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Thread: [Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
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Old Oct 27, 2025 | 3:04 pm
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jsloan
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Originally Posted by moyang_mm
Could someone here have an educated guess on the chance of my upgrade request clearing the waitlist?

Nov. 16, 2025, UA888 SFO-PEK, Gfare (deep discount), Mileage upgrade award to Polaris ($600+30,000 miles). No Premier status.

Thanks!
Maybe 30-40%? Sundays are tough, and you’re literally last in priority amongst paying customers. However, inventory is open all the way down to P9, and the seat map — which isn’t definitive — is showing about half of the seats available. No guarantee, but far from impossible.
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