Go Back  FlyerTalk Forums > Miles&Points > MilesBuzz
Reload this Page >

A frequent flyer mile is finally worth more than a penny

Community
Wiki Posts
Search

A frequent flyer mile is finally worth more than a penny

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old Sep 15, 2011, 4:55 pm
  #16  
 
Join Date: Feb 1999
Location: San Jose, California, USA
Programs: AS 100K, UA MM, AA MM, IC Plat Amb, Marriott Gold, Hilton Gold, Hyatt Explorist
Posts: 3,146
I disagree with those who base the value only on what you would pay for the ticket. I redeem miles only for C/F awards. (I can afford to pay for most coach tickets, so there's no "value" in that for me.) The amount of money I am willing to pay for a C/F ticket rarely intersects with the cost of that ticket. So without using miles, I would never be able to travel in international F at all!

So the fact that I might only be willing to pay $2,000 for that international F ticket doesn't mean that that's the value. The value is increased by the fact that I can't/won't pay more, so I am getting something I otherwise couldn't afford or wouldn't otherwise pay for.

This is part of the "indescribable value" that jrmcrm mentions above. You can't ignore that just because it's hard to calculate.
mikew99 is offline  
Old Sep 15, 2011, 5:34 pm
  #17  
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 5,439
My valuation:

LAN & QF 1 cent
Most programs 2 cents
Amex MR 2.5 cents
SPG 4-5 cents
belfordrocks is offline  
Old Sep 15, 2011, 5:49 pm
  #18  
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Land of the parrots and parrotheads
Programs: Several dozen
Posts: 4,820
Yes, in fact I am playing Ping Pong transferring miles between 5 accounts. And at less than 1.1 because, for example, you can have one account with 90k send 3 30k transfers to 3 different accounts for the same one-time $30 fee.

Of course you are not going to redeem SkyPesos for domestic flights, but rather flights like transatlantic hops that go for say 60k SkyPesos when Kayak's lowest fare is say 1.5k Dollars.

Originally Posted by kstrait
So if you truly value your miles at more than 1.5 cmp, wouldn't you jump at the chance to maximize the number of miles you can get from Delta's 100% transfer bonus program (ends 9/30) in which you can accumulate up to 150k miles at 1.1 cpm?
AlohaDaveKennedy is offline  
Old Sep 15, 2011, 6:46 pm
  #19  
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 3,609
Originally Posted by AlohaDaveKennedy
Yes, in fact I am playing Ping Pong transferring miles between 5 accounts. And at less than 1.1 because, for example, you can have one account with 90k send 3 30k transfers to 3 different accounts for the same one-time $30 fee.

Of course you are not going to redeem SkyPesos for domestic flights, but rather flights like transatlantic hops that go for say 60k SkyPesos when Kayak's lowest fare is say 1.5k Dollars.
what on earth? how does ping ponging miles between accounts manufacture miles?
zkzkz is offline  
Old Sep 15, 2011, 6:52 pm
  #20  
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: San Francisco, CA
Programs: United 2P, AA Gold, Hyatt Platinum, Hilton Gold
Posts: 173
Originally Posted by zkzkz
what on earth? how does ping ponging miles between accounts manufacture miles?
See: http://www.delta.com/skymiles/buy_tr..._lto/index.jsp
jonman21 is offline  
Old Sep 15, 2011, 7:00 pm
  #21  
 
Join Date: Jul 2011
Programs: UA 2P
Posts: 53
Originally Posted by rajuabju
I think most people who are on this forum value their miles much higher than 1 cent... I value mine at 5 cents or higher. I'd never (except maybe some extreme circumstance) redeem for lower value then that.
CO.
Wow, so does this mean that you max out the number of miles you're allowed to purchase directly from the airlines? They can generally be had for 2.5-3 cents/mile (much less in some cases, Delta and US Airways for example). Otherwise, why wouldn't you redeem at this level?
flyBernoulli is offline  
Old Sep 15, 2011, 7:34 pm
  #22  
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Kobe, Japan
Programs: Bonvoy Platinum, IHG Diamond, Hyatt Discoverist
Posts: 1,538
I fly international coach and generally use the 2 cents rule.

Though recent changes (*A and SkyPesos) have devalued some of the NE to SE Asia routes to the point it is better to buy. Going from Japan to NE Asia, Micronesia, HNL, N. America/Europe is still around 2cpm.
JapanFlyerT is offline  
Old Sep 15, 2011, 7:48 pm
  #23  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Original Poster
 
Join Date: Mar 2000
Posts: 17,435
Originally Posted by rbAA
Actually, no. "Ticket brokers" have been pretty consistent at about 2.2 cents per mile over the past two decades in the "gray" market, so I don't think you can say that the 1 cent valuation was "widely held." And 25k domestic awards generally are only done last minute, with much higher fares or to gain some flexibility in date/time changes, so much higher values are seen there.
I doubt many flyertalkers bought miles at 2.2 cents from ticket brokers. For ordinary travellers, that would be a rip-off. I would assume these transactions were for immediate biz class awards where the buyers thought they were getting a better value than buying the published fares.

BTW, do such brokers exist these days? You sure don't hear much about them.

