What drives US-Japan airfares constantly much higher than average Asia?
#31
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota,USA
Programs: UA, NW
Posts: 3,752
A travel agent once told me that she felt as if airlines set their fares by using a dartboard. That's how hard it is to figure out why airline pricing works the way it does. I once went to the Canada forum to ask a question on behalf of some friends who were going to join a study tour to Nunavut. They were appalled at the airfare, even out of Winnipeg, and the Canada forum assured me that these fares were the normal ones, even though, or especially because, people up there are dependent on air travel.
As an example of weird pricing, on one of my Minneapolis to Tokyo trips, a DL search brought up a cheap ticket, but it would have required going MSP>SEA>JFK>NRT. It was cheaper than either MSP>SEA>NRT or MSP>JFK>NRT. Go figure. I decided to take a more sensible routing via LAX.
Over the years, I have found that flying out of LAX gives me the cheapest trans-Pacific fares, cheap enough that I can fly MSP>LAX on whichever airline offers the best schedule and fare, spend the night near LAX, and take one of the Asian airlines (or UA in a pinch) for about $400 less than it would cost to fly nonstop on Delta. Or maybe the best rate is flying out of LAX and back into SFO. It makes no sense, and you just have to keep checking back.
As an example of weird pricing, on one of my Minneapolis to Tokyo trips, a DL search brought up a cheap ticket, but it would have required going MSP>SEA>JFK>NRT. It was cheaper than either MSP>SEA>NRT or MSP>JFK>NRT. Go figure. I decided to take a more sensible routing via LAX.
Over the years, I have found that flying out of LAX gives me the cheapest trans-Pacific fares, cheap enough that I can fly MSP>LAX on whichever airline offers the best schedule and fare, spend the night near LAX, and take one of the Asian airlines (or UA in a pinch) for about $400 less than it would cost to fly nonstop on Delta. Or maybe the best rate is flying out of LAX and back into SFO. It makes no sense, and you just have to keep checking back.
#33
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: SFO
Programs: Delta Gold 1MM, JAL JGC Diamond, Marriott LT Titanium
Posts: 395
You didn't list the prices you found, but from your post:
There is almost 7k savings going through ICN vs direct to Tokyo
So it implies the nonstop ticket is 3500 more expensive than the 1-stop flight.
But...
On momondo I found a 1-stop AC/OZ itinerary for 3400ish per ticket.
There is a non-stop JL flight for 3700ish per ticket.
And if you want to stick with Star Alliance, NH can do it for 3900.
A nonstop AC flight is listed at 4200.
So maybe give momondo a spin?
There is almost 7k savings going through ICN vs direct to Tokyo
So it implies the nonstop ticket is 3500 more expensive than the 1-stop flight.
But...
On momondo I found a 1-stop AC/OZ itinerary for 3400ish per ticket.
There is a non-stop JL flight for 3700ish per ticket.
And if you want to stick with Star Alliance, NH can do it for 3900.
A nonstop AC flight is listed at 4200.
So maybe give momondo a spin?
#34
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: 1A
Programs: UA GS, NH Diamond, Hyatt Lifetime Globalist (formerly Courtesy Card sadly), Amanjunkie, CLEAR
Posts: 3,713
Folks, it’s shockingly simple. Supply and demand. Many people want to fly this route (remember, Apple employees alone fill 45 seats in J a day ex SFO to China, let alone Japan and other places in Asia), so they can get away with charging more for the tickets. Same reason why housing prices are out of control in markets like SF.
It really is that simple.
It really is that simple.
#35
Join Date: Jan 2018
Location: YVR/YEG/YYZ depending on day
Programs: E35K, FPC Platinum
Posts: 392
Folks, it’s shockingly simple. Supply and demand. Many people want to fly this route (remember, Apple employees alone fill 45 seats in J a day ex SFO to China, let alone Japan and other places in Asia), so they can get away with charging more for the tickets. Same reason why housing prices are out of control in markets like SF.
It really is that simple.
It really is that simple.
Its just this time the price difference is so ridiculous.
