Kill rollover now
#31
Original Member and FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: May 1998
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I was avoiding the whole debate of PM's purposely holding short of DM, but since you had to go there in response to my simple question that was not about that issue, quite frankly I find it difficult to believe that "many"/"tons" of PM's are purposely avoiding DM. While some here on FT have said that is their approach, I do not mistake the intentions of some Flyertalkers as being representative of the typical Delta PM.
#32
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: LAX/BOS/HKG/AMS/SFO...hmm, I need a life.
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What does that have to do with the claim that rollover is encouraging people to fly other airlines after they hit DM? That was the claim I was questioning.
I was avoiding the whole debate of PM's purposely holding short of DM, but since you had to go there in response to my simple question that was not about that issue, quite frankly I find it difficult to believe that "many"/"tons" of PM's are purposely avoiding DM. While some here on FT have said that is their approach, I do not mistake the intentions of some Flyertalkers as being representative of the typical Delta PM.
I was avoiding the whole debate of PM's purposely holding short of DM, but since you had to go there in response to my simple question that was not about that issue, quite frankly I find it difficult to believe that "many"/"tons" of PM's are purposely avoiding DM. While some here on FT have said that is their approach, I do not mistake the intentions of some Flyertalkers as being representative of the typical Delta PM.
The "Typical" Delta flyer does not fly 125k MQM's in a year so in that respect FT is VERY representative of what many Plats are doing. I know I don't I need to post the threads titled "To DM or Not to DM" as proof many are holding short but clearly YOU are the final word on this subject so all the people here must be posting that they will hold short because they have nothing better to do.
....your welcome and happy holidays. This board is filled with nasty people on a hair trigger to fight. Good luck with that.
#33
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Denver, CO
Programs: Priority Pass, DL SM, UA G, VA GM, SPG GM, HHonors GM, Marriott PM
Posts: 400
I just went past the 160K EQm mark, and will be close to the 175K mark when I return from Dubai next so I actually might have to make a quick weekend trip if I don't come up with a business trip on DL before the end of the year to hit the 175 mark for the extra bonus miles.
I love the rollover idea. While I am a Gold at the very least because of my Amex, it will be a toss up if I can hit Diamond next year with out the rollover. I can hit 75K a year with out issue, and if its a heavy international travel year 125k is doable. The roll over gives me the little extra padding so that I can keep DL Diamnond and CO Plat.
Before the Skyteam split I could easly keep CO & DL plat status just by crediting my flights in the last month or so to which ever I still needed the miles on to hit Plat. DL's marketing worked on me as I would have probably signed up with AA during the promo and spent the last 3 or 4 months on them instead I maxed out on DL to get the threshold bonus and rollovers MQM's.
Now if they would only offer the Diamonds a better upgrade cert for intl I would really be happy. Its becoming a hard sell to clients when you tell them the airfare is $3k (Still much better then $5-7K that a Biz class ticket cost) I would be happy if they just dropped it a single fare class below M.
I love the rollover idea. While I am a Gold at the very least because of my Amex, it will be a toss up if I can hit Diamond next year with out the rollover. I can hit 75K a year with out issue, and if its a heavy international travel year 125k is doable. The roll over gives me the little extra padding so that I can keep DL Diamnond and CO Plat.
Before the Skyteam split I could easly keep CO & DL plat status just by crediting my flights in the last month or so to which ever I still needed the miles on to hit Plat. DL's marketing worked on me as I would have probably signed up with AA during the promo and spent the last 3 or 4 months on them instead I maxed out on DL to get the threshold bonus and rollovers MQM's.
Now if they would only offer the Diamonds a better upgrade cert for intl I would really be happy. Its becoming a hard sell to clients when you tell them the airfare is $3k (Still much better then $5-7K that a Biz class ticket cost) I would be happy if they just dropped it a single fare class below M.
#34
Suspended
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: SEA
Programs: UA Silver, BA Gold, DL Gold
Posts: 9,779
What does that have to do with the claim that rollover is encouraging people to fly other airlines after they hit DM? That was the claim I was questioning.
I was avoiding the whole debate of PM's purposely holding short of DM, but since you had to go there in response to my simple question that was not about that issue, quite frankly I find it difficult to believe that "many"/"tons" of PM's are purposely avoiding DM. While some here on FT have said that is their approach, I do not mistake the intentions of some Flyertalkers as being representative of the typical Delta PM.
I was avoiding the whole debate of PM's purposely holding short of DM, but since you had to go there in response to my simple question that was not about that issue, quite frankly I find it difficult to believe that "many"/"tons" of PM's are purposely avoiding DM. While some here on FT have said that is their approach, I do not mistake the intentions of some Flyertalkers as being representative of the typical Delta PM.
