It wouldn't surprise me in the least to see the borders closed until roughly then (speaking as a Canadian). Not that I am happy about that. There is, seemingly, zero appetite amongst Canadians for opening the border; the lobbying efforts of the airlines have (surprisingly) had zero impact on government policy, and there has been zero public discussion of mitigating measures (such as deploying screening at airports or other means of testing arrivals that might reduce or eliminate the 14 day quarantine). I would add that, with the exception of very high end properties, this all hasn't been an unmitigated disaster for tourism either. I find this very surprising, but Banff had 85% of the regular visitor traffic this year. So surprising I doubt it, but that was the press release from the townsite. They didn't comment on revenue associated with that traffic, but it is certainly not so disastrous that governments are going to change border access in the need to save hundreds of thousands of jobs (unless other areas of Canada are drastically different). We are not Italy/Greece/Spain in this respect.