Milei and privatizing AR - what is the process?
#16




Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Paris, France
Programs: Flying Blue Platinum
Posts: 927
If that is the solution, they might as well sell all the assets right now. Once the workers have slurped up all of the working capital gifted them, they have to start cutting costs. Serious cutting, including, probably 25% - 35% of the bloated workforce. And who among them is going to fire their fellow workers? Who will take the strategic decisions that might make Aerolneas viable? Who (and how) will negotiate the credit that will be absolutely necessary to keep the airline going. And just who will grant that credit, if not the Argentine taxpayers?
Does not sound like a viable solution to me.
Does not sound like a viable solution to me.
I am old enough to remember how this government helping airline employees thing was tried in the early 2000s in South America Flex for ex-Varig staff in Brazil, Alas Uruguay for the Pluna people and Lafsa/Southern Winds for Lapa employees in Argentina. All cases failed miserably.
ARs future is either finding a private owner (and massive layoffs) or bankruptcy. This is a shame as contrary to other FTers I like the airline (excellent safety record, reasonable crews and in 3 decades of flying they never lost my bag!) but if the government stops bailing them out, I dont see how they may survive.
#17
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Argentina
Posts: 40,880
ARs future is either finding a private owner (and massive layoffs) or bankruptcy. This is a shame as contrary to other FTers I like the airline (excellent safety record, reasonable crews and in 3 decades of flying they never lost my bag!) but if the government stops bailing them out, I dont see how they may survive.
#18



Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: NYC
Programs: Just a peon
Posts: 4,569
I highly doubt the government will allow AR to go bust anytime soon. It's too vital to the nation's transport system - in part because LAN pulled out after years of harassment by Cristina and her allies (and covid being the final nail in the coffin). Without AR, there's no easy way to travel around the country - no national train network, just long bus trips (36-48 hours to get down south from BA). It would be far too disruptive to the nation's economy to let the sole national air carrier collapse.
What I can see is Milei issuing a DNU or finding another way to gut AR employees' padded contracts and eventually selling the company to a sucke- I mean, a buyer, perhaps another global airline group. Maybe LATAM could be tempted to reenter the market - who knows? But I don't think any private-sector buyer is going to want to touch AR until it becomes clear that Milei and his economic reforms have some staying power.
What I can see is Milei issuing a DNU or finding another way to gut AR employees' padded contracts and eventually selling the company to a sucke- I mean, a buyer, perhaps another global airline group. Maybe LATAM could be tempted to reenter the market - who knows? But I don't think any private-sector buyer is going to want to touch AR until it becomes clear that Milei and his economic reforms have some staying power.

