TSA to test behavioral profiling
#31
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Colorado
Programs: TSA
Posts: 2,745
Its true
Originally Posted by ender83
Notice he didn't say you have to "pass" the MMPI.
I cannot and do not believe that every screener I've come in contact with has "passed" the Minnesota Multi-phasic Personality Inventory. I've taken this test myself.
I cannot and do not believe that every screener I've come in contact with has "passed" the Minnesota Multi-phasic Personality Inventory. I've taken this test myself.
Last edited by eyecue; Oct 5, 2004 at 9:57 am Reason: typo
#32
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Salish Sea
Programs: DL,AC,HH,PC
Posts: 8,972
It takes an extremely well-conditioned terrorist to be able to slip by behavioral profiling, hence why Israel never has a single incident.
#33
Used to be Sydneysider
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: CPH
Programs: AS MVP/Gold (and 75K aspirant)
Posts: 2,984
Originally Posted by Wally Bird
As recently as November 2002 a passenger on an El Al flight was 'overpowered by sky marshals'. He may not have been a hijacker merely a nutcase, but I think it does constitute a profiling failure and hence an incident. Other El Al hijack attempts have been made in the past including the infamous Leila Khaled, but I can't say if that was before or after profiling interviews were started.
#34
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: May 2001
Location: LAX; AA EXP, MM; HH Gold
Posts: 31,789
Originally Posted by bdschobel
That's ridiculous. The TSA has 45,000 screeners. If fewer than 1 in 1000 applicants are actually hired, then at least 45 million people applied for those 45,000 jobs. Try again.
Even more ridiculous since the TSA started out with nearly 55,000 employees. It has since shrunk, but additional persons have been hired (mostly part time) since the ramping up in the summer of 2002. 1 in 1000 applicants would equate to over 60 million applicants since 2002. 60 million applicants? Hardly.
60 million would be nearly 43% of the total number of employed persons in the USA and over 40% of the total labor force in this country.

http://stats.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
Anyone who thinks the TSA received more than 5% of that 60 million number is not a math whiz.
At most, probably about 2 million applications, as 1.7 million had been received by the end of 2002:
http://www.fcw.com/fcw/articles/2004...a-04-26-04.asp
#35

Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Arlington VA
Posts: 5,735
Originally Posted by FWAAA
^
Anyone who thinks the TSA received more than 5% of that 60 million number is not a math whiz.
Anyone who thinks the TSA received more than 5% of that 60 million number is not a math whiz.
How many times have YOU been a member of an "elite" organization that only hires "the best of the best."? "Others would die for the chance to sit in the seat you are in." Blah blah. Organizational mind-control to feed people those lines. I wonder if those at TSA are hearing this?
I do appreciate the work they do (misguided though management directives seem to be). The people are doing a job for which they are paid; but mathemetical analysis proves there are not 1000 applicants for every hire. If the org is spreading those numbers it is simply false.
#36
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Colorado
Programs: TSA
Posts: 2,745
Originally Posted by FWAAA
^
Even more ridiculous since the TSA started out with nearly 55,000 employees. It has since shrunk, but additional persons have been hired (mostly part time) since the ramping up in the summer of 2002. 1 in 1000 applicants would equate to over 60 million applicants since 2002. 60 million applicants? Hardly.
60 million would be nearly 43% of the total number of employed persons in the USA and over 40% of the total labor force in this country.
http://stats.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
Anyone who thinks the TSA received more than 5% of that 60 million number is not a math whiz.
At most, probably about 2 million applications, as 1.7 million had been received by the end of 2002:
http://www.fcw.com/fcw/articles/2004...a-04-26-04.asp
Even more ridiculous since the TSA started out with nearly 55,000 employees. It has since shrunk, but additional persons have been hired (mostly part time) since the ramping up in the summer of 2002. 1 in 1000 applicants would equate to over 60 million applicants since 2002. 60 million applicants? Hardly.
60 million would be nearly 43% of the total number of employed persons in the USA and over 40% of the total labor force in this country.

