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AirAsia Indonesia QZ8501 SUB to SIN reported missing 0724 Sun 28 Dec 2014

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Old Dec 27, 2014, 9:43 pm
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QZ8501 Moderator team: JDiver, cblaisd, Moderator2, starflyergold, armagebedar

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=========================================


AirAsia Indonesia has verified QZ8501 has reported missing with 162 aboard. Departed Surabaya, Indonesia 0532 local time, last contact with ATC 0714 local Singapore time / 0614 Western Indonesia Time Sunday, 28 Dec 2014. QZ8501 was due to arrive SIN 0837 local time.

Surabaya, East Java, Indonesia is on Western Indonesia Time (WIB), UTC +7.

Originally Posted by AirAsia Indonesia FaceBook page

AirAsia Indonesia regrets to confirm that flight QZ8501 from Surabaya to Singapore has lost contact with air traffic control at 07:24 (Surabaya LT) this morning. The flight took off from Juanda International Airport in Surabaya at 0535 hours.

Search and rescue operations are being conducted under the guidance of The Indonesia of Civil Aviation Authority (CAA). AirAsia Indonesia is cooperating fully and assisting the investigation in every possible way.

The aircraft was on the submitted flight plan route and was requesting deviation due to en route weather before communication with the aircraft was lost while it was still under the control of the Indonesian Air Traffic Control (ATC).

The aircraft had undergone its last scheduled maintenance on 16 November 2014.

AirAsia has established an Emergency Call Centre that is available for family or friends of those who may have been on board the aircraft. The number is: +622129850801.
Originally Posted by gpeso8
I'm in Indonesia right now and local TV is reporting that an emergency exit door was located they are also showing a body in the water (blurred out).
Originally Posted by BBC 30 Dec 2014
Indonesian officials have confirmed that bodies and debris found in the Java Sea off Borneo are from AirAsia flight QZ8501 that went missing on Sunday, a statement by AirAsia says.

The AirAsia statement said the remains were found in the Karimata Strait, south-west of Pangkalan Bun in the Borneo province of Central Kalimantan.
Originally Posted by Aviation Herald
On Dec 31st 2014 the chairman of Indonesia's Search and Rescue Service stated in an evening press conference, that earlier reports about the fuselage having been located have been incorrect, the search is still ongoing, so far - referring to a report by CNN hitting global headlines - there are no sonar images of the fuselage as well. Correcting other media reports the chairman stressed that none of the bodies recovered so far was wearing a life vest. All valid information concerning QZ-8501 only and only comes from one source, namely the Search and Rescue Service which is currently in charge of the entire operation, the chairman stated with reference to the current information chaos.
AirAsia company profile: http://www.airasia.com/my/en/about-u...e-profile.page

AirAsia updates on QZ8501 http://qz8501.airasia.com/index.html

Aviation Herald: http://avherald.com/h?article=47f6abc7

BBC: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-30620647

Please do not post speculation or unconfirmed information in this wiki or thread.
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AirAsia Indonesia QZ8501 SUB to SIN reported missing 0724 Sun 28 Dec 2014

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Old Jan 1, 2015, 10:07 pm
  #376  
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Originally Posted by gilbertaue
Weather this morning has been quite ok. Seas at 2.5-3m.

Latest reports are that so far 16 bodies have been recovered.

29 ships and 17 aircraft involved in the search.
That's not good weather at all for divers, and visibility is likely impaired by both waves and turbidity. At this point, they may have to use the towed pinger locator, and the hopes are the French team will be of assistance.
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Old Jan 1, 2015, 10:21 pm
  #377  
 
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Originally Posted by invisible
New article came appeared with some new information...

Data point to 'unbelievably' steep climb before AirAsia crash
even though it was 52 years ago, given the rapid, steep climb, Northwest 705 case file should be pulled up for similarities to crew reaction relative to plane tendencies, performance and ultimately limits (vs. AF which was at cruise altitude I believe).

http://www.pilotfriend.com/disasters...rthwest705.htm
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Old Jan 1, 2015, 10:37 pm
  #378  
 
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Originally Posted by RatherBeOnATrain
debris field is very close to where the plane was last seen on radar, seven miles above the ocean
Really? Last time I've checked on map the last radar contact and debris location were 50km apart.

Last edited by starflyergold; Jan 1, 2015 at 10:44 pm Reason: formatting
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Old Jan 1, 2015, 10:52 pm
  #379  
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Originally Posted by JDiver
Originally Posted by gilbertaue
Weather this morning has been quite ok. Seas at 2.5-3m.

Latest reports are that so far 16 bodies have been recovered.

