Conspiracy theory behind cancelled flights
#1
Original Poster
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 21
Conspiracy theory behind cancelled flights
OK, so here's my conspiracy theory for today:
Last week, Air Canada cancelled the 9am flight from LGA-YUL, citing "mechanical problems".
When I told friends in Montreal about it, a few of them told me their recent AC flights had also been cancelled for "mechanical problems".
So here's the conspiracy part: If a flight's not full enough, would Air Canada cancel that flight - citing "mechanical problems" - and just dump everyone on the following flight?
Or is this just air-travel-induced paranoia?
Thanks.
Last week, Air Canada cancelled the 9am flight from LGA-YUL, citing "mechanical problems".
When I told friends in Montreal about it, a few of them told me their recent AC flights had also been cancelled for "mechanical problems".
So here's the conspiracy part: If a flight's not full enough, would Air Canada cancel that flight - citing "mechanical problems" - and just dump everyone on the following flight?
Or is this just air-travel-induced paranoia?
Thanks.
#3
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Believe it or not, airplanes really do experience mechanical problems.
Airline systems are complex webs of interconnecting operations and schedules. That plane was supposed to be in YUL to fly the next flight. The airline had to find a replacement aircraft and crew. Then backfill for that one. Then... Then figure out what to do with an extra aircraft at LGA (it's not like LGA is a hub for AC).
The pain of rescheduling is likely much more painful than saving, what, 324 flight miles of fuel?
Airline systems are complex webs of interconnecting operations and schedules. That plane was supposed to be in YUL to fly the next flight. The airline had to find a replacement aircraft and crew. Then backfill for that one. Then... Then figure out what to do with an extra aircraft at LGA (it's not like LGA is a hub for AC).
The pain of rescheduling is likely much more painful than saving, what, 324 flight miles of fuel?
#4
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Please follow the thread as it moves to our Air Canada forum. Ocn Vw 1K, Moderator, TravelBuzz.
#5
Join Date: Apr 2005
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Having long ago watched while an aircraft carrier flight and hangar decks had to be "respotted" for a down a/c, a complex evolution involving many and no little planning, I don't put much credit in your conspiracy theory (or most others for at matter). Can you imagine the complexity of "respotting" an entire fleet of a/c to accommodate a down bird sitting not where it was supposed to fly, but back where it was supposed to have long departed?
The complexities of moving a/c around to fill a hole are much greater than any savings from a cancellation. Even at DFW, AA's hub, spare a/c are fewer than hen's teeth, and even when available, often the wrong bird to be hurled into the breach (although I've seen an old MD80 or two serve as "Forlorn Hope", when there were no other alternatives and over water not required)
The complexities of moving a/c around to fill a hole are much greater than any savings from a cancellation. Even at DFW, AA's hub, spare a/c are fewer than hen's teeth, and even when available, often the wrong bird to be hurled into the breach (although I've seen an old MD80 or two serve as "Forlorn Hope", when there were no other alternatives and over water not required)
#6
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#7
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The conspiracy theory can only possibly be true if an airline has a substantial surplus of planes (and staff to operate them).
In fact, airlines have entire departments dedicated to figuring out how to keep the planes in the air as much as possible with a goal of not having a single surplus plane in the fleet and not a single employee out of place on the company's dime.
In fact, airlines have entire departments dedicated to figuring out how to keep the planes in the air as much as possible with a goal of not having a single surplus plane in the fleet and not a single employee out of place on the company's dime.
#8
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Maybe not, but into busy airports like LGA when they are experiencing long ground holds at far-flung airports while waiting for slots, it is common for airlines to combine flights when appropriate.
#9
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And if you are looking for a conspiracy, I think weather is often a better excuse for the airline, as their responsibilities to the passenger are less ie compensation & food & hotel coverage, than when there is a mechanical problem
#11
Join Date: Mar 2005
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OK, so here's my conspiracy theory for today:
Last week, Air Canada cancelled the 9am flight from LGA-YUL, citing "mechanical problems".
When I told friends in Montreal about it, a few of them told me their recent AC flights had also been cancelled for "mechanical problems".
So here's the conspiracy part: If a flight's not full enough, would Air Canada cancel that flight - citing "mechanical problems" - and just dump everyone on the following flight?
Or is this just air-travel-induced paranoia?
Thanks.
Last week, Air Canada cancelled the 9am flight from LGA-YUL, citing "mechanical problems".
When I told friends in Montreal about it, a few of them told me their recent AC flights had also been cancelled for "mechanical problems".
So here's the conspiracy part: If a flight's not full enough, would Air Canada cancel that flight - citing "mechanical problems" - and just dump everyone on the following flight?
Or is this just air-travel-induced paranoia?
Thanks.
#12
Join Date: Nov 2008
Programs: AC SE
Posts: 1,014
So, as you say, they are a business. By calling a cancellation due to mechanical failures, the airline is then responsible for hotels and/or making alternate arrangements for the pax and they have to locate a replacement aircraft to fill in the hole left by the stranded aircraft. Furthermore, they will eventually have to ferry that aircraft out of LGA in order to rejoin the fleet, undoubtedly flying it without pax, costing them almost the same as flying it with some pax, but obtaining zero revenue.
If they see that a given route has low load factors, the only thing they will do is reduce the frequency of the route and/or downsize the equipment used on that flight. End of story.
#13
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But not sitting idle at a foreign city (New York-LGA) at 9 am in the morning. The aircraft is required at home base (YYZ or YUL) for a full days rotation of flying. Mechanical.
#14
Join Date: Mar 2000
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Don't you know anything about conspiracies?
#15
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