FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - UA Miles + $ CoPay Upgrade (refunded if no Polaris segments are upgraded)
Old Apr 18, 2019 | 6:28 pm
  #13  
zoned_post_meridiem
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Originally Posted by WineCountryUA
Impossible to answer in the abstract other than generally chances are poor unless you have high status (and then still might not be great). But it can happen.
Status, purchased fare class and time of request is the basic system but lots depend on flight specific factors -- route, day of the week, season, historical booking data, .... the discussion in [Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight may provide some insight.
Thanks, that's what I figured. It's IAD - BRU on a Saturday ... don't think it's a high-use route that day, purchased fare is B/Premium Economy, but my United status is low. May be worth a shot since I get a refund if the TATL leg doesn't clear, but without Polaris lounge, I'm 50-50 if it's worth the $400+ copay (I already have regular lounge access).
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