Horizon Service Cuts?
#16
Join Date: May 2013
Location: SEA
Programs: AS MVP Gold 100K
Posts: 2,036
My brother was supposed to fly out on the early flight yesterday from YKM. It was canceled. They "graciously" rebooked him on the afternoon flight. Of course, at that point, he would have missed his engagement. Instead, he and his travel partner huffed it to Seattle, politely told AS where they could shove it and flew on Delta.
We then were talking about the value of one flight per day with a history of cancelations, especially in December and January. At that point, it is a net negative. What if you are going someplace and you need to be there at a given time? You would now need a contingency plan for each booking.
We then were talking about the value of one flight per day with a history of cancelations, especially in December and January. At that point, it is a net negative. What if you are going someplace and you need to be there at a given time? You would now need a contingency plan for each booking.
https://www.yakimaherald.com/news/no...bae4e81b7.html
CITY ARRV DEPT ARRV DEPT CODES GATE
YKM ORIG 600A CXLD AT
SEA 645A TERM CXLD AT
AT - AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL - CANCELLATION
6YKM/DX XCLD AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL - CANCELLATION *0019
2SEA/ETA0634A PROJECTED *1406
1SEA/LX XCLD AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL - CANCELLATION *0019
#17
Join Date: Jan 2020
Location: YYJ
Posts: 179
When I checked-in recently for a flight from YYJ, the gate agent who recognized me told me that the reduction to 1x/day in the fall is due to lack of pilots. Currently, YYJ is getting 2x/day which is a far cry from the 4x or 5x a day we used to get.
AS has always been my preferred airline to the USA given the convenience of getting between YYJ and SEA and the vast number of AS destinations available from SEA. However, if the limited flights to YYJ continue, I might have to reconsider.
I sure hope this is temporary.
AS has always been my preferred airline to the USA given the convenience of getting between YYJ and SEA and the vast number of AS destinations available from SEA. However, if the limited flights to YYJ continue, I might have to reconsider.
I sure hope this is temporary.
#18
Join Date: Apr 2003
Programs: B6 Mosaic, Bonvoy LT Titanium (x SPG LT), IHG Spire, UA Silver
Posts: 5,854
Seems pretty unlikely. With the Q400s going away soon and no backfill with an equal number of E175s--plus the prospect of a scope clause in the new contract with the pilot to limit the amount of non-mainline flying, these smaller markets are more likely to go away completely than expect increased service for the next few years at least. Regional jet pilots are in even shorter supply than mainline.
#19
Join Date: May 2013
Location: SEA
Programs: AS MVP Gold 100K
Posts: 2,036
Seems pretty unlikely. With the Q400s going away soon and no backfill with an equal number of E175s--plus the prospect of a scope clause in the new contract with the pilot to limit the amount of non-mainline flying, these smaller markets are more likely to go away completely than expect increased service for the next few years at least. Regional jet pilots are in even shorter supply than mainline.
#20
Join Date: Oct 2017
Location: YKM
Programs: UA, AS
Posts: 135
Just to be fair, that flight was cancelled due to ATC, not the airline. My guess is probably related to the fatal traffic accident that knocked out power to the airport and caused significant structural damage to the tower.
https://www.yakimaherald.com/news/no...bae4e81b7.html
CITY ARRV DEPT ARRV DEPT CODES GATE
YKM ORIG 600A CXLD AT
SEA 645A TERM CXLD AT
AT - AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL - CANCELLATION
6YKM/DX XCLD AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL - CANCELLATION *0019
2SEA/ETA0634A PROJECTED *1406
1SEA/LX XCLD AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL - CANCELLATION *0019
https://www.yakimaherald.com/news/no...bae4e81b7.html
CITY ARRV DEPT ARRV DEPT CODES GATE
YKM ORIG 600A CXLD AT
SEA 645A TERM CXLD AT
AT - AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL - CANCELLATION
6YKM/DX XCLD AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL - CANCELLATION *0019
2SEA/ETA0634A PROJECTED *1406
1SEA/LX XCLD AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL - CANCELLATION *0019
It is just frustrating I guess...being toyed with and jerked around. If they mean to just cease all service here, then just do it already.
I can remember when we had several flights on Horizon to Seattle...maybe four or five. On top of that there were several United Express flights to Seattle and one to Portland. According to trusty wikipedia, we had 16 flights per day in 1999.
Once United left, it really started to sink. Delta came in offering service to SLC, but I think that only lasted 6-8 months. Then it went from like five AS flights to four to three, etc.
#21
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Wonder if they’d do better just giving up completely a few markets and shifting the resources to other small markets instead of starving (and slowly killing) more.
#22
Join Date: Jan 2001
Posts: 2,848
And that calculus has to include the possibility of Delta waiting in the wings. Some of the smaller markets are actually very profitable for one airline, not so much for more than one, i.e. YKM.
#23
Join Date: May 2013
Location: SEA
Programs: AS MVP Gold 100K
Posts: 2,036
I can remember when we had several flights on Horizon to Seattle...maybe four or five. On top of that there were several United Express flights to Seattle and one to Portland. According to trusty wikipedia, we had 16 flights per day in 1999.
Once United left, it really started to sink. Delta came in offering service to SLC, but I think that only lasted 6-8 months. Then it went from like five AS flights to four to three, etc.