Nobody, including some here that keep pounding this drum, has offered anything approaching a logical explanation as to how there is more incentive for someone to stop flying DL after 75k than there was last year, with the possible exception of someone that has very erratic earnings from year to year (i.e. 125k in year 1 and 25k in year 2). Maybe it makes a difference at the margins, but beyond that, I think people are making a mountain out of a molehill. But instead of anyone actually answering the question with a logical explanation, we have a handful of people pointing to maybe 5 folks on FT, claiming that they are holding short as some sort of substantive proof that this is a mass problem.
Oddly, most of those claiming this as proof are among the most vocal in claiming they are holding short. I'm holding short, therefore it is proof that many people are holding short!
#35
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: NYC
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I just want to contribute the observation that one of my friends, who is not an FT'er but is a frequent-traveler consultant, has on his own decided to hold short of DM level. If he and his colleagues have come up with this on their own analysis, without reference to the extraordinary collective wisdom of FT, you can bet others have too.
#36
FlyerTalk Evangelist
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I'm with you. I think the claim that DM (or even rollover, to a lesser extent) somehow discourages large numbers of people who previously logged 75k+ from flying more seems more than silly to me. Frankly, I think it is just a way to dress up the same old complaints about DM, PMUs, or Delta, in general, as some sort of deep analysis of the business.
Nobody, including some here that keep pounding this drum, has offered anything approaching a logical explanation as to how there is more incentive for someone to stop flying DL after 75k than there was last year, with the possible exception of someone that has very erratic earnings from year to year (i.e. 125k in year 1 and 25k in year 2). Maybe it makes a difference at the margins, but beyond that, I think people are making a mountain out of a molehill. But instead of anyone actually answering the question with a logical explanation, we have a handful of people pointing to maybe 5 folks on FT, claiming that they are holding short as some sort of substantive proof that this is a mass problem.
Oddly, most of those claiming this as proof are among the most vocal in claiming they are holding short. I'm holding short, therefore it is proof that many people are holding short!
Nobody, including some here that keep pounding this drum, has offered anything approaching a logical explanation as to how there is more incentive for someone to stop flying DL after 75k than there was last year, with the possible exception of someone that has very erratic earnings from year to year (i.e. 125k in year 1 and 25k in year 2). Maybe it makes a difference at the margins, but beyond that, I think people are making a mountain out of a molehill. But instead of anyone actually answering the question with a logical explanation, we have a handful of people pointing to maybe 5 folks on FT, claiming that they are holding short as some sort of substantive proof that this is a mass problem.
Oddly, most of those claiming this as proof are among the most vocal in claiming they are holding short. I'm holding short, therefore it is proof that many people are holding short!
#37
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Well at 240k so far this year I am not but can totally understand why someone would. How is a 50k head start on next years Plat status not an incentive to hold short? If there were some amazing reason to cross the line then I could understand your point but unless you believe there are that many DM's out there that it will impact your UG % as a plat then there is no reason to cross the line. I will turn it around on you: WHY use up the 50k head start on plat? What exactly is it about the DM program that is worth giving up 50k MQM's?
With rollover, what has changed? With DM, what has changed? Who has ever argued that there is no reason to hold short of any status? I don't object to questions about whether one should or shouldn't hold short. What I object to is casting the assertion that there is now significantly more incentive to hold short than there was before as fact and that this is somehow a great failure of marketing.
The only way I see it really changing the dynamic would be for those folks that see a big drop-off year-over-year. Even then, though, I'm not sure it dramatically changes the incentive structure from simply having soft landings.
#38
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Beverly Hills, CA
Programs: DL DM & 2MM, UA-PE, AA
Posts: 1,074
I am a PM that typically does ~120k per year on DL and have decided to stay PM. Among my friends and colleagues I only know 2 other PMs and they are also avoiding DM. Trust me there are tons of PMs like me...
#39
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That isn't my point, nor is it Beckles. I don't doubt that someone might hold short to get a head start next year. What I don't understand is how the incentive structure has dramatically changed compared to last year. If I fly 125k + per year, I have always had the choice to just hit hit Plat and then move on elsewhere for either better pricing, better schedule, or simply for another status. There was never really much incentive to fly DL past 75k, other than to leverage the benefits (upgrades, lounge access, priority boarding, etc) you earned for being Plat. Yeah, NW had SWUs, but even that was meager compared to the competition - were people really falling all over themselves to fly 125k miles to get 1/3 of the SWUs they got with UA?
With rollover, what has changed? With DM, what has changed? Who has ever argued that there is no reason to hold short of any status? I don't object to questions about whether one should or shouldn't hold short. What I object to is casting the assertion that there is now significantly more incentive to hold short than there was before as fact and that this is somehow a great failure of marketing.
