Originally Posted by
js1993
Almost nobody.
The current EXP EQD is $12,000, or $9,000 to re-qualify. Now Gold is going to be $10,000? No chance. Business travel would not only have to recover to 2019 levels, it would have to double 2019 for the numbers above to make sense. AA might have to show some tough love in 2022, but it does not have an elite-overpopulation problem right now and it won’t have one a year from now.
EXP is $15,000 going forward so I expect to see $18-20,000 EQD with mixed with min flights or $24,000 EQD alone to match United. They might do temp lower levels as long as covid drags out but it won’t last.