Originally Posted by
bobbytables
There are several assumptions here about the typical severity of the disease. If say 80% of people have minor or no symptoms, as has been suggested, then you can have a lot of infected but undetected people.
This is a very important point--because like how you get over a common cold, if people are recovering on their own, those statistics are not making it to the scoreboard. And that would make this pandemic a lot more like the flu than something more serious.
Originally Posted by
bobbytables
There are undoubtedly plenty of people in HK who have the virus (or previously had it) and were never counted, not because of any lack of transparency but simply because they never became a “case” by seeking medical assistance.
With some estimates of minor/asymptomatic infection up around 80% of infected people it should be quite easy to understand how the case count can have little to do with the number of infected people, with the ratio between those numbers varying between countries not based on transparency but simply based on how much testing they’re doing, making comparing case counts between countries rather a pointless exercise.
This is a point that is starting to catch on, but not so much as the normal panic. If the number of people who actually have this is 10x of the reported cases, the death ratio goes way down--and that should be comforting to everyone.
Originally Posted by
invisible
No travel restrictions at this moment. But in two weeks we will be in completely different reality.
Yep, I agree. If the panic continues at the levels that it is, I can see the trip being cancelled.
Originally Posted by
RedElmo
Why? What’s going on in Guatemala?
So the whole world is going to be a travel restriction.
lol, nothing at the moment, but give it 2 weeks.
Originally Posted by
helvetic
If they're smart, they'd be the ones banning Americans. The wife is the danger to Guatemala, not Guatemala to the wife.
From what I've read up about the country, it's goes both ways. Virus from the Americans, just the usual danger of being in Guatemala from Guatemala.
Originally Posted by
GadgetFreak
New York State just announced a that they are doing a lot of testing and the number of cases increased about 50% since yesterday. That’s about what was to be expected. And it’s bad.
This isn't necessarily a bad thing if a high percentage of these people get well quickly and on their own. That points to the death threat being a lot lower than initially portrayed.
If everyone has a cold at work no one is panicked over it because the death percentage is low. If this ends up with the same death rate, it won't matter if the whole planet is infected since this won't be the extinction level event it is currently being made out to be.
Originally Posted by
RatherBeOnATrain
Uh...was this also built in 10 days?