AS Mileage Plan Just Became More Valuable to Me With the AA Changes
#31
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: British Columbia
Programs: AS MVPG100K, Marriott Marriott Titanium Elite, Hilton Gold
Posts: 7,263
There is still arbitrage for AA Elites to fly AS and earn Loyalty Points based on distance instead of spend as well as earn segments so I wouldn't be surprised to see more AA Elites in AS F in markets where both AA & AS are options. It could relate to fewer upgrades or more competition for upgrades.
James
#32
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Pacific Northwest
Programs: UA Gold 1MM, AS 75k, AA Plat, Bonvoyed Gold, Honors Dia, Hyatt Explorer, IHG Plat, ...
Posts: 16,851
#33
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: YYF/YLW
Programs: AA, DL, AS, VA, WS Silver
Posts: 5,951
If I assume I'm Gold on AA and MVP on Alaska (both OW Ruby), and a typical flight on AS might be AUS-LAX-AUS @ $176 fare, even if could buy and fly the same fare on AA then AS is the much better program choice for me.
Buying AS, crediting to AS: 2476 EQM, 13% of the way to re-qualifying MVP. I need 8 of these round trips to re-qual.
Buying AA, crediting to AA: 1239 LP, 4% of the way to re-qualifying Gold. I need 25 of these round trips to re-qual.
I literally earn three times as much, status-wise, by buying, flying and crediting to AS. Where those routes overlap, AS spend/metal/credit becomes the obvious choice.
Buying AS, crediting to AS: 2476 EQM, 13% of the way to re-qualifying MVP. I need 8 of these round trips to re-qual.
Buying AA, crediting to AA: 1239 LP, 4% of the way to re-qualifying Gold. I need 25 of these round trips to re-qual.
I literally earn three times as much, status-wise, by buying, flying and crediting to AS. Where those routes overlap, AS spend/metal/credit becomes the obvious choice.
#34
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: SFO
Programs: BART Platinum, AA Plat Pro
Posts: 1,158
Uh, those are purchased with RDMs, not EQMs. And an AS or AA elite didn’t get access to any special buckets of award tickets on CX/JL/QF.
As I think more about this change, I’m increasingly likely to ”defect” from AS MP to AAdvantage in the future. My average CPM tends to be low, so in recent years AS MP worked better for me than the US3 programs. But this changes things.
Under pre-COVID travel patterns I’d probably earn ~60k LP on flights. CC spend is no problem for me, but I view it as an opportunity cost of roughly 1% vs charging to Citi DC. So basically I’d be paying ~$650 for PP or ~$1400 for EXP, which already sounds reasonably attractive.
What makes it even more attractive is that it is easier to concentrate CC spend than flying. So, for example, I could start at Platinum on 1 Mar 2023, reach PP by Apr 2023, EXP by late 2023, and then retain EXP through Feb 2025. Then start the cycle again. (Of course, the one thing we can be certain of is the rules will have changed again by 2025.)
My actual flight patterns wouldn’t change as long as AS remains in OW — majority AS, with some AA and other OW partners. It also occurs to me that an added benefit of substituting CC spend for flight earnings is that I could actually use some of the huge pile of RDMs I have, since I wouldn’t always need to be earning EQMs for requalification!
As I think more about this change, I’m increasingly likely to ”defect” from AS MP to AAdvantage in the future. My average CPM tends to be low, so in recent years AS MP worked better for me than the US3 programs. But this changes things.
Under pre-COVID travel patterns I’d probably earn ~60k LP on flights. CC spend is no problem for me, but I view it as an opportunity cost of roughly 1% vs charging to Citi DC. So basically I’d be paying ~$650 for PP or ~$1400 for EXP, which already sounds reasonably attractive.
What makes it even more attractive is that it is easier to concentrate CC spend than flying. So, for example, I could start at Platinum on 1 Mar 2023, reach PP by Apr 2023, EXP by late 2023, and then retain EXP through Feb 2025. Then start the cycle again. (Of course, the one thing we can be certain of is the rules will have changed again by 2025.)
My actual flight patterns wouldn’t change as long as AS remains in OW — majority AS, with some AA and other OW partners. It also occurs to me that an added benefit of substituting CC spend for flight earnings is that I could actually use some of the huge pile of RDMs I have, since I wouldn’t always need to be earning EQMs for requalification!
#35
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: CMH, West Coast
Programs: AA Executive Platinum, oneworld emerald
Posts: 2,741
Is Flyertalk really all that busy and cluttered nowadays that this one thread is going to bury useful information for you? Compared to like 2017, this forum is dead. I welcome any remotely relevant discussion.
#36
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 4,968
Very accurate, FT is mostly a ghost town these days, I welcome the chats since this most likely impacts AS flyers with the new close partnership with AA and how exp will now get upgrades before 75k.
#37
Original Poster
Join Date: Oct 2021
Location: TX
Programs: Alaska, AA, Marriott
Posts: 943
I'll end up with 75K this year, through next year, and may re-qual 75K or might drop to Gold - just depends on how the year unfolds. But even at an MVP:Gold comparison, MVP is so much better for me than Gold in nearly every way, including Premium seats earlier than MCE @ Gold, and in earnings/utility of earned miles.
I'll probably still do an AA mileage run for LT Gold next year as I'm really close... and any flights I do book on AA I'll credit to AA because they're likely to be low fare classes.