http://stats.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
Anyone who thinks the TSA received more than 5% of that 60 million number is not a math whiz.
At most, probably about 2 million applications, as 1.7 million had been received by the end of 2002:
http://www.fcw.com/fcw/articles/2004...a-04-26-04.asp
#37
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: May 2001
Location: LAX; AA EXP, MM; HH Gold
Posts: 31,789
Originally Posted by eyecue
I can only go by what managers have told us on this issue. I cant find anything to back them up. However your link is a review of applications to check for hiring issues it is not a difinitive list of the amount of people that applied for the jobs.
You can only go by what they told you? The outlandishness of the assertion on its face isn't readily apparent to you??
That any TSA employee would swallow such a ridiculous assertion without breaking out in uncontrollable laughter at their idiot bosses' lack of math skills/lack of honesty/whatever, is sobering.
If Denver has 1,000 screeners (just a WAG, I don't know how many there are), the "1 in 1,000 applicant" BS means that 1 million people applied for those jobs. That would be every man, woman and child living in Denver plus another half a million outside Denver County. That would be practically every non-retired adult of working age in the Denver metropolitan area. Think that happened? Think it's even a remote possibility?

The article I linked said that the TSA received more than 1.7 million applications by the end of 2002. True enough, 60 million is "more than 1.7 million," but I'm confident that had the number been substantially greater than 1.7 million, the TSA would have said so.
#38
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: Commuting around the mid-atlantic and rust-belt on any number of RJs
Programs: TSA Random Selectee Platinum, * Gold, SPG/HH/MR mid-tier, and a tiny bag of pretzels.
Posts: 9,255
Originally Posted by GUWonder
Probable-threat?
Less than 1% of people of X group are murders but it's "probable" that (100% of) X group are due suspicion (aka racist/communalist profiling) for being potential murders (aka terrorists)? I think not! In any regard your "probable" is not "probably" going to result in my death or nearly anyone else's on FT while engaged in the F part of FT. That much is statistically probable.
Less than 1% of people of X group are murders but it's "probable" that (100% of) X group are due suspicion (aka racist/communalist profiling) for being potential murders (aka terrorists)? I think not! In any regard your "probable" is not "probably" going to result in my death or nearly anyone else's on FT while engaged in the F part of FT. That much is statistically probable.

I'm a blond haired, grey eyed American with an Irish background. When entering and leaving and flying about the UK (where I currently work and reside), I'm harrassed a bit more than most professionals in their late 20s and early 30s. I would assume this is because people of my demographic (Irish descent) have been known to blow things up in Britan with a greater frequency than other demographics.
You might apply this logic to the treatment of people of muslim or arab lineage in the US.
Does it suck? Sure. If the current trends hold, however, it's not a total logical fallacy.
#39
Suspended
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: Watchlisted by the prejudiced, en route to purgatory
Programs: Just Say No to Fleecing and Blacklisting
Posts: 102,077
Originally Posted by ClueByFour
At some point, common sense has to be employed.
I'm a blond haired, grey eyed American with an Irish background. When entering and leaving and flying about the UK (where I currently work and reside), I'm harrassed a bit more than most professionals in their late 20s and early 30s. I would assume this is because people of my demographic (Irish descent) have been known to blow things up in Britan with a greater frequency than other demographics.
You might apply this logic to the treatment of people of muslim or arab lineage in the US.
Does it suck? Sure. If the current trends hold, however, it's not a total logical fallacy.
I'm a blond haired, grey eyed American with an Irish background. When entering and leaving and flying about the UK (where I currently work and reside), I'm harrassed a bit more than most professionals in their late 20s and early 30s. I would assume this is because people of my demographic (Irish descent) have been known to blow things up in Britan with a greater frequency than other demographics.
You might apply this logic to the treatment of people of muslim or arab lineage in the US.
Does it suck? Sure. If the current trends hold, however, it's not a total logical fallacy.
Exclude such from the thought process and meld it with an advocacy of communalistic policies/practices that gets implemented and don't be surprised when the undercurrents are violent and getting sadly stronger while "the help" declines, disappears and then becomes counterproductive or distracting from real threats while fueling new ones.
#40
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: SEA
Programs: NW Silver Elite, Starwood Gold Elite
Posts: 160
Originally Posted by FliesWay2Much
... on what authority the LEO has to question you and what rights you have.
However... if the LEO questioning is part of airport security, I suppose the consequence of remaining silent could be that you don't fly. Whether that will be case, and whether such a penalty would "fly" (heh-heh) with the courts, I don't know. I'm inclined to think that if the questioning is restricted to situations where the LEO has at least "reasonable suspicion" that you're up to no good, then the courts would be more likely to allow a no-fly punishment for pax who won't chat with Officer Friendly.

