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The beginning of the end of travel rewards?

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Old Jan 12, 2019, 8:25 pm
  #31  
 
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Originally Posted by mia
Perhaps this is one reason that we now see no-annual-fee AA and DL cards that earn 1 mile per dollar, and free (or low fee) cards that earn more than one transferrable point per dollar? Think of award tickets in terms of the amount of spending required for a ticket, rather than the number of miles.
Yeah but if the airlines are aiming for redemption rates of one cent per mile, then you might as well just get a cash back card (where 1% back is the absolute minimum) and not be locked into one airline.

FWIW, I just downgraded my AmEx Delta Gold card to the free Blue card since I’m just going to buy the cheapest first class domestic tickets from now on and don’t need the Gold card’s “priority” boarding and free checked bags. I doubt I’ll put any spending on the Blue card, but I figured it’d be better to keep the account open on my credit report.
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Old Jan 13, 2019, 4:42 pm
  #32  
 
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Originally Posted by kapooncha
Is there anyone here who would fly coach from USA to Asia? I know I wouldn't. I've been fortunate enough to travel out there quite a bit, mainly through being able to cash in miles for J and/or F awards. There is no way I'm going to fly coach all the way out there. Plenty of really nice trips I can take here in the USA.
Yes, I think lots of people fly to Asia in coach. When I fly to Asia the coach seats are quite full. In a sense the credit card bonuses democratized the ability to fly overseas, though now cash fares are often so good there's no need to use miles.
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Old Jan 13, 2019, 4:48 pm
  #33  
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Originally Posted by srdshelly
Yes, I think lots of people fly to Asia in coach. When I fly to Asia the coach seats are quite full. In a sense the credit card bonuses democratized the ability to fly overseas, though now cash fares are often so good there's no need to use miles.
Haha yes I know people do fly coach to Asia. I was more asking about FTers.
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Old Jan 13, 2019, 6:24 pm
  #34  
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Originally Posted by kapooncha
Haha yes I know people do fly coach to Asia. I was more asking about FTers.
Yes, there are FTers, but I don't know if they'll come to this thread.

If you read all the threads in airline forums for people discussing and asking for help with booking saver tickets, there you'll find that some people are only looking for coach tickets TATL/TPAC. If all you look is threads about people churning cards to no end, maybe you don't see the same thing.

Keep in mind that not all FTers know how to get an "infinite" number of miles/points. For example, some want to travel with a family of 5, and just can get enough for coach for 5 TATL roundtrips, and then are still plagued with the trouble of getting 5 coach saver awards on the very same flights.

Also, it depends how people deal with sleep, and their size. Short people who sleep easily even if sitting upright may have a lot fewer issues with flying economy than taller people who have trouble sleeping upright.
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Old Jan 15, 2019, 7:53 pm
  #35  
 
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Originally Posted by kapooncha
Haha yes I know people do fly coach to Asia. I was more asking about FTers.
I only fly coach, and I'm rather extreme about it. Business and first have no value for me, so if I get an upgrade, I feel someone else should really get it because they seem to value it and I don't for sure. I try to turn them down, and I mostly succeed. I started a thread "the down side of upgrades" several years ago, and people thought I was joking, but I wasn't.
And yes, I'm flying to Asia next month.
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Old Jan 15, 2019, 7:55 pm
  #36  
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Originally Posted by sosafan
I only fly coach, and I'm rather extreme about it. Business and first have no value for me, so if I get an upgrade, I feel someone else should really get it because they seem to value it and I don't for sure. I try to turn them down, and I mostly succeed. I started a thread "the down side of upgrades" several years ago, and people thought I was joking, but I wasn't.
And yes, I'm flying to Asia next month.
Can you provide a link to that thread? I'm dying to read the comments.
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Old Jan 15, 2019, 8:11 pm
  #37  
 
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Originally Posted by kapooncha
Can you provide a link to that thread? I'm dying to read the comments.
https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/mile...de+of+upgrades
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Old Jan 15, 2019, 8:21 pm
  #38  
 
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Originally Posted by kapooncha
Is there anyone here who would fly coach from USA to Asia? I know I wouldn't. I've been fortunate enough to travel out there quite a bit, mainly through being able to cash in miles for J and/or F awards. There is no way I'm going to fly coach all the way out there. Plenty of really nice trips I can take here in the USA.
I have done TPAC 7 times, all in economy. The only time I minded it was when I played myself on a reroute for more miles. Aisle seat on NH became a middle seat on UA NRT-EWR. I can't sleep well sitting and don't see any value in going on an airborne bender so economy works for me.

