Originally Posted by
MarkOK
Okay sure, I will be less blanketed. Upgrades on routes between midsized/major US airports on 73Xs and 319-321s are more myth than fact. If the flight is during the workweek and during the daylight, maybe a CK or high EQD ExPlat has a shot at the maybe 1 open seat. Weekends or weekdays late at night -- upgrades are doable if you are a ExPlat. If you fly those local regional flights on CRJ-700/900 or ERJ-175 with an F cabin (which are outsized compared to the main cabin), I am sure upgrades on those short hops are no problem for a broad swath of elites.
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Again - still way too broad. As a relatively low EQD EXP (~$14K), I've been upgraded this year on 737s and A319-A321 on regular weekday daytime flights on: ORD-SEA, DEN-DFW (and the other way round), PHL-DEN, DEN-ORD, MCO-LGA, etc. All midsized/major airports, all during regular "business travel": times. I've missed upgrades on DEN-MIA, MIA-DEN, DCA-CLT, DFW-MCO, and a couple others I don't remember. I don't see much of a pattern there, nor is there enough data to draw any conclusions from.
That's my experience. It's no more indicative of a broad fact pattern that you looking at your most recent few flights. Upgrade experience and success rate is variable based on a host of factors.