Originally Posted by
spin88
I don't see much of a price war going on (depending on days either may be more expensive, I think fare buckets have more to do with it) I do see a LOT of capacity in USA-SIN. This said, we may well see a fare war in the next few months...
If that's the case, they seem to be holding out longer than any rational market-pricing signals would indicate. I'm booking my early 2019 Asia travel now, and so far, I'll be flying AC on one, and SQ on the second. Over the past few years, the months of February and March have been great (for pax), and brutal (for airlines), in terms of TPAC J pricing. I flew to TPE last February in UA-P for ~$2700. This year, flights on AC and BR are in the $3500 range, but UA is holding strong to their ~$4500+ price point.
If we see a fare war over the winter, it's probably not JUST going to be due to SQ pressure ex-EWR. It's going to be because at least 3 other *A airlines can offer the same 1-stop itinerary TPAC that UA can from non-hub cities, and they're doing it for thousand(s) cheaper! So that un-managed traffic is going to be vanishing by the planeload...