Originally Posted by kstrait
So if you truly value your miles at more than 1.5 cmp, wouldn't you jump at the chance to maximize the number of miles you can get from Delta's 100% transfer bonus program (ends 9/30) in which you can accumulate up to 150k miles at 1.1 cpm?
You probably missed the part where I said that some airlines were a little above 1.5 (Star) and some below (Delta). I do think DL miles are worth at least a penny, but how much above that is a very debatable question. We all know that DL has a generally weak award chart, but the reason it's so hard to value a DL mile is the "trouble" you have in redeeming the miles at the saver rate. If you live in a place where you must start your travel on DL, you are not going to value a Skymile very highly. If you live in a place served by DL partners who fly to places you want to go, you will assign more value to a Skymile.

Personally, I have a lot of Skymiles because I find them harder to spend than my other ff miles. So while they may be worth 1.1 cent, given the trouble I have redeeming them, I'd only want to fork over my hard earned cash if I could pick them up at a discount. I wouldn't be interested in paying "fair value" unless I had a specific use and great confidence that the award seats would be available. Otherwise, to store them for future use, I would be willing to buy "unlimited" Skypesos at approximately .7 cpm. I'd guess many flyertalkers would agree to similar terms.
iahphx is offline  
Old Sep 15, 2011, 8:58 pm
  #24  
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: SJC/SFO
Programs: WN A+ CP, UA 1MM/*A Gold, Mar LT Tit, IHG Plat, HH Dia
Posts: 6,286
I figure that redeeming miles for coach tickets usually returns a value in the range of 1.6 - 2.0 cpm. Redemption fees, fuel surcharges, and other garbage fees can seriously diminish these values.

I find that using points for premium class tickets on international flights returns nominal values in the range of 3.0 - 6.0 cpm. I emphasize nominal because I consider them overpriced. For example, business tickets are often 3-4x the cost of coach, but I value them at only 2x coach. Taking that into account, their value to me is 1.5 - 4cpm.

On the whole I value airline miles at 1.8cpm when making choices about exchanging points between systems or comparing options for bonuses.
darthbimmer is offline  
Old Sep 15, 2011, 10:52 pm
  #25  
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Programs: HHonors Gold, Marriott Lifetime Gold, IHG Gold, OZ*G, AA Gold, AS MVP
Posts: 1,874
When redeeming on UA for an NH China-Japan award it's always been more than 1cpm for me; usually 2-3 if we just go by Y redemptions (for example, a 20k award is $600 or so during certain time periods).
jamar is offline  
Old Sep 15, 2011, 11:32 pm
  #26  
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: Tampa, Florida
Programs: SPG PLT
Posts: 238
Agree! International travel is the way to go. Save your miles for international.
srt8-blue is offline  
Old Sep 16, 2011, 12:30 am
  #27  
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: NYC
Programs: AA EXP, Hilton GLD, Marriott Plat, NEXUS/GE
Posts: 2,872
Originally Posted by virtuo0
Absolutely right. Value is not what someone is offering it at, but what someone is willing to pay for it. (real estate market is the best example)
^^

While I get a bit of a kick out of burning miles at a face value substantially more than say, 2cpm, I understand that I wouldn't normally buy myself round-the-world tickets in first. Consequently, my RDM valuation is mostly set at a bit higher than what I can do the ticket for in Y (but a bit higher for the comfort of J/F and for the flexibility of stopovers, etc. that revenue tickets might not provide [at least for free])
FlyerChrisK is offline  
Old Sep 16, 2011, 9:36 am
  #28  
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: PHX
Posts: 4,787
Originally Posted by darthbimmer
I figure that redeeming miles for coach tickets usually returns a value in the range of 1.6 - 2.0 cpm. Redemption fees, fuel surcharges, and other garbage fees can seriously diminish these values.
You're doing better on coach than I can usually do except in the rarest of instances. But when I figure out my cpm for a coach redemption, I also discount it by assigning a proportionate value to the miles I did not earn for the flight since I'm on an award ticket. If you're doing that and getting 1.6 to 2.0 cpm, that's really impressive.
lkar is offline  
Old Sep 16, 2011, 9:43 am
  #29  
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: SLC
Posts: 392
Originally Posted by abcx
Basically, to put it in economic terms, the discount rate on the future value of miles is huge.
This is a critical point to understand. Miles may be quite valuable (up to 10 cents each) today, but can be devalued very quickly...kind of like the currency of an unstable government. The incentive, then, is to use the miles quickly.
TheManofaThousandPlaces is offline  
Old Sep 16, 2011, 9:58 am
  #30  
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: IAD
Programs: UA Premier Platinum; Marriott Platinum
Posts: 441
Originally Posted by srt8-blue
Agree! International travel is the way to go. Save your miles for international.
Given theoretical unlimited travel availability, I agree. But I have the trips I can take and that's it. My last three trips were

IAD-DFW in Y for 25K (x4)
TRI-PBI in Y for 25K (x4)
IAD-FCO in C for 110K (x2)

Some people would look at that and say I'm "wasting" miles. But those are the trips I wanted to take and I took them when I wanted.
Yuengling is offline  


Contact Us - Manage Preferences - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service -

This site is owned, operated, and maintained by MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Designated trademarks are the property of their respective owners.