Originally Posted by turtlemichael
On the other hand there is the increased opportunity of an OP up on CX. As an Emerald the chance is not unreasonable and CX first is certainly worth 10,500 points forgone, IMHO. I have had several op ups on CX long haul, 2 from Business to First and one from Economy to Business.
Personally I would never book flights based on hoping to get an involuntary upgrade; in likelihood it will be 10,500 miles lost with travel in CX J
Dave