Originally Posted by
ExplorerWannabe
All it takes is one person ignoring precautions and procedures to create a bubble of infection. I would expect the Maui bubble occurred because an asymptomatic individual brought it over or had a flare-up, perhaps transmitted to another person who remained asymptomatic and so on until someone actually developed symptoms. If this were a zombie virus we could see who was infected and contain it but it's hard to do with something that spreads unpredictably.
There's currently 2 clusters in Maui, one at Maui Memorial Hospital which for now seems to have stopped growing in size with no new related cases to that cluster reported for at least a couple of days, and a 2nd one at an assisted living facility. We don't really have any visibility into how those clusters started. There's a fair amount of community spread on Maui, some of it has been tourism related, which could mean people flying in from Oahu as well as other places. Unfortunately we don't have a lot of transparency here.
I really don't think it's worth speculating about it either way with the lack of data and transparency here.
We know there's travel related cases and we know there's community spread and we know there's two large clusters right now. That is pretty much all we know.
-David
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