I booked a roundtrip flight to Amsterdam next week a few weeks ago, got a false alert from EF about upgrade availability, called in and was told it can't be processed but I got waitlisted, at least the segment to London from the States.

A few days later I noticed I no longer had ANY seat assignment, went into the app/online, and was able to select a business seat. This very first leg now appears 4th in order when examining the flight in the app, as opposed to first. It shows my business seat. In the upgrades requested section, it shows REQUESTED on all legs except the small BA to Amsterdam flight that is too small to matter. It does not say confirmed. Additionally, I still appear to have 5 of 10 systemwide upgrades instead of 4. (By the way, anyone find it weird that it just says how many deposited and how many used with random expiration dates? How should I know if the agents are using the oldest ones up first?)

So... when the 100 hour window gets here, or at the gate, what do you all suspect will happen? Potentially upgraded from business to first? 4 of 8 seats are open. Potentially downgraded since the upgrade did not actually get taken or clear? I guess anything can happen. This ever happen to anyone else?