The only way I see it really changing the dynamic would be for those folks that see a big drop-off year-over-year. Even then, though, I'm not sure it dramatically changes the incentive structure from simply having soft landings.
With rollover, what has changed? With DM, what has changed? Who has ever argued that there is no reason to hold short of any status? I don't object to questions about whether one should or shouldn't hold short. What I object to is casting the assertion that there is now significantly more incentive to hold short than there was before as fact and that this is somehow a great failure of marketing.
The only way I see it really changing the dynamic would be for those folks that see a big drop-off year-over-year. Even then, though, I'm not sure it dramatically changes the incentive structure from simply having soft landings.
#40
Join Date: May 2005
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This debate (here and other threads) amazes me. For as long as I have followed FlyerTalk I have heard groans around the first week of January about all those MQMs above 75K (100K before Platinum Lite) that were "wasted". There were even many suggestions that Delta allow the leftover to be used the next year... can you say rollover? So now Delta allows this and still there are complaints. Delta isn't forcing anyone to fly another carrier because of rollover. Those that are choosing to fly someone else to avoid hitting DM are trying to take advantage of having just less than 50K MQMs with which to start 2010. IOW, they are trying to maximize the rollover feature while complaining about.... THE ROLLOVER FEATURE.
To me this is no different than changing carriers to gain status on another airline BEFORE rollover was introduced. The difference now is the Delta is allowing you to roll the leftover into 2010 and these same defectors are now encouraged to fly DL come January 1. Delta is really stupid? I don't think so. I think they might indeed see some fall off in bookings from 124K MQM holders until Dec 31 but they are locked in as loyal DL customers for Jan 2010.
No feature from any airline is perfect for everyone. If that were the case then all airlines would have this same perfect feature and then it wouldn't be a feature anymore. All those people that are claiming to avoid DM qualification for this year are going to be adding to their MQMs that rolled over in early 2010. Sounds like DL didn't right. I no way is it a faux pas. Maybe one could call it a snafu, boo boo, oops but not a faux pax.
To me this is no different than changing carriers to gain status on another airline BEFORE rollover was introduced. The difference now is the Delta is allowing you to roll the leftover into 2010 and these same defectors are now encouraged to fly DL come January 1. Delta is really stupid? I don't think so. I think they might indeed see some fall off in bookings from 124K MQM holders until Dec 31 but they are locked in as loyal DL customers for Jan 2010.
No feature from any airline is perfect for everyone. If that were the case then all airlines would have this same perfect feature and then it wouldn't be a feature anymore. All those people that are claiming to avoid DM qualification for this year are going to be adding to their MQMs that rolled over in early 2010. Sounds like DL didn't right. I no way is it a faux pas. Maybe one could call it a snafu, boo boo, oops but not a faux pax.
#41
Join Date: Feb 2009
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Posts: 876
I personally hate Rollover. It inflates the upper tiers and takes away the benefit if being an "elite flyer". Just when they bring DM DL brings in rollover to inflate the DM ranks in 2011. Not nice for guys like me who fly BIS 250K+.
It's happened in PM this year, 60 names on UG list, 30-40 PM's on flights, ridiculous.
Am at 99 segs for the year with about 50% UG, I do the Elite heavy ATL-LAX most weeks so allowing the DM tier to artificially inflate will hurt guys like me. When I fly other routs I get upgraded most of the time. Don't get me wrong, I love DL and they do a great job from my perspective, just keep DM for really frequent flyers.
KILL ROLLOVER NOW
It's happened in PM this year, 60 names on UG list, 30-40 PM's on flights, ridiculous.
Am at 99 segs for the year with about 50% UG, I do the Elite heavy ATL-LAX most weeks so allowing the DM tier to artificially inflate will hurt guys like me. When I fly other routs I get upgraded most of the time. Don't get me wrong, I love DL and they do a great job from my perspective, just keep DM for really frequent flyers.
KILL ROLLOVER NOW
#42
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Beverly Hills, CA
Programs: DL DM & 2MM, UA-PE, AA
Posts: 1,074
... Nobody, including some here that keep pounding this drum, has offered anything approaching a logical explanation as to how there is more incentive for someone to stop flying DL after 75k than there was last year, with the possible exception of someone that has very erratic earnings from year to year (i.e. 125k in year 1 and 25k in year 2)...
- Fly 35k on DL and qualify for PM thanks to rollover in 2011, and fly 75k in CO and also be PM there (in 2010 by "comp" and 2011 by miles)
- fly mostly DL to reach DM and have a sizable 2011 rollover (which means I can ask myself the same question again next fall)
Rollover encourages me towards option 1 and thoroughly test other waters...