I doubt there are that many apple, or any tech giant co, driving the price for YVR-NRT daily via AC.
I know airline prices make no sense, but this year its particularly frustrating!
I'll check out momondo, and likely end up going through ICN. I won't mind the connection, get to try out a new airport and lounge, and if I can land into HND and spare N'EX I'll be happy.
#37
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: Hilton, Hyatt House, Del Taco
Posts: 5,378
YVR-HKG is usually cheaper.
Those are very long layovers in mainland China both ways, though. I'd rather fly PE on ANA nonstop.
#38
Original Poster
Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: if it's Thursday, this must be Belgium
Programs: UA 1K MM
Posts: 6,484
I have posted / asked on this topic before and the / an unsatisfactory answer simply seems to be that because the market can command it, airlines providing nonstop USA-Japan fares price them high to take advantage.
What drives US-Japan airfares constantly much higher than average Asia?
If you're willing to transfer through S. Korea, Taiwan, HK, or China (last resort), that may be what you have to do to achieve the fare you want.
What drives US-Japan airfares constantly much higher than average Asia?
If you're willing to transfer through S. Korea, Taiwan, HK, or China (last resort), that may be what you have to do to achieve the fare you want.
#39
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota,USA
Programs: UA, NW
Posts: 3,752
Winter flights are always cheaper. Back when I was still teaching on the university level, I used to see roundtrips as low as $600 from PDX/SEA in January (this was over 20 years ago, but it was dirt cheap, even then), but my teaching duties prevented me from taking advantage of these bargains.
#40
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: TYO / WAS / NYC
Programs: American Express got a hit man lookin' for me
Posts: 4,596
Winter flights are always cheaper. Back when I was still teaching on the university level, I used to see roundtrips as low as $600 from PDX/SEA in January (this was over 20 years ago, but it was dirt cheap, even then), but my teaching duties prevented me from taking advantage of these bargains.
- Early January through the end of March
- Mid-May through early June (the period after Japan's Golden Week but before US summer vacation)
- September through early December (including US Thanksgiving week, but possibly excluding Japanese "Silver Week" holidays depending on how well aligned they are to facilitate vacations)
#41
Join Date: Mar 2005
Programs: UA MP
Posts: 1,659
There are cheaper periods, but at least from Japan - US, cheaper doesn't mean cheap and fares have been consistently high for some time.
Wife and I went to ORD in November - Osaka - ORD was $1500, but ICN - ORD was $800 ($1000 including KIX-ICN segments). These were both on United without crazy layovers. Looking at random times next year, I see the exact same thing - from ICN is substantially cheaper.
Wife and I went to ORD in November - Osaka - ORD was $1500, but ICN - ORD was $800 ($1000 including KIX-ICN segments). These were both on United without crazy layovers. Looking at random times next year, I see the exact same thing - from ICN is substantially cheaper.
#43
Join Date: Mar 2005
Programs: UA MP
Posts: 1,659
It is OT but my wife, who is Japanese, says the government doesn't want people to really understand English, as doing so will give them the ability to understand things outside Japan.
#44
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: TYO / WAS / NYC
Programs: American Express got a hit man lookin' for me
Posts: 4,596
There are cheaper periods, but at least from Japan - US, cheaper doesn't mean cheap and fares have been consistently high for some time.
Wife and I went to ORD in November - Osaka - ORD was $1500, but ICN - ORD was $800 ($1000 including KIX-ICN segments). These were both on United without crazy layovers. Looking at random times next year, I see the exact same thing - from ICN is substantially cheaper.
Wife and I went to ORD in November - Osaka - ORD was $1500, but ICN - ORD was $800 ($1000 including KIX-ICN segments). These were both on United without crazy layovers. Looking at random times next year, I see the exact same thing - from ICN is substantially cheaper.
My experience about living costs is quite contrary to yours -- I find that nowadays, many things are cheaper in Japan than in the northeastern US: restaurant meals, hotels, public transit fares, etc. are all more expensive in NYC or DC than in Tokyo. Some things are even cheaper in Osaka of course.