#24
Join Date: Apr 2003
Programs: B6 Mosaic, Bonvoy LT Titanium (x SPG LT), IHG Spire, UA Silver
Posts: 5,854
They can’t order more until the pilot contract is settled as the number of planes that OO can fly on their behalf is also part of the scope issue. Another reason why it is a head scratcher as to why management is dragging out the pilot contract negotiation.
#25
Join Date: May 2013
Location: SEA
Programs: AS MVP Gold 100K
Posts: 2,036
Should QX leave the market then I am sure you would see DL (Skywest) jump in, if they have enough planes and pilots to do so.
#26
Join Date: Aug 2013
Programs: Alaska MVP Gold
Posts: 917
Yakima is a unique market due to its location. Right now it prints money for QX and runs mostly full and somewhat expensive flights. DL tried the market several years ago to SLC and it didn't work out. But, because it is about a 2 1/2 hour drive to SeaTac at some point, due to high costs or bad flight scheduling, customers will simply drive to SeaTac. Of course the thing AS needs to consider is if customers are already making the drive, there is no reason for them to stick with AS if the competition is cheaper.
Should QX leave the market then I am sure you would see DL (Skywest) jump in, if they have enough planes and pilots to do so.
Should QX leave the market then I am sure you would see DL (Skywest) jump in, if they have enough planes and pilots to do so.
So I tend to agree that Delta would probably take advantage if QX left, or kept the schedule at such a minimal level. Same for Wenatchee.
#27
Join Date: Oct 2017
Location: YKM
Programs: UA, AS
Posts: 135
Yakima is a unique market due to its location. Right now it prints money for QX and runs mostly full and somewhat expensive flights. DL tried the market several years ago to SLC and it didn't work out. But, because it is about a 2 1/2 hour drive to SeaTac at some point, due to high costs or bad flight scheduling, customers will simply drive to SeaTac. Of course the thing AS needs to consider is if customers are already making the drive, there is no reason for them to stick with AS if the competition is cheaper.
Should QX leave the market then I am sure you would see DL (Skywest) jump in, if they have enough planes and pilots to do so.
Should QX leave the market then I am sure you would see DL (Skywest) jump in, if they have enough planes and pilots to do so.
From my house in west Yakima whenever I go to SeaTac, it is right at three hours. In theory, it should be less, but it never is. There is ALWAYS something.
Seattle--3hrs
Pros: most flights, usually cheapest fares. Daily bus service from Yakima to SeaTac...provided the bus matches your flight schedule.
Cons: Traffic, the hotels near the airport could use more than a coat of pain, airport parking and then the real killer, Snoqualmie pass in the winter. Ever been stranded on the pass for eight hours? I have. It is not a pleasant experience.
Portland this one is just about 3:15. However, if coming from just about anyplace in the US south of Portland, this is made up for by less time in the airplane.
Pros: really good flight selection. Fares are usually inexpensive, maybe not as low as Seattle, but close. Airport accessibility from coming from the east is east and before Portland traffic jams. The parking is also plentiful and simple.
Cons: Some hotels are kinda dumpy, but on the whole I think they are better than Seattle. The Gorge can get some bad weather too, but not as bad as Snoqualmie.
Spokane...again about 3:15 from my house. Like Portland, if coming from anyplace east of Spokane, this great drive time is more than made up from less time in the plane; usually like 45min over Seattle.
Pros: Simple....simple to get there, simple to park, simple to find a nice hotel near by that doesn't cost an arm and a leg. We have a farm one hour midway into the journey, so I can get some production out of the drive.
Cons: Usually more expensive than PDX or SEA. Flight options aren't as robust as PDX or SEA. Doesn't have lounges.
Pasco. This has become our de facto home airport at just under an hour and a half from home.
Pros are proximity. Parking is easy, but it isn't the cheapest. I believe that honor goes to Spokane or Portland.
Cons are less flight options, costs more, no lounges and CRJ-200s.
My last trip for work was from Pasco, our last family trip was from Portland and our next family trip will be from Seattle.
#28
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Location: SEA (the REAL Washington); occasionally in the other Washington (DCA area)
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nice description/analysis of your situation in YKM, and your decision/thought process about which nearby airports to use
wrt comments about DL, their recent announcement of schedule cutbacks would seem to indicate that expansion isn’t in the cards
wrt comments about DL, their recent announcement of schedule cutbacks would seem to indicate that expansion isn’t in the cards
#29
Join Date: May 2013
Location: SEA
Programs: AS MVP Gold 100K
Posts: 2,036
Horizon Substantially Slows Pilot Hiring-
In more bad news, QX has reduced the number of new hire pilots to two a class (down from the entire class of 10-12). The remaining slots will be filled with current Horizon Q400 pilots transitioning to the E175. The obvious effects are far fewer new pilots to fill in for those leaving and all of the potential new hires in the Pilot Development Program (College hiring program) will be delayed at least six months before being offered jobs. These people are likely to simply go to another regional airline; another in a long line of self inflicted wounds for QX.
In more bad news, QX has reduced the number of new hire pilots to two a class (down from the entire class of 10-12). The remaining slots will be filled with current Horizon Q400 pilots transitioning to the E175. The obvious effects are far fewer new pilots to fill in for those leaving and all of the potential new hires in the Pilot Development Program (College hiring program) will be delayed at least six months before being offered jobs. These people are likely to simply go to another regional airline; another in a long line of self inflicted wounds for QX.
#30
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