Originally Posted by
moondog
In one of the other threads on this topic, I was accused of lacking current knowledge about CX's China aspirations, and I admitted that I'm not 100% up to speed on this matter. That having been said, I don't believe that CZ will join OneWorld anytime soon:
-CX is OW's gateway to China, and they seem to like this position
-CZ offers very low J fares on routes like HKG-JFK (via CAN, mind you), and might be somewhat constrained if it was a OW member
-CZ is a much bigger airline than CX
IMO, CX's split alliance strategy is smart. While they are surely perturbed by CZ ties with AA and BA, this shouldn't affect their strategic vision.
CZ doesn't even fly CAN-HKG now so I don't know how can they offer very low J fares via CAN. They haven't served on this route for years. There are only 2 flights a day on the HKG-CAN route and it's being serviced by Cathay Dragon. CZ would be competing against CX/KA on the transit traffic via CAN and that would be the reason why CX/KA would not be happy if CZ entered oneworld.
USA-
CAN/HKG-SEA/AUS/NZL
EUR-
CAN/HKG-SEA/AUS/NZL
According to HKIA the only daily flight that's being offered to Hong Kong is Beijing. There is a Meixian flight here and there and a Shenyang flight that is cancelled.