Originally Posted by
wutlol
Let’s say (and I know this is a big IF, would rather this not turn into a geopolitics discourse) the war ends and a treaty is signed. Do we think S7 would likely be restored? I do most of my work in Eastern Europe and Central Asia at the moment and desperately hate the lack of OneWorld options here.
I don't think anyone can tell. Firstly, it's not clear what a treaty would look like. There are many options, ranging from a mere seize fire to a consensus on all disputed issues. If you ask me, a seize fire or some other agreement at the low end of the scale is more likely. Such a low end agreement would not necessarily result in an end of all sanctions. Secondly, even if the sanctions were to end, it will be a commercial decision of both Oneworld and S7 to restore the membership. I never perceived that S7 was well integrated into Oneworld, which makes economics more doubtful.