#38
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Pacific Northwest
Programs: UA Gold 1MM, AS 75k, AA Plat, Bonvoyed Gold, Honors Dia, Hyatt Explorer, IHG Plat, ...
Posts: 16,851
AS 22k (incl 6k rollover)
AA 22k
BA 26k
5k will come from BofA to get me to 75k. I did not expect to actually go from MVP to 75k in a pandemic year.
By segments AS leads, but two round trips in paid premium cabins to Europe on BA and AA brought in the bulk of the EQM this year.
It’s difficult to predict my travel for next few years. Literally nothing is booked yet, but I really need do my own analysis of the impact of these changes going forward. Of course, making a switch now would mean not actually using my hard-earned MVP75k status…
Have never really paid attention to AA’s program in the past, so I need to learn about it to see if their SWUs (for example) would be useful (as a UA 1K their SWUs were a major reason for me to work towards top status every year). Looks like I have some studying and spreadsheet analysis to do. The partnership between AS and AA basically gives me two very different domestic programs to choose from without actually having to choose who I fly (which is more dictated based on routes anyway).
#39
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: CMH, West Coast
Programs: AA Executive Platinum, oneworld emerald
Posts: 2,741
Also a combo AS/AA flyer, prefer AS, but they only have one route from my home airport (CMH). These AA changes only seem to benefit me, because for the first time, I'll probably be able to achieve AA Gold and AS MVP next year.
First, I credit 100% of flights to AS. As a hybrid flyer, even booking O class economy on AA, crediting to AA makes zero sense. Here's a good example:
I'm flying CMH-DFW-HNL in January on AA in paid O. I paid $208 for this fare (yeah, I know, super cheap, but it also overnights in DFW).
Crediting to AA: $208 * 5 = 1,040 AA miles for a 4,710 mile flight.
Crediting to AS: (500 + (3,784*.25)= 1,446 AS miles for a 4,710 mile flight (before any bonuses)
Why would anyone in their right mind credit this flight to AA?
So, I'll try to make MVP on AS through segments or maybe miles, and I'll put $30k on an AA credit card from 1/1/22 - 2/28/23 and get AA Gold as well without crediting a single flight to AA.
First, I credit 100% of flights to AS. As a hybrid flyer, even booking O class economy on AA, crediting to AA makes zero sense. Here's a good example:
I'm flying CMH-DFW-HNL in January on AA in paid O. I paid $208 for this fare (yeah, I know, super cheap, but it also overnights in DFW).
Crediting to AA: $208 * 5 = 1,040 AA miles for a 4,710 mile flight.
Crediting to AS: (500 + (3,784*.25)= 1,446 AS miles for a 4,710 mile flight (before any bonuses)
Why would anyone in their right mind credit this flight to AA?
So, I'll try to make MVP on AS through segments or maybe miles, and I'll put $30k on an AA credit card from 1/1/22 - 2/28/23 and get AA Gold as well without crediting a single flight to AA.
#40
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,459
I'd already decided to focus on AS over AA next year, since I can now get OWE through AS, and much prefer flying and dealing with AS. These changes to the AA program just confirmed that decision.
#41
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Pacific Northwest
Programs: UA Gold 1MM, AS 75k, AA Plat, Bonvoyed Gold, Honors Dia, Hyatt Explorer, IHG Plat, ...
Posts: 16,851
Would it be better to combine the flying and credit card spending in one program (AA presumably, unless AS continues to offer EQM for card spending) to reach a higher level?
Last edited by notquiteaff; Oct 27, 2021 at 12:31 pm
#42
Original Poster
Join Date: Oct 2021
Location: TX
Programs: Alaska, AA, Marriott
Posts: 943
If that spend puts you into a higher status, sure. Otherwise, no. Put it somewhere else that earns better rewards.
#43
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Pacific Northwest
Programs: UA Gold 1MM, AS 75k, AA Plat, Bonvoyed Gold, Honors Dia, Hyatt Explorer, IHG Plat, ...
Posts: 16,851
Right, it’s worth calculating the opportunity cost of spend put on the AA card that could earn more with another card. That’s equally true for the current AS BofA EQM offer. The more difficult part is the estimate the value of the benefit of higher status. In my case, I am putting $7500 of spend on my AS card to get the missing 5200-ish EQM for 75k. Without having the slightest idea of my flights next year, I have a hard time estimating the benefit of that higher status. I am just going with my gut feel that a few guaranteed PC seats, a couple of F upgrades, more RDMs and the gift of status to my wife will make it worth it.
#44
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 6,752
Assuming you were going to pay or considered paying for business class, the 4 SWUs are probably worth around $5K - $7K, in my view.
#45
Original Poster
Join Date: Oct 2021
Location: TX
Programs: Alaska, AA, Marriott
Posts: 943
Right, it’s worth calculating the opportunity cost of spend put on the AA card that could earn more with another card. That’s equally true for the current AS BofA EQM offer. The more difficult part is the estimate the value of the benefit of higher status. In my case, I am putting $7500 of spend on my AS card to get the missing 5200-ish EQM for 75k. Without having the slightest idea of my flights next year, I have a hard time estimating the benefit of that higher status. I am just going with my gut feel that a few guaranteed PC seats, a couple of F upgrades, more RDMs and the gift of status to my wife will make it worth it.
Moving my PERSONAL travel spend off of Chase Ultimate Rewards @ 5x would be hard to justify.
My business spend (which goes on my card, but through their travel portal)? That's a toss-up between 2% cash back and an airline card IF it helps me with a status hump.