I'm flying JFK-HKG on 12/25 connecting through LAX.
AA Platinum with > $6,400 EQD

AA133 - JFK-LAX - Full Fare Y - I think chances are slim / none
F6 A6 J1 D1 I1 Y5 B5 H5 K5 M5 L3 G5V0 S0 N0 Q0 O0 E0

AA133 - LAX-HKG - P Class - upgrade cleared over a month out, but have a friend traveling on the same itinerary with a linked record locator so will inherit my status, but hasn't cleared
F2 A0 J7 R7 D7 I7 W5 P5 Y2 B0 H2 K2M2 L1 G2 V0 S0 N0 Q0 O0 E0

Update - J went down from 14 to 4