#43
FlyerTalk Evangelist
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This debate (here and other threads) amazes me. For as long as I have followed FlyerTalk I have heard groans around the first week of January about all those MQMs above 75K (100K before Platinum Lite) that were "wasted". There were even many suggestions that Delta allow the leftover to be used the next year... can you say rollover? So now Delta allows this and still there are complaints. Delta isn't forcing anyone to fly another carrier because of rollover. Those that are choosing to fly someone else to avoid hitting DM are trying to take advantage of having just less than 50K MQMs with which to start 2010. IOW, they are trying to maximize the rollover feature while complaining about.... THE ROLLOVER FEATURE.
To me this is no different than changing carriers to gain status on another airline BEFORE rollover was introduced. The difference now is the Delta is allowing you to roll the leftover into 2010 and these same defectors are now encouraged to fly DL come January 1. Delta is really stupid? I don't think so. I think they might indeed see some fall off in bookings from 124K MQM holders until Dec 31 but they are locked in as loyal DL customers for Jan 2010.
To me this is no different than changing carriers to gain status on another airline BEFORE rollover was introduced. The difference now is the Delta is allowing you to roll the leftover into 2010 and these same defectors are now encouraged to fly DL come January 1. Delta is really stupid? I don't think so. I think they might indeed see some fall off in bookings from 124K MQM holders until Dec 31 but they are locked in as loyal DL customers for Jan 2010.
But I don't agree with your statement about pax being "locked in as loyal DL customers (on/after) Jan 2010." See the example below.
I fly ~120k per year (during the last 4 years) on DL, and will have rolling-over ~40k this year. I now have the following possibilities next year:
Rollover encourages me towards option 1 and thoroughly test other waters...
- Fly 35k on DL and qualify for PM thanks to rollover in 2011, and fly 75k in CO and also be PM there (in 2010 by "comp" and 2011 by miles)
- fly mostly DL to reach DM and have a sizable 2011 rollover (which means I can ask myself the same question again next fall)
Rollover encourages me towards option 1 and thoroughly test other waters...
#44
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: LAX/BOS/HKG/AMS/SFO...hmm, I need a life.
Programs: United1K, AA ExPlAAt, DL MM/Gold, Hilton Diamond, Avis First
Posts: 13,316
This debate (here and other threads) amazes me. For as long as I have followed FlyerTalk I have heard groans around the first week of January about all those MQMs above 75K (100K before Platinum Lite) that were "wasted". There were even many suggestions that Delta allow the leftover to be used the next year... can you say rollover? So now Delta allows this and still there are complaints. Delta isn't forcing anyone to fly another carrier because of rollover. Those that are choosing to fly someone else to avoid hitting DM are trying to take advantage of having just less than 50K MQMs with which to start 2010. IOW, they are trying to maximize the rollover feature while complaining about.... THE ROLLOVER FEATURE.
To me this is no different than changing carriers to gain status on another airline BEFORE rollover was introduced. The difference now is the Delta is allowing you to roll the leftover into 2010 and these same defectors are now encouraged to fly DL come January 1. Delta is really stupid? I don't think so. I think they might indeed see some fall off in bookings from 124K MQM holders until Dec 31 but they are locked in as loyal DL customers for Jan 2010.
No feature from any airline is perfect for everyone. If that were the case then all airlines would have this same perfect feature and then it wouldn't be a feature anymore. All those people that are claiming to avoid DM qualification for this year are going to be adding to their MQMs that rolled over in early 2010. Sounds like DL didn't right. I no way is it a faux pas. Maybe one could call it a snafu, boo boo, oops but not a faux pax.
To me this is no different than changing carriers to gain status on another airline BEFORE rollover was introduced. The difference now is the Delta is allowing you to roll the leftover into 2010 and these same defectors are now encouraged to fly DL come January 1. Delta is really stupid? I don't think so. I think they might indeed see some fall off in bookings from 124K MQM holders until Dec 31 but they are locked in as loyal DL customers for Jan 2010.
No feature from any airline is perfect for everyone. If that were the case then all airlines would have this same perfect feature and then it wouldn't be a feature anymore. All those people that are claiming to avoid DM qualification for this year are going to be adding to their MQMs that rolled over in early 2010. Sounds like DL didn't right. I no way is it a faux pas. Maybe one could call it a snafu, boo boo, oops but not a faux pax.
You are at 124k for the year..your boss tells you to go to HKG for a meeting. You now must either:
1. fly another carrier
2. fly DL and take your FF number out of the res and hope they don't do you a favor by crediting your account anyway
3. Cross the threshold and give up 50k mqm head start on 2010.
This is just NOT intuitive and is driving the wrong behaviour. In years past most people did not care if they went over 75k so DL was always going to be the carrier they book that HKG trip on. This year they are forced to chose between giving up 50k mqm or flying another carrier. It just makes no sense.
#45
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