Potential Disruption - Typhoon Usagi
#1
Original Poster
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: SYD
Programs: QF WP
Posts: 1,799
Potential Disruption - Typhoon Usagi
Weather forecast agencies around the world have forecasted that the typhoon may severly impact HKG in a few days time.
Based on the current forecasts by HK Observatory, on Sunday night (22 Sep), winds of up to 33 knots will be coming from the west or north-west, with gusts being higher as well, and precipitation is expected.
I think there is a chance that the crosswind component may exceed the stated limits for some aircrafts.
The weather may also worsen on Monday, but the degree of which will depends on the typhoon's path and strength. (Note that weather forecasts are not an exact science).
CX and other airlines have not posted any advisories or alerts yet, although it's best to keep an eye out for it if you're travelling to/from HKG from Sun to Tue.
Based on the current forecasts by HK Observatory, on Sunday night (22 Sep), winds of up to 33 knots will be coming from the west or north-west, with gusts being higher as well, and precipitation is expected.
I think there is a chance that the crosswind component may exceed the stated limits for some aircrafts.
The weather may also worsen on Monday, but the degree of which will depends on the typhoon's path and strength. (Note that weather forecasts are not an exact science).
CX and other airlines have not posted any advisories or alerts yet, although it's best to keep an eye out for it if you're travelling to/from HKG from Sun to Tue.
#4
Join Date: Nov 2006
Programs: MPC,CA,MU,AF
Posts: 8,171
Cathay issues a special update:
http://www.cathaypacific.com/cx/en_H...tes/usagi.html
I am on CX872 at 0030 - keeping my fingers crossed.
http://www.cathaypacific.com/cx/en_H...tes/usagi.html
I am on CX872 at 0030 - keeping my fingers crossed.
#6




Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Singapore
Programs: SIA Solitaire PPS, IHG Royal Amb, Hyatt Globalist, Bonvoy Gold, Hilton Hhonor Gold
Posts: 2,281
I have a flight back to SIN on Sunday at around 8pm - CX715. I am keeping my fingers very crossed as I need to be back by wee hours of Sunday as I have something on on Monday morning. Pretty worried now.
#7
Original Poster
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: SYD
Programs: QF WP
Posts: 1,799
Can you travel earlier? The few flights in the afternoon might be just able to make it out in time.
#8




Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Singapore
Programs: SIA Solitaire PPS, IHG Royal Amb, Hyatt Globalist, Bonvoy Gold, Hilton Hhonor Gold
Posts: 2,281
I can try the 4pm flight. But mine is promotional I class ticket which CX will levy S$300 for any change of flight. Still thinking if I should pay to make the change to be safe.
#9


Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: KMQ, HND, SIN
Programs: Fmr JMB Diamond, fmr NH Diamond, Fmr Cx Diamond,Marriott Lifetime Plat Elite, IHG Ambassador plat
Posts: 367
if whatever it is you have to do is worth more than than 300$ I would do it.
To give a comparison India had some air space restrictions this week which meant my MH flight from SIN via KUL to BOM was delayed to arriving to 0200 in the morning on Tuesday. As I had a busy day on Tuesday including an internal flight I last minute booked another J flight on SQ obviously at a seriously higher price. I cancelled my MH flight and will eventually get a refund minus SGD 75. However I got over 100K in new business and I'm fairly sure being "with it" rather than totally knackered on Tuesday as a result of rebooking was a great help in securing the business. who knows...but a small price to pay for a better night sleep for whatever you have to do the next day.
To give a comparison India had some air space restrictions this week which meant my MH flight from SIN via KUL to BOM was delayed to arriving to 0200 in the morning on Tuesday. As I had a busy day on Tuesday including an internal flight I last minute booked another J flight on SQ obviously at a seriously higher price. I cancelled my MH flight and will eventually get a refund minus SGD 75. However I got over 100K in new business and I'm fairly sure being "with it" rather than totally knackered on Tuesday as a result of rebooking was a great help in securing the business. who knows...but a small price to pay for a better night sleep for whatever you have to do the next day.
#10




Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Dallas
Programs: AA LTPLT UA1P Hilton Dia Marriott Plat
Posts: 1,196
#11

Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Hong Kong
Programs: BA Gold, JGC Sapphire, OZ Diamond, AF Silver, CX GR, Marriott Lifetime SL
Posts: 3,598
HKIA can operate when it is Typhoon signal 8 when the wind is not affecting the airport, however when at 9 or 10 as the typhoon is in close proximity to Hong Kong, HKIA halt flight operations as needed.
#12

Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,186
The second biggest concern is my flight leaving to NRT on thursday. It will certainly take nearly a week to get the back logged of people out if the airport is closed or flights cancelled monday. Not only that, hopefully the earthquake in japan didn't cause any major damage!
#15
Original Poster
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: SYD
Programs: QF WP
Posts: 1,799
Current forecasted tracks look like it's going straight for HKG, but the typhoon is about to go through the gap between Taiwan and the Phillipines. This is a critical time as far as storms are concerned, since both direction and strength can be affected by being near or having to go past land. We'll get a much better idea of the track and how much it will weaken in the next 24 hours.