I have a horde of about 500k miles over all programs, the program enhancements are happening faster than I can use them so am using domestically where I can get two cents or better.
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Old Jan 16, 2019, 12:20 am
  #39  
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Different strokes for different folks. My in-laws always fly economy because they're relatively short and prefer to save cash (and to be fair domestic F is not all that special). My parents flew economy until they retired (also to save cash) but now go business class TATL because they get it. When I was young and poor I rarely redeemed for F because it was tough for me to earn miles and my body was able to recover quickly from a redeye. Now I earn plenty of miles from business travel, I have difficulty sleeping on planes, and it takes me a week to recover from jetlag, So I'm happy to do C x 4 when my family goes TATL or TPAC - which admittedly isn't every year. Miles are always depreciating (read: award prices are always increasing) so it makes sense to burn them for C rather then using for a cramped economy seat and hoarding them. Particularly if OP is right.
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Old Jan 16, 2019, 12:27 pm
  #40  
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Originally Posted by kapooncha
Is there anyone here who would fly coach from USA to Asia? I know I wouldn't. I've been fortunate enough to travel out there quite a bit, mainly through being able to cash in miles for J and/or F awards. There is no way I'm going to fly coach all the way out there. Plenty of really nice trips I can take here in the USA.
I have done TPAC in Y. ORD-PVG. It was a situation where no F/J awards were available, regular (lowest mileage) Y awards were available, and we were flying an odd sequence of segments that meant buying cheap Y (or discounted J) tickets couldn't happen. And we were booking far enough in advance that I could get two infinite-legroom exit row seats. It wasn't awful, but it wasn't great either. It was a necessary evil to get to China without significantly changing dates or searching for some sort of very odd routing.

Originally Posted by Boraxo
I can’t speak for anyone else, but if TATL/TPAC J//F awards are taken off the board then I will simply revert to a 2% cash back card and maybe occasional hotel card. Ditto for the bank cards - I don’t need Chase or Amex points if they don’t transfer to a partner that offers what I need.

With price of J falling this may even be a better option now - 70k UR transfer for hard-to-find TATL one-way in J vs $1400 cash back on a 2% card - and we are seeing quite a few tix at that price or lower.
I think this response is telling about the current state of the entire FF game: I was just talking about using miles, and pretty much the whole thread assumes I'm talking about earning them from credit cards. You are absolutely right - take away the F/J seats, and 2% cashback wins every time.

And if you happen to earn a trickle of miles by actually flying, use those on domestic segments that manage to fall into a sweet spot in value where you get a couple cents per mile. If you can...
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Old Jan 16, 2019, 1:11 pm
  #41  
 
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LOL
these games will never stop now that they have found a nice way to print money legitimately. If the neighbour does it, I have to do it too or I lose!
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Old Jan 16, 2019, 6:03 pm
  #42  
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The beginning of the end of travel rewards?

Originally Posted by kapooncha
Nearly all the banks have severely restricted how many cards/sign-up bonuses customers can get.
what you mention in your post is travel rewards through churning, not earning travel rewards legitimately. a lot of people might say that CC spend is not legitimate way to earn miles but no bank has said that this person spends way too much on their credit card.

although it is true that travelling on points is tougher than it once was, it's not the end and there's no end in sight. in fact, everyone is doing it which is exactly why it's so tough now.
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Old Jan 19, 2019, 5:31 pm
  #43  
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Originally Posted by BenSenise
The beginning of the end of travel rewards?



what you mention in your post is travel rewards through churning, not earning travel rewards legitimately. a lot of people might say that CC spend is not legitimate way to earn miles but no bank has said that this person spends way too much on their credit card.

although it is true that travelling on points is tougher than it once was, it's not the end and there's no end in sight. in fact, everyone is doing it which is exactly why it's so tough now.
Well, with airlines shifting to a revenue model, and their constant devaluations, good luck earning F awards through "legitimate" methods.
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Old Jan 20, 2019, 10:45 pm
  #44  
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A big problem that some have mentioned but I don't think gets emphasized enough is that both airlines and banks have gotten less competitive and more oligopolistic at the top level during this time when you get the explosion of blogs and the online tools have gotten better. So you have not only a lot more wannabes in the game, but a much worse playing field.

With the banks you get exclusive arrangements with mileage-earning cards, so only the top behemoths are in at that level. Others get to do points-based, which can have some advantages but aren't so churn-able. With banks in general you have something like the top 6 controlling 70% of assets, or some lopsided number like that.

With airlines you've got the US3 that just doesn't care as much about competing anymore and treats their FFers like the European monopoly flag carriers long treated theirs. The main competition in airlines, such as it is, is with ULCCs, and some of those are like Spirit in that they have a pretty uninspired FF program and hate the idea of elite perks that could decrease the charge-for-everything fee revenue. The ULCCs can be spoilers with "capacity discipline" (F9's ATL-SLC nonstop a perfect example...did a RT on that last year at $54 at a particularly low time). OTOH, they generally don't have enough planes or frequency yet, And DL has not been matching F9 or NK like it used to match WN.
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Old Jan 20, 2019, 11:08 pm
  #45  
 
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Originally Posted by yasmas
link does not work? or is it a me problem?
sucking 80, I fly J to PEK..PVG...

I suspect I will run out if time before I run out of miles.l
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