Originally Posted by
ani90
For now, answers would be purely speculative, but over time there may be signals and surrogates that suggest more, similar or less 1Ks. While for sure there are many 1Ks who previously qualified on miles and segments that will no longer make 1K based on the high spend limit, there will also be those who previously wouldn't have qualified who might do so with two J trips. And also what we don't know is whether UA will decide to modulate the number of 1Ks to any threshold it wants (by comping people who did not meet the criteria to 1K and 1Ks to GS). I think we will need few months after February to have a better idea.
My nephew was a very infrequent flyer until his company sent him on several trips in Y to China, mostly earlier in the year. He got a GS invite for 63K in spend and 10 segments! He's come to me for advice about how to UG, etc. but only gets 2 weeks off per year, so it's really difficult for him to get an UG.