20% of passengers flying through Japan to be groped
#1
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20% of passengers flying through Japan to be groped
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Last edited by MikeMpls; Apr 22, 2012 at 7:28 pm Reason: I posted this elsewhere & it was moved. I do not post in TS/S.
#3
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.....
Last edited by MikeMpls; Apr 22, 2012 at 7:29 pm Reason: I posted this elsewhere & it was moved. I do not post in TS/S.
#6
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Japan to start random "body searches" on pax on international flights
http://overheadbin.msnbc.msn.com/_ne...-airports?lite
"Some passengers traveling through international airports in Japan can expect body searches beginning in June, the Kyodo news agency reported, citing transport ministry sources.
Kyodo said about 10 percent of passengers at all airports with international flights would be randomly selected for a body search and baggage check..."
I for one will not set foot in Japan until this maddness stops
"Some passengers traveling through international airports in Japan can expect body searches beginning in June, the Kyodo news agency reported, citing transport ministry sources.
Kyodo said about 10 percent of passengers at all airports with international flights would be randomly selected for a body search and baggage check..."
I for one will not set foot in Japan until this maddness stops
#7
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I would expect the Japanese security employees to be very proper and do same sex patdowns, hopefully in public rather than behind some sort of privacy wall or curtain.
#8
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#10
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MSNBC: Japan to start random body searches at its international airports
Odds are 1:10 per flight which translates to 1:5 (20%) for round trips. This is not going to bode well for an airline (e.g. Delta) with a critical hub in Japan.
Those 787s would have helped bypass Japan ...
Odds are 1:10 per flight which translates to 1:5 (20%) for round trips. This is not going to bode well for an airline (e.g. Delta) with a critical hub in Japan.
Those 787s would have helped bypass Japan ...
1. You went out of your way to create a headline that would be sensational.
2. You are making an "assumption" that this will affect travel to and from Japan based on your "fears"
And if you have to go to Japan on business I fail to see how this is going to be bypassed by "not flying Delta" LOL! They didn't say "we are only groping passengers on Delta or at NRT"
Amazing logic here.
#11
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If the probability of being searched each trip through Japan is 10%, then the probability of not being searched is 90%.
Assuming both trips are independent, then the probability of not being strip-searched on your trip is actually (90%)^2, or 81% -- so the probability of being strip-searched at least once is 19%, not 20%.
It's not clear to me how this is actually going to be implemented (10% of all passengers? How? Connecting passengers? Originating passengers?), but for an upper bound, suppose they screen both arriving and departing passengers - then the probability of being searched at least once on your connecting flight through Japan increases from 2 incidents to 4 incidents (for connecting to an outside of Japan location) or 6 incidents (if connecting to another international airport within Japan. So as an upper bound, 1-(0.9)^6 = 47% chance that you'll be searched at least once assuming that they're checking both arriving and departing passengers. :)
Last edited by yankervitch; Apr 22, 2012 at 6:34 pm Reason: %^ is a thumbs up?
#12
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(Sorry, the scientist in me couldn't resist.)
ETA: (Damn: yankervitch beat me to it, including choosing the exact same number for the crazy limit. I used ** for exponentiation because of the thumbs up issue. The board software obviously isn't designed for arithmetic. )
#14
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Haha! Yeah, as a statistician, seeing that 20% number definitely irked me... then the engineer in me reasoned that 20% was good enough for an order of magnitude assessment.
Glad to see that someone else agreed with my statistician's point of view. (I also found that turning emoticons off fixes the odd thumbs up issue.)
Glad to see that someone else agreed with my statistician's point of view. (I also found that turning emoticons off fixes the odd thumbs up issue.)
#15
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Glad to see that someone else agreed with my statistician's point of view. (I also found that turning emoticons off fixes the odd thumbs up issue.)