Originally Posted by
lhrsfo
Everybody in the UK who wants a vaccination will have had one by late summer and it's quite likely that, by then, there will be a programme ongoing of giving people differently formulated booster shots to protect against new variants. (Likelihood: 90%)
Domestically, England will be largely open (likelihood 75%) but many events and activities will be open only to those who have either been vaccinated or tested negative withing the last xx hours (likelihood 50%)
There will be strict entrance requirements to the country, with negative tests and quarantine, in some form or other, even for those who have been vaccinated, to guard against the import of variant strains (likelihood 33%).
My gut says the same thing, though with the addition that larger events and activities will likely be limited in capacity. I'd also assume just turning up to anything (museums, galleries, etc.) will not be possible - everything will need to be booked in advance for a specific time (even if free).
I also think there is a good probability that mask wearing in public spaces (transport, museums, shops) will still be in place. (As an aside, after not having a cold in year, despite still having to actually go into work, I think I might continuing wearing a mask on the tube and trains even if it isn't required anymore. I'd be interested to see if it better protects me once things get closer to "normal" (i.e. the old days))