 in 1998 to around $10 before you know when. Down 4% to $2.60 today. The value of a share today is less then a "Happy Meal" at McDonalds.

Sad, but true.

[This message has been edited by snake (edited 12-27-2001).]
I don't quarrel with Snake's point about the decline in the value of HP stock from around $30 to around $2.40. I was only suggesting that the current price has some possibility factored in that the loan guarantees will be approved and that is why the stock hasn't tanked even more.
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Old Dec 28, 2001 | 3:09 pm
  #26  
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No news is bad news, HP stock dropped another 5% today.

. Sad, but true.

hobson: Why don't you put what I said in quotes, insted of my quote of your words that I included in my post. it might make things clearer to the readers.

<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">hobson writes: I was only suggesting that the current price has some possibility factored in that the loan guarantees will be approved and that is why the stock hasn't tanked even more. </font>
There's always a possibility that the loan guarantees will be approved, thats why the stock is worth so much more then zero.


[This message has been edited by snake (edited 12-28-2001).]
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Old Dec 28, 2001 | 6:40 pm
  #27  
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This just in:

Press Release Issued December 28, 2001 8:32:00 PM ET
America West Receives Conditional Approval for Loan Guarantees

Full text of this press release available at:
http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/mi...01639955&EDATE
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Old Dec 28, 2001 | 8:55 pm
  #28  
 
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[QUOTE]Originally posted by snake:


hobson: Why don't you put what I said in quotes, insted of my quote of your words that I included in my post. it might make things clearer to the readers.

Point well taken. My only excuse is that my cat was walking over my keyboard at that point in time and I got a little distracted!
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Old Dec 29, 2001 | 11:43 am
  #29  
 
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Congratulations, boys and girls. You now own a chunk of America Worst.

http://signonsandiego.com/news/busin...lineloans.html

<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">the company must now put up 33 percent of its stock to protect taxpayers from the risk of making the loan. </font>
So does this mean it is now my patriotic duty to fly America Worst?

Ugggh.
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Old Dec 29, 2001 | 11:58 am
  #30  
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33%!!Why didn't they shoot for 66%, heck, even 99% That would really protect (Enhance) us taxpayers. Como no?

Man, it's gonna be pure entertainment, I love it.

hobson: ever think of using the "edit" button to correct after your cat walks?
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