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Dollar Falling Drastically Versus Yen!!!

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Dollar Falling Drastically Versus Yen!!!

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Old Mar 14, 2008 | 8:50 pm
  #16  
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Originally Posted by ksandness
Compare and contrast with London.
+1. I went to London and Japan last year. Enjoyed both, but Japan is much more reasonable. Japan again this year it is... Although, last year when I went, I believe the 1USD = 117ish YEN...
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Old Mar 15, 2008 | 7:49 am
  #17  
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This dive in the USD versus the Yen is killing me. The hardest part is the volatility. If it just went down gradually over time, I could adjust. Now, I have to try to time switching over money in time to pay rent at best rate I can. I am betting on rebound by the dollar in the last week of March; at least to 103 or 104 to come out ahead.

As for tourists, just use Citibank ATM at Narita.

Marc
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Old Mar 15, 2008 | 10:05 am
  #18  
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well, i exchanged my money straight through my uncle who lives in hong kong, but does business with the japanese. didn't have to pay the bank fees and stuff...and we mutually agreed on the rate of 107 a couple weeks ago. so i guess luck was on my side this time.

i just hope i exchanged enough to survive 4 months without doing it again...hoping that the rate goes back up if i do.

im glad i have connections!
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Old Mar 15, 2008 | 11:32 am
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If you live in an area where Commerce Bank does business (www.commerceonline.com) and you travel a lot, open a credit and a checking account. They do not charge any ForEx fee, and they even eat the 1% fee charged by Visa. I actually think they'll waive the ATM fees as well.
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Old Mar 16, 2008 | 6:24 pm
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About 18 months ago I think I was exchanging at 130~ to the dollar. Seemed pretty nice. But to put a little perspective on this, my old Lonely Planet guide book from the mid 2000's lists the exchange rate at the time of printing at 105. Still, showing up in Tokyo and seeing 98 on the board was a bit of a shock.
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Old Mar 16, 2008 | 6:40 pm
  #21  
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Originally Posted by motytrah
But to put a little perspective on this, my old Lonely Planet guide book from the mid 2000's lists the exchange rate at the time of printing at 105.
And for a little more perspective, it hit 85 in the mid 90s...
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Old Mar 16, 2008 | 7:08 pm
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Originally Posted by Calcifer
And for a little more perspective, it hit 85 in the mid 90s...
I think it went down to 79 in the 90's.
The yen is at 97 now.
I think it will go to 90 within the next 30 days. IMHO
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Old Mar 16, 2008 | 9:52 pm
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Originally Posted by Tokyorich
I think it will go to 90 within the next 30 days. IMHO
I agree with the trend, but not the timing. I'm betting 90 by July 30th.
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Old Mar 17, 2008 | 7:15 am
  #24  
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I've been long yen since last year. It has more than made up for the carnage elsewhere.
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Old Mar 17, 2008 | 10:49 am
  #25  
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Originally Posted by Tokyorich
I think it went down to 79 in the 90's.
The yen is at 97 now.
IIRC, that little episode was due to Japanese corporation repatriating masive amounts of Yen (bought with USD) for some accounting reason which overwhelmed the market. This decline is probably more due to fundementals, sentiment, and long-term correction.
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Old Mar 17, 2008 | 6:09 pm
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Originally Posted by Tokyorich
I think it will go to 90 within the next 30 days. IMHO
Originally Posted by kcvt750
I agree with the trend, but not the timing. I'm betting 90 by July 30th.
Merde. I may have to re-think my opinion.
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Old Mar 17, 2008 | 7:27 pm
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FWIW:
TOKYO (Nikkei)--The yen is likely to continue facing upward pressure as pessimism about the U.S.'s financial woes and economic outlook accelerates the decline in the value of the dollar, market participants in a Nikkei survey predict.

Many believe that the greenback, which briefly sank to the 95 yen level Monday, could fall to 90-93 in April or May.

Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp.'s Daisuke Uno says the dollar could depreciate to around 90 yen by the end of this month. JPMorgan Chase Bank's Junya Tanase also sees a low of around 90, but by June.
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Old Mar 17, 2008 | 8:41 pm
  #28  
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This will make things more expensive and slow the unsustainably high U.S. consumer spending.

The last time it happened only made Korean products more competitive. Let's see what happens this time.
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Old Mar 17, 2008 | 11:41 pm
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I guess Daisuke Uno reads Flyertalk.
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Old Mar 18, 2008 | 1:08 am
  #30  
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I am awfully glad right now that I get paid in Yen. Kind of makes up for the horrible luck I've had in the past with exchange rates. (Like when I was a poor student in Japan living on USD and the exchange rate went to 85!! And then as soon as I started working and receiving salary in Yen the rate went the other way and hit 140!!)
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