FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - Atmos Award Inflation and Scarcity - More Points Chasing Fewer Premium Awards
Old Mar 14, 2026 | 11:39 am
  #13  
steex
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15 Years on Site
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: PDX/SJC (formerly CHI and STL)
Programs: AS, DL, AA, UA, WN
Posts: 1,125
Originally Posted by steex
Only one other data point, but I've been casually looking at a variety of Australia/New Zealand itineraries out of SFO for the fall. The baseline price was 37.5k to 42.5k one-way for them yesterday, all the same routes show up starting at 65k now (this applies to both QF and FJ routes). Unclear if that's a blanket devaluation or coincidental shift in inventory for AS.
Incidentally, I see that nonstop SFO-NAN is still 37.5k and nonstop SFO-SYD is still 42.5k, but adding any kind of connection beyond NAN/SYD jumps the price to 65k.

Funny enough, they show SYD-NZ for 7.5k as a standalone segment. If these prices are real/bookable (I've not tried), booking your own two separate tickets on QF would be 50k for SFO-SYD-NZ while booking a single connecting itinerary would be 65k.

It feels like we probably shouldn't rule out the potential that this is a glitch rather than a devaluation just yet.
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