29 ships and 17 aircraft involved in the search.
That's not good weather at all for divers, and visibility is likely impaired by both waves and turbidity. At this point, they may have to use the towed pinger locator, and the hopes are the French team will be of assistance.
The Singaporean team took one along too. Unsure why that hasn't been deployed yet.
Could wave height be an issue for that too?
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Old Jan 1, 2015, 11:09 pm
  #380  
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Originally Posted by gilbertaue
The Singaporean team took one along too. Unsure why that hasn't been deployed yet.
Could wave height be an issue for that too?
Using these things is slow and expensive.
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Old Jan 2, 2015, 1:17 am
  #381  
 
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So just to clarify the latest situation, can anyone tell me:

1. How many bodies are found so far? 16?

2. What sort of SAR (search and rescue) assets are deployed in the vicinity of the suspected crash area? What kind of ship or aircraft (i.e. helicopters and fixed wing planes)? How many? And from which country? What kind of techniques are they using for the search of the black box?
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Old Jan 2, 2015, 1:45 am
  #382  
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Originally Posted by invisible
Really? Last time I've checked on map the last radar contact and debris location were 50km apart.
Trajectory of debris following aircraft break-up at altitude is well studied, analysed and reported. The debris field can be remarkable in scale.

To make any meaningful comment on the likely distribution of debris we need to understand the impact of debris ballistic coefficients, terminal velocities of debris, wind velocity variation with altitude. With the relevant parameters, initial velocities and altitude, you might then get an estimate of the surface spread of debris on impact relative to break-up position.

In this case you'd need to then factor in debris movement relative to sea currents, sea depths, sink rates, as well as elapsed time from surface impact.

This breathless paper is not particularly good, but it gives an idea of the difficulties and complications involved in modelling and predicting debris distribution: http://www.isasi.org/Documents/libra...-Cranfield.pdf
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Old Jan 2, 2015, 1:54 am
  #383  
 
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Originally Posted by dsquared37
'Cause there's no evidence for anything else at the moment. ....
Air! I am convinced that there was tons of air. And some if it in the form of winds ... which should also not down a jetliner.
Originally Posted by simonrp84
The flight tracks in that region are well known for having some of the most severe weather in the world. Something like 60% of all convective icing incidents have occurred there as have a similarly large percentage of severe turbulence incidents.
I keep reading that too. It just doesn't resemble the South East Asia I live in.
Originally Posted by hco
I've had some pretty rough bad weather landings in both Thailand and Indonesia. Especially during their respective rainy seasons.

Once on MH we couldn't even land at BKK and had to fly down to Pattaya, sit there for a few hours and then fly back up to BKK.
Absolutely. BKK is North if here and often features some rough air patches. Not as bad as TPE though ... But around SIN or Indonesia I never encountered anything rough ever.
Originally Posted by invisible
Seems this is new development....



AirAsia plane may have managed to ditch: experts..
Why would they do that? If they noticed that they were too slow they'd simply crank up the engines and keep on course. And of they don't and stall, they'd not be able to land.
Seems like a far, far fetched hypothesis.
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Old Jan 2, 2015, 3:44 am
  #384  
 
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Originally Posted by invisible
New article came appeared with some new information...

Data point to 'unbelievably' steep climb before AirAsia crash
Couldn't a pilot avoid a stall in a steep climb by applying maximum power?
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Old Jan 2, 2015, 4:19 am
  #385  
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Originally Posted by Diogenes1789
Couldn't a pilot avoid a stall in a steep climb by applying maximum power?
"steep climb" is misleading if the ascent/descent relative to ground is a result of the vertical movement of a column of air.
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Old Jan 2, 2015, 4:29 am
  #386  
 
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Is it not possible for a large plane like a passenger aircraft to recover from a stall?
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Old Jan 2, 2015, 4:40 am
  #387  
 
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Originally Posted by enzian
Is it not possible for a large plane like a passenger aircraft to recover from a stall?
Sure it is, but you need time and height to do so. An oversimplified explanation is point the nose down, the aircraft starts to descend or dive, picks up speed, and once you have enough speed you can pull up and be back to normal.

The Air france crash before, the pilots didn't realize the plane was stalling until it was way to late, so the plane hit the water. We don't know if a similar issue happened here or not.

Also if when you stall you end up losing almost all forward direction, the control surfaces don't work properly, so you end up falling straight down. This is harder to recover from, since air is not flowing over the wings or tail in the normal direction, so pushing down/forward on the controls won't work. Normally when you stall you still have a decent amount of forward speed, just not enough to keep lift on the wings, so you can still recover. If the plane did something like a very steep climb prior to stalling, it could lost almost all forward direction.
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Old Jan 2, 2015, 5:50 am
  #388  
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Originally Posted by weero
I keep reading that too. It just doesn't resemble the South East Asia I live in.
You must be living in some kind of bubble then, as your observations disagree with reality.
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Old Jan 2, 2015, 6:03 am
  #389  
 
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Originally Posted by GreenEnvy
The Air france crash before, the pilots didn't realize the plane was stalling until it was way to late, so the plane hit the water.
Does not stall indicator exist for this?
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Old Jan 2, 2015, 6:50 am
  #390  
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AirAsia Indonesia QZ8501 SUB to SIN reported missing 0724 Sun 28 Dec 2014

Total count up to this evening is 22.

http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asiapacific/recovery-teams-narrow/1564592.html

QUOTE
Two South Korean Orion surveillance planes on Friday spotted six bodies, Indonesian air force spokesman Hadi Tjahjanto said in a press release. "After sweeping the area for more than two hours, at 11:58 the (Orions) found three bodies sitting in one row," he said, and another three just minutes later.
UNQUOTE

"Sitting in one row" doesn't sound like an attempted water landing.
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