Originally Posted by
kb1992
It largely depends on how China views US as a threat regarding COVID.
I am not optimistic since 1/3 of the US population are too stubborn to believe in science and get vaccinated.
It would possibly be another 3 years for China to open the door for Americans. Or longer.
It doesn’t have much to do with the country itself.
The first necessary step is recognizing that a vaccine (or recovery from the illness) confers some proportion of immunity. Not necessarily total but much better than nothing. The next step is treating those individuals differently and giving them preferential access.
Neither of these are true at the moment. Arguably getting a vaccine makes it more annoying to get in because you have to make sure the antibody and N protein tests are agreeable. It also doesn’t change the quarantine period. In addition, my understanding is that once within China, vaccination gives you no additional privileges (e.g. skipping PCR tests). Getting a Chinese vaccine makes it slightly easier for a visa application but no easier for the testing and quarantine process.
Sure you could argue that there is some politics involved with the US. UAE has 88% of the population with at least one vaccine and Portugal has 86%. Even if these were 100% the door would not instantly be flung open.
However, I do agree with your conclusion